EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 02 Aug | SC Recife | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Jul | EC Juventude | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Jul | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | EC Bahia | A | 3–3 | D |
| 03 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jul | São Paulo FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #4 |
| 53 | Points | 57 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 9 |
| 50 | Scored | 55 |
| 45 | Conceded | 42 |
| +5 | GD | +13 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.68 |
| 41% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' EC Bahia have kicked off against Fluminense FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 9' Magnificent from German Cano! That is 79 goals in 302 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 13' Facundo Bernal has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 13 minutes.
- 18' Supporters expect more eagerness from Davi Schuindt, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 19' Everton Ribeiro doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 24' Ganso is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- 29' Caio Alexandre, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 34' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 39' Hercules has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ronaldo made 188 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jean Lucas on 45 minutes.
- 49' Assisted by Julio Cesar with the perfectly-timed delivery and German Cano makes no mistake. 1-3!
- 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 57' Everton Ribeiro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
- 59' A moment of madness from Thiago Santos on 59 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- 61' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Thiago Santos departs to be replaced by Nonato.
- 66' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lima is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 69' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Julio Cesar is replaced by Guga on 69 minute.
- 71' EC Bahia make a change. Willian Jose trudges off to be replaced by Luciano Rodriguez on 71 minutes.
- 72' What a moment for Nonato! That strike on 72 puts his side firmly in control.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Agustin Canobbio. He replaces Keno on 77 minute.
- 79' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Everton Ribeiro is withdrawn and Michel Araujo gets his opportunity.
- 83' Tiago has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ademir Santos on 83 minute.
- 88' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 88 minutes.
- 89' Goal! Luciano Juba scores his 21 goal in 240 matches.
- 90' Juan Freytes is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-3.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 79'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Tiago 83'
- 2
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 37
Bench
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↑ 71'
- 13
- 25
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 79'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 71'
- 5
- 3
- 66
-
77
Tiago ↑ 83'
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 71'
- 68
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Nonato 61'
- 10
-
11
Keno ↓ Agustin Canobbio 77'
- 22
- 14
- 45
-
46
Julio Cesar ↓ Guga 69'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↓ Martinelli 61'
- 40
Bench
-
23
Guga ↑ 69'
-
16
Nonato ↑ 61'
- 27
- 99
- 77
-
35
Hercules ↑ 61'
-
8
Martinelli ↑ 61'
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↑ 77'
- 18
- 36
- 19
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Everaldo | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.91
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
71%
Draw or Fluminense FC
52%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 19% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

