Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fluminense FC vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Fortaleza ECSerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
10 Aug EC Bahia A 3–3 D
03 Aug Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
27 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 1–3 L
23 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
20 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
09 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–5 L
03 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
29 Jul Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
26 Jul RB Bragantino H 3–1 W
19 Jul EC Bahia H 1–1 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Maracana!
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 9' German Cano does the damage! The net is bulging and Fluminense FC surge ahead!
  • 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kevin Serna suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 24' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Keno is replaced by Agustin Canobbio.
  • 29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 34' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fluminense FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 43' Poor challenge from Kervin Andrade. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 45' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 45.
  • 46' Fortaleza EC make a change. Kervin Andrade trudges off to be replaced by Lucca Prior on 46 minutes.
  • 51' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Davi Schuindt has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 55' The referee has no hesitation. Facundo Bernal is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 55.
  • 57' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Juan Lucero gets a card.
  • 62' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 63' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 63 minute. Jose Herrera leaves to be changed by Breno Lopes.
  • 64' Magnificent from Agustin Canobbio! That is 16 goals in 374 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 67' Fluminense FC make a change. Martinelli trudges off to be replaced by Hercules on 67 minutes.
  • 72' Over 72 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 73' GOAL! Breno Lopes fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 73' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Yago Pikachu is replaced by Allanzinho.
  • 78' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 80' The crowd applauds German Cano as he leaves the pitch. Everaldo steps in for Fluminense FC.
  • 85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
  • 86' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Matheus Rossetto has done his job and it is now time for Adam Bareiro to step up.
  • The points are shared — Fluminense FC 2-1 Fortaleza EC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.35 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Fluminense FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC45% Draw28% Fortaleza EC27%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
55%
Fluminense FC or Fortaleza EC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC29% Draw50% Fortaleza EC21%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.