Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

3 – 3
Full Time
Sun 10 Aug 2025 · 00:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Fluminense FC H 3–3 D
02 Aug SC Recife A 0–0 D
27 Jul EC Juventude H 3–0 W
19 Jul Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D
13 Jul CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
12 Jun RB Bragantino A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug EC Bahia A 3–3 D
03 Aug Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
27 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 1–3 L
23 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
20 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
17 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Fluminense FC
#5 Position #4
46 Points 48
28 Played 28
12 / 10 / 6 W / D / L 13 / 9 / 6
43 Scored 44
35 Conceded 36
+8 GD +8
1.64 PPG 1.71
43% Win % 46%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Fluminense FC gets underway.
  • 5' Ademir Santos is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
  • 9' German Cano does the damage! The net is bulging and Fluminense FC surge ahead!
  • 13' What a strike from Facundo Bernal! The score is 0-2.
  • 18' Ronaldo, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 19' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Everton Ribeiro makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 29' Agustin Canobbio has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 34' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
  • 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 44' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Jean Lucas.
  • 49' Assisted by Julio Cesar with the perfectly-timed delivery and German Cano makes no mistake. 1-3!
  • 54' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 57' The referee has no hesitation. Everton Ribeiro is booked for EC Bahia — card on 57.
  • 59' The referee has no hesitation. Thiago Santos is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 59.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Nonato comes on to replace Thiago Santos.
  • 66' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
  • 69' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Julio Cesar departs to be replaced by Guga.
  • 71' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luciano Rodriguez is hanging Willian Jose on the field on 71 minute.
  • 72' Assisted by Keno with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nonato makes no mistake. 1-4!
  • 77' The whistle greets Keno as he departs to be replaced by Agustin Canobbio.
  • 79' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Everton Ribeiro departs to be replaced by Michel Araujo.
  • 83' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Ademir Santos departs to be replaced by Tiago.
  • 88' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 89' Assisted by Gilberto with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luciano Juba makes no mistake. 2-4!
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Juan Freytes argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.98 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia50% Draw24% Fluminense FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or Fluminense FC
50%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia36% Draw41% Fluminense FC23%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
1 – 0
5.5%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 20% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.