Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
EC Bahia
3 – 3
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 10 Aug 2025 · 00:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Jean Lucas 45' Y
Y 45' Facundo Bernal
Everton Ribeiro 57' Y
Y 59' Thiago Santos
R 90' Juan Freytes

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

5
6
7
EC Bahia 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-10 EC Bahia 3–3 Fluminense FC 2024-08-04 Fluminense FC 1–0 EC Bahia 2024-04-17 EC Bahia 2–1 Fluminense FC 2023-10-31 EC Bahia 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-06-24 Fluminense FC 2–1 EC Bahia

Recent Form

EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Fluminense FC H 3–3 D
02 Aug SC Recife A 0–0 D
27 Jul EC Juventude H 3–0 W
19 Jul Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D
13 Jul CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
12 Jun RB Bragantino A 3–0 W
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug EC Bahia A 3–3 D
03 Aug Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
27 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 1–3 L
23 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
20 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
17 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Fluminense FC
#5 Position #4
46 Points 48
28 Played 28
12 / 10 / 6 W / D / L 13 / 9 / 6
43 Scored 44
35 Conceded 36
+8 GD +8
1.64 PPG 1.71
43% Win % 46%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Fluminense FC gets underway.
  • 5' Ademir Santos is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
  • 9' German Cano does the damage! The net is bulging and Fluminense FC surge ahead!
  • 13' What a strike from Facundo Bernal! The score is 0-2.
  • 18' Ronaldo, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 19' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Everton Ribeiro makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 29' Agustin Canobbio has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 34' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
  • 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 44' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Jean Lucas.
  • 49' Assisted by Julio Cesar with the perfectly-timed delivery and German Cano makes no mistake. 1-3!
  • 54' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 57' The referee has no hesitation. Everton Ribeiro is booked for EC Bahia — card on 57.
  • 59' The referee has no hesitation. Thiago Santos is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 59.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Nonato comes on to replace Thiago Santos.
  • 66' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
  • 69' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Julio Cesar departs to be replaced by Guga.
  • 71' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luciano Rodriguez is hanging Willian Jose on the field on 71 minute.
  • 72' Assisted by Keno with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nonato makes no mistake. 1-4!
  • 77' The whistle greets Keno as he departs to be replaced by Agustin Canobbio.
  • 79' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Everton Ribeiro departs to be replaced by Michel Araujo.
  • 83' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Ademir Santos departs to be replaced by Tiago.
  • 88' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 89' Assisted by Gilberto with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luciano Juba makes no mistake. 2-4!
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Juan Freytes argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
German Cano 3
Nene 2
Edigar Junio 2
Pedro 2
Lucca 2
Gilberto 2
Gilberto 2
Daniel 1

Head to Head

2025-08-10 EC Bahia 3–3 Fluminense FC 2024-08-04 Fluminense FC 1–0 EC Bahia 2024-04-17 EC Bahia 2–1 Fluminense FC 2023-10-31 EC Bahia 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-06-24 Fluminense FC 2–1 EC Bahia

EC Bahia Form

2025-08-10 EC Bahia 3–3 Fluminense FC D 2025-08-02 SC Recife 0–0 EC Bahia D 2025-07-27 EC Bahia 3–0 EC Juventude W 2025-07-19 Fortaleza EC 1–1 EC Bahia D 2025-07-13 EC Bahia 2–1 CA Mineiro W 2025-06-12 RB Bragantino 0–3 EC Bahia W

Fluminense FC Form

2025-08-10 EC Bahia 3–3 Fluminense FC D 2025-08-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA W 2025-07-27 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC L 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras L 2025-07-20 CR Flamengo 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2025-07-17 Fluminense FC 0–2 Cruzeiro EC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.98 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia50% Draw24% Fluminense FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or Fluminense FC
50%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia36% Draw41% Fluminense FC23%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
1 – 0
5.5%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 20% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.