Thursday , 2 July 2026

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

3 3
Full Time
Sun 10 Aug 2025 · 00:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Fluminense FC H 3–3 D
02 Aug SC Recife A 0–0 D
27 Jul EC Juventude H 3–0 W
19 Jul Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D
13 Jul CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
12 Jun RB Bragantino A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug EC Bahia A 3–3 D
03 Aug Grêmio FBPA H 1–0 W
27 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 1–3 L
23 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
20 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
17 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Fluminense FC
#6 Position #3
26 Points 31
17 Played 18
7 / 5 / 5 W / D / L 9 / 4 / 5
25 Scored 28
23 Conceded 23
+2 GD +5
1.53 PPG 1.72
41% Win % 50%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
24% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
1/
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Arena Fonte Nova. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 9' German Cano doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 13' What a strike from Facundo Bernal! The score is 0-2.
  • 18' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
  • 19' What a moment for Everton Ribeiro! That strike on 19 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 24' Ademir Santos is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
  • 29' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 325 games and scored 348 goals.
  • 45' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 49' Magnificent from German Cano! That is 78 goals in 287 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 54' Julio Cesar has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Everton Ribeiro on 57.
  • 59' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Thiago Santos on 59 minutes.
  • 61' Nonato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thiago Santos at the 61 minute mark.
  • 66' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Fluminense FC winning 0% of all matches.
  • 69' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Julio Cesar has done his job and it is now time for Guga to step up.
  • 71' Luciano Rodriguez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Willian Jose on 71 minute.
  • 72' Nonato makes no mistake. The score reads 1-4 and Fluminense FC are in front.
  • 77' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Keno has done his job and it is now time for Agustin Canobbio to step up.
  • 79' Michel Araujo is replacing Everton Ribeiro for the EC Bahia side.
  • 83' Tiago is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ademir Santos at the 83 minute mark.
  • 88' Fluminense FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 89' Luciano Juba does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Bahia surge ahead!
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Juan Freytes.
  • The points are shared — EC Bahia 3-3 Fluminense FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.94 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia48% Draw24% Fluminense FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
72%
Draw or Fluminense FC
52%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia35% Draw41% Fluminense FC24%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.5%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
22%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.