Sunday , 16 August 2026

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

3 3
Full Time
Sun 10 Aug 2025 · 00:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Fluminense FC H 3–3 D
02 Aug SC Recife A 0–0 D
27 Jul EC Juventude H 3–0 W
19 Jul Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D
13 Jul CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
12 Jun RB Bragantino A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug EC Bahia A 3–3 D
03 Aug Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
27 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 1–3 L
23 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
20 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
17 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Fluminense FC
#5 Position #4
33 Points 38
22 Played 23
8 / 9 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 5
29 Scored 34
25 Conceded 28
+4 GD +6
1.50 PPG 1.65
36% Win % 43%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' EC Bahia have kicked off against Fluminense FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 9' GOAL! German Cano fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 13' GOAL! Facundo Bernal fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 18' The 19-year-old Julio Cesar has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 19' Everton Ribeiro adds to his 0 season tally! EC Bahia lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 34' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 39' Keno has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Jean Lucas.
  • 49' GOAL! German Cano fires home to make it 1-3!
  • 54' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 57' Everton Ribeiro picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 59' A moment of madness from Thiago Santos on 59 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Nonato comes on to replace Thiago Santos.
  • 66' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 69' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Julio Cesar has done his job and it is now time for Guga to step up.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Luciano Rodriguez. He replaces Willian Jose on 71 minute.
  • 72' Brilliant from the ! Nonato makes it 1-4 with a superb finish on 72.
  • 77' Agustin Canobbio is replacing Keno for the Fluminense FC side.
  • 79' EC Bahia ring the changes. Everton Ribeiro has done his job and it is now time for Michel Araujo to step up.
  • 83' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Ademir Santos by Tiago on 83 minute.
  • 88' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 89' The Brazil Luciano Juba breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 2-4!
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Juan Freytes. He receives a card.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.84 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia49% Draw24% Fluminense FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or Fluminense FC
51%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia35% Draw42% Fluminense FC23%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.5%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
25%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.