Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

4 – 1
Full Time
Thu 7 Dec 2023 · 00:30 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 57' Rubens
Y 58' Rubens
Rezende 61' Y
Vitor Hugo 61' Y
David Duarte 61' Y
Y 85' Paulinho

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec CA Mineiro H 4–1 W
03 Dec America FC A 2–3 L
29 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 5–1 W
12 Nov CA Paranaense H 1–1 D
09 Nov Cuiaba EC H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec EC Bahia A 1–4 L
03 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
29 Nov CR Flamengo A 3–0 W
26 Nov Gremio FBPA H 3–0 W
12 Nov Goiás EC H 2–1 W
09 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D

Season Stats

EC Bahia CA Mineiro
#5 Position #7
46 Points 40
28 Played 27
12 / 10 / 6 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 9
43 Scored 36
35 Conceded 32
+8 GD +4
1.64 PPG 1.48
43% Win % 41%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for EC Bahia to score. At the same time, CA Mineiro does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 333 games and scored 359 goals.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and CA Mineiro are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 11' What a moment for Cauly! That strike on 11 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 16' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 21' Lucas Mugni has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nicolas Acevedo on 21 minute.
  • 26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 36' What an equalizer from Paulinho!
  • 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Igor Gomes is replaced by Rubens on 46 minute.
  • 51' The 25-year-old Gabriel Teixeira has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 52' Assisted by Thaciano with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luciano Juba makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 57' Controversy at the stadium! Rubens argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 58' CA Mineiro player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 61' A moment of madness from Rezende on 61 minutes earns him a Yellow card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
  • 66' Gilberto is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
  • 67' Thaciano has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 67 minutes.
  • 67' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 67 minute. Cristian Pavon leaves to be changed by Alan Kardec.
  • 72' CA Mineiro come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 77' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 79' Diego Rosa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rezende on 79 minute.
  • 81' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Thaciano is replaced by Ademir Santos.
  • 82' The whistle greets Lucas Mugni as he departs to be replaced by Leo Cittadini.
  • 83' Gilberto makes way for Cicinho at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
  • 85' Paulinho catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 85.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Ademir Santos. He receives a Yellow card.
  • It finishes all square. EC Bahia and CA Mineiro share the spoils 4-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia or CA Mineiro 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia41% Draw27% CA Mineiro32%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
68%
Draw or CA Mineiro
59%
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia31% Draw44% CA Mineiro25%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.