EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 02 Aug | SC Recife | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Jul | EC Juventude | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Jul | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | EC Bahia | A | 3–3 | D |
| 03 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jul | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 33 | Points | 38 |
| 22 | Played | 23 |
| 8 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 5 |
| 29 | Scored | 34 |
| 25 | Conceded | 28 |
| +4 | GD | +6 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 36% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' EC Bahia have kicked off against Fluminense FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 9' GOAL! German Cano fires home to make it 0-1!
- 13' GOAL! Facundo Bernal fires home to make it 0-2!
- 18' The 19-year-old Julio Cesar has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 19' Everton Ribeiro adds to his 0 season tally! EC Bahia lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 34' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 39' Keno has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Jean Lucas.
- 49' GOAL! German Cano fires home to make it 1-3!
- 54' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 57' Everton Ribeiro picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 59' A moment of madness from Thiago Santos on 59 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- 61' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Nonato comes on to replace Thiago Santos.
- 66' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 69' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Julio Cesar has done his job and it is now time for Guga to step up.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Luciano Rodriguez. He replaces Willian Jose on 71 minute.
- 72' Brilliant from the ! Nonato makes it 1-4 with a superb finish on 72.
- 77' Agustin Canobbio is replacing Keno for the Fluminense FC side.
- 79' EC Bahia ring the changes. Everton Ribeiro has done his job and it is now time for Michel Araujo to step up.
- 83' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Ademir Santos by Tiago on 83 minute.
- 88' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 89' The Brazil Luciano Juba breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 2-4!
- 90' The referee calls foul for Juan Freytes. He receives a card.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 79'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Tiago 83'
- 2
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 37
Bench
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↑ 71'
- 13
- 25
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 79'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 71'
- 5
- 3
- 66
-
77
Tiago ↑ 83'
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 71'
- 68
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Nonato 61'
- 10
-
11
Keno ↓ Agustin Canobbio 77'
- 22
- 14
- 45
-
46
Julio Cesar ↓ Guga 69'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↓ Martinelli 61'
- 40
Bench
-
23
Guga ↑ 69'
-
16
Nonato ↑ 61'
- 27
- 99
- 77
-
35
Hercules ↑ 61'
-
8
Martinelli ↑ 61'
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↑ 77'
- 18
- 36
- 19
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Everaldo | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.84
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or Fluminense FC
51%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.5%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

