Friday , 9 October 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 16:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Kingsley Coman
0–2 16' Harry Kane
Anthony Caci 43' 1–2
1–3 59' Leon Goretzka

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct FC Bayern Munchen H 1–3 L
06 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–2 D
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
23 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 1–3 L
02 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
08 Oct SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
03 Oct FC København A 2–1 W
30 Sep RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
26 Sep SC Preußen Münster A 4–0 W
23 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 7–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern Munchen
#6 Position #2
7 Points 10
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
10 Scored 14
6 Conceded 2
+4 GD +12
1.75 PPG 2.50
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FSV Mainz 05 welcome FC Bayern Munchen for this crunch clash at MEWA Arena.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 11' Kingsley Coman adds to his 2 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 16' What a moment for Harry Kane! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 21' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 26' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 27' Matthijs de Ligt has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 27.
  • 32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 37' FC Bayern Munchen have won 1079 goals from 546 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 42' It’s high time Thomas Tuchel made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 43' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Anthony Caci makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 45' Ludovic Ajorque has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 45.
  • 50' A moment of madness from Dominik Kohr on 50 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Konrad Laimer made 519 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 59' Assisted by Jamal Musiala with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leon Goretzka makes no mistake. 1-3!
  • 62' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jae-sung Lee is replaced by Aymen Barkok.
  • 65' Stefan Bell is having his name booked by the referee on 65.
  • 70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Robin Zentner, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 74' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Leon Goretzka has done his job and it is now time for Bouna Sarr to step up.
  • 76' The whistle greets Edimilson Fernandes as he departs to be replaced by Tom Krauss.
  • 77' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Maxim Choupo-Moting on, Jamal Musiala off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' FC Bayern Munchen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 84' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Stefan Bell is replaced by Karim Onisiwo.
  • 88' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Thomas Muller comes on to replace Kingsley Coman.
  • 90' Konrad Laimer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.01 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.84 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + FC Bayern Munchen to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0515% Draw19% FC Bayern Munchen66%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
34%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
85%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern Munchen
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0511% Draw34% FC Bayern Munchen55%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 3
8%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
6.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 4
5.6%
0 – 4
5.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 5
3.3%
0 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 7% 90%
-0.5 10% — 90%
+0.5 26% — 74%
+1 26% 20% 54%
+1.5 46% — 54%
+2 46% 20% 34%
+2.5 66% — 34%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
37% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.