EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 02 Aug | SC Recife | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Jul | EC Juventude | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Jul | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | EC Bahia | A | 3–3 | D |
| 03 Aug | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jul | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #3 |
| 26 | Points | 31 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 4 / 5 |
| 25 | Scored | 28 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| +2 | GD | +5 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 41% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Arena Fonte Nova. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 9' German Cano doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 13' What a strike from Facundo Bernal! The score is 0-2.
- 18' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
- 19' What a moment for Everton Ribeiro! That strike on 19 puts his side firmly in control.
- 24' Ademir Santos is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
- 29' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
- 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 325 games and scored 348 goals.
- 45' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 49' Magnificent from German Cano! That is 78 goals in 287 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 54' Julio Cesar has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Everton Ribeiro on 57.
- 59' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Thiago Santos on 59 minutes.
- 61' Nonato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thiago Santos at the 61 minute mark.
- 66' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Fluminense FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 69' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Julio Cesar has done his job and it is now time for Guga to step up.
- 71' Luciano Rodriguez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Willian Jose on 71 minute.
- 72' Nonato makes no mistake. The score reads 1-4 and Fluminense FC are in front.
- 77' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Keno has done his job and it is now time for Agustin Canobbio to step up.
- 79' Michel Araujo is replacing Everton Ribeiro for the EC Bahia side.
- 83' Tiago is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ademir Santos at the 83 minute mark.
- 88' Fluminense FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 89' Luciano Juba does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Bahia surge ahead!
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Juan Freytes.
- The points are shared — EC Bahia 3-3 Fluminense FC. Honours even.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 79'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Tiago 83'
- 2
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 37
Bench
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↑ 71'
- 13
- 25
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 79'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 71'
- 5
- 3
- 66
-
77
Tiago ↑ 83'
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 71'
- 68
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Nonato 61'
- 10
-
11
Keno ↓ Agustin Canobbio 77'
- 22
- 14
- 45
-
46
Julio Cesar ↓ Guga 69'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↓ Martinelli 61'
- 40
Bench
-
23
Guga ↑ 69'
-
16
Nonato ↑ 61'
- 27
- 99
- 77
-
35
Hercules ↑ 61'
-
8
Martinelli ↑ 61'
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↑ 77'
- 18
- 36
- 19
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Nonato | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.94
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
72%
Draw or Fluminense FC
52%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.5%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

