1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern Munchen 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sascha Stegemann
- Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
- Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
3 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern Munchen | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | FC Bayern Munchen | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Sep | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | SC Freiburg | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | FC København | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | RB Leipzig | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | SC Preußen Münster | A | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 7–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | FC Bayern Munchen | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 7 | Points | 10 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 0 |
| 10 | Scored | 14 |
| 6 | Conceded | 2 |
| +4 | GD | +12 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 50% | Win % | 75% |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season
FC Bayern Munchen this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
FC Bayern Munchen
| Michael Olise | 4 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1 G | |
| Luis Diaz | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FSV Mainz 05 welcome FC Bayern Munchen for this crunch clash at MEWA Arena.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 11' Kingsley Coman adds to his 2 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 16' What a moment for Harry Kane! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
- 21' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 26' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 27' Matthijs de Ligt has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 27.
- 32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 37' FC Bayern Munchen have won 1079 goals from 546 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 42' It’s high time Thomas Tuchel made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 43' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Anthony Caci makes no mistake. 1-2!
- 45' Ludovic Ajorque has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 45.
- 50' A moment of madness from Dominik Kohr on 50 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
- 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Konrad Laimer made 519 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 59' Assisted by Jamal Musiala with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leon Goretzka makes no mistake. 1-3!
- 62' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jae-sung Lee is replaced by Aymen Barkok.
- 65' Stefan Bell is having his name booked by the referee on 65.
- 70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Robin Zentner, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 74' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Leon Goretzka has done his job and it is now time for Bouna Sarr to step up.
- 76' The whistle greets Edimilson Fernandes as he departs to be replaced by Tom Krauss.
- 77' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Maxim Choupo-Moting on, Jamal Musiala off on 77 minutes.
- 82' FC Bayern Munchen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 84' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Stefan Bell is replaced by Karim Onisiwo.
- 88' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Thomas Muller comes on to replace Kingsley Coman.
- 90' Konrad Laimer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-3 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 17
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Maxim Leitsch 62'
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Marco Richter 76'
- 27
-
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Karim Onisiwo 84'
- 8
- 21
- 20
- 43
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Aymen Barkok 62'
Bench
-
10
Marco Richter ↑ 76'
- 23
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 84'
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 62'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 62'
- 30
-
14
Tom Krauss ↑ 76'
- 24
- 1
Coach
Bo Svensson
FC Bayern Munchen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Leroy Sane ↓ Mathys Tel 77'
- 9
- 4
- 26
- 6
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Thomas Muller 88'
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↓ Bouna Sarr 74'
- 27
- 19
- 42
- 3
Bench
-
13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↑ 77'
-
20
Bouna Sarr ↑ 74'
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 88'
- 18
-
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 77'
- 45
- 41
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2023-10-21
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–3
FC Bayern Munchen
L
2023-10-06
Borussia Monchengladbach
2–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2023-09-30
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2023-09-23
FC Augsburg
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2023-09-16
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–3
VfB Stuttgart
L
2023-09-02
SV Werder Bremen
4–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
FC Bayern Munchen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.01
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.84
FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + FC Bayern Munchen to win 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern Munchen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
34%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
85%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern Munchen
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 3
8%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
6.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 4
5.6%
0 – 4
5.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 5
3.3%
0 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | FC Bayern Munchen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 7% | 90% |
| -0.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| +0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +1 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| +1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +2 | 46% | 20% | 34% |
| +2.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

