EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | CA Mineiro | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | America FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | EC Bahia | A | 1–4 | L |
| 03 Dec | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Grêmio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #9 |
| 26 | Points | 24 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 8 |
| 25 | Scored | 22 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| +2 | GD | -1 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 41% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro — let the football do the talking.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past CA Mineiro's compact .
- 10' It looks surprising CA Mineiro does not make any changes. Mariano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 11' Cauly doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 21' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Lucas Mugni on, Nicolas Acevedo off on 21 minutes.
- 26' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Mineiro backline.
- 31' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 36' Brilliant from the ! Paulinho makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 36.
- 41' Kanu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 46' CA Mineiro make a change. Igor Gomes trudges off to be replaced by Rubens on 46 minutes.
- 51' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 52' Against the run of play, Luciano Juba has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 57' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Rubens.
- 58' CA Mineiro receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 58.
- 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Rezende.
- 66' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for David Duarte suffering a number of foals already.
- 67' The deadlock is broken! Thaciano gets on the scoresheet on 67 minutes.
- 67' Alan Kardec has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cristian Pavon on 67 minute.
- 72' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 79' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Rezende by Diego Rosa on 79 minute.
- 81' Ademir Santos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thaciano at the 81 minute mark.
- 82' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Leo Cittadini is hanging Lucas Mugni on the field on 82 minute.
- 83' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Gilberto departs to be replaced by Cicinho.
- 85' Paulinho was booked on 85.
- 90' That is a Yellow card for EC Bahia. Ademir Santos will be fuming at that decision.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for EC Bahia players.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Leo Cittadini 82'
- 2
- –
- 4
- 8
- 31
- 33
- –
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Lucas Mugni 21'
-
10
Gabriel Teixeira ↓ Cicinho 83'
-
5
Rezende ↓ Diego Rosa 79'
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 81'
- 1
-
18
Leo Cittadini ↑ 82'
-
19
Lucas Mugni ↑ 21'
-
40
Cicinho ↑ 83'
- 11
- 9
- 29
- –
- 44
-
17
Diego Rosa ↑ 79'
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Rubens 46'
- 16
- 34
- 5
- 10
- 13
- 25
-
9
Cristian Pavon ↓ Alan Kardec 67'
- 8
- 7
Bench
- 4
-
38
Pedrinho ↑ 67'
- 20
- 49
- 11
- 23
-
44
Rubens ↑ 46'
- 1
-
14
Alan Kardec ↑ 67'
- 27
-
45
Alisson Santana ↑ 83'
- 46
Coach
Luiz Felipe Scolari
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Ademir Santos | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
68%
Draw or CA Mineiro
58%
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.