EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | CA Mineiro | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | America FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | EC Bahia | A | 1–4 | L |
| 03 Dec | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 46 | Points | 40 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 9 |
| 43 | Scored | 36 |
| 35 | Conceded | 32 |
| +8 | GD | +4 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.48 |
| 43% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for EC Bahia to score. At the same time, CA Mineiro does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 333 games and scored 359 goals.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and CA Mineiro are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 11' What a moment for Cauly! That strike on 11 puts his side firmly in control.
- 16' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 21' Lucas Mugni has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nicolas Acevedo on 21 minute.
- 26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 36' What an equalizer from Paulinho!
- 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 46' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Igor Gomes is replaced by Rubens on 46 minute.
- 51' The 25-year-old Gabriel Teixeira has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 52' Assisted by Thaciano with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luciano Juba makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 57' Controversy at the stadium! Rubens argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 58' CA Mineiro player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 61' A moment of madness from Rezende on 61 minutes earns him a Yellow card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 66' Gilberto is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 67' Thaciano has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 67 minutes.
- 67' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 67 minute. Cristian Pavon leaves to be changed by Alan Kardec.
- 72' CA Mineiro come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 77' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 79' Diego Rosa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rezende on 79 minute.
- 81' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Thaciano is replaced by Ademir Santos.
- 82' The whistle greets Lucas Mugni as he departs to be replaced by Leo Cittadini.
- 83' Gilberto makes way for Cicinho at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 85' Paulinho catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 85.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Ademir Santos. He receives a Yellow card.
- It finishes all square. EC Bahia and CA Mineiro share the spoils 4-1.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Leo Cittadini 82'
- 2
- –
- 4
- 8
- 31
- 33
- –
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Lucas Mugni 21'
-
10
Gabriel Teixeira ↓ Cicinho 83'
-
5
Rezende ↓ Diego Rosa 79'
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 81'
- 1
-
18
Leo Cittadini ↑ 82'
-
19
Lucas Mugni ↑ 21'
-
40
Cicinho ↑ 83'
- 11
- 9
- 29
- –
- 44
-
17
Diego Rosa ↑ 79'
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Rubens 46'
- 16
- 34
- 5
- 10
- 13
- 25
-
9
Cristian Pavon ↓ Alan Kardec 67'
- 8
- 7
Bench
- 4
-
38
Pedrinho ↑ 67'
- 20
- 49
- 11
- 23
-
44
Rubens ↑ 46'
- 1
-
14
Alan Kardec ↑ 67'
- 27
-
45
Alisson Santana ↑ 83'
- 46
Coach
Luiz Felipe Scolari
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Matheus Galdezani | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
68%
Draw or CA Mineiro
59%
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

