Saturday , 14 November 2026

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

3 – 3
Full Time
Sun 10 Aug 2025 · 00:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Fluminense FC H 3–3 D
02 Aug SC Recife A 0–0 D
27 Jul EC Juventude H 3–0 W
19 Jul Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D
13 Jul CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
12 Jun RB Bragantino A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug EC Bahia A 3–3 D
03 Aug Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
27 Jul São Paulo FC A 1–3 L
23 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
20 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
17 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Fluminense FC
#6 Position #4
53 Points 57
34 Played 34
14 / 11 / 9 W / D / L 16 / 9 / 9
50 Scored 55
45 Conceded 42
+5 GD +13
1.56 PPG 1.68
41% Win % 47%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 11 G 2 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 4 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 6 A
Jefferson Savarino 7 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 6 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 6 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' EC Bahia have kicked off against Fluminense FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 9' Magnificent from German Cano! That is 79 goals in 302 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 13' Facundo Bernal has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 13 minutes.
  • 18' Supporters expect more eagerness from Davi Schuindt, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 19' Everton Ribeiro doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 24' Ganso is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
  • 29' Caio Alexandre, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 34' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 39' Hercules has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ronaldo made 188 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jean Lucas on 45 minutes.
  • 49' Assisted by Julio Cesar with the perfectly-timed delivery and German Cano makes no mistake. 1-3!
  • 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Bahia must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 57' Everton Ribeiro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
  • 59' A moment of madness from Thiago Santos on 59 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
  • 61' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Thiago Santos departs to be replaced by Nonato.
  • 66' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lima is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Julio Cesar is replaced by Guga on 69 minute.
  • 71' EC Bahia make a change. Willian Jose trudges off to be replaced by Luciano Rodriguez on 71 minutes.
  • 72' What a moment for Nonato! That strike on 72 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Agustin Canobbio. He replaces Keno on 77 minute.
  • 79' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Everton Ribeiro is withdrawn and Michel Araujo gets his opportunity.
  • 83' Tiago has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ademir Santos on 83 minute.
  • 88' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 88 minutes.
  • 89' Goal! Luciano Juba scores his 21 goal in 240 matches.
  • 90' Juan Freytes is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.91 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia48% Draw24% Fluminense FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
71%
Draw or Fluminense FC
52%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia34% Draw41% Fluminense FC25%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 19% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.