EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 23 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 21 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | CA Mineiro | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | America FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | EC Bahia | A | 1–4 | L |
| 03 Dec | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 34 | Points | 29 |
| 23 | Played | 21 |
| 8 / 10 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 8 |
| 32 | Scored | 27 |
| 28 | Conceded | 27 |
| +4 | GD | +0 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 35% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
19%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
EC Bahia are 5th (34 pts). CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Arena Fonte Nova as EC Bahia face off against CA Mineiro in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' CA Mineiro is showing some good football. However, CA Mineiro are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 11' EC Bahia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Cauly on 11.
- 16' Over 16 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 21' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Nicolas Acevedo exits the field as Lucas Mugni enters on 21.
- 26' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and CA Mineiro are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 31' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 36' What a strike from Paulinho! The score is 1-1.
- 41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 475 games and scored 475 goals.
- 46' A tactical swap from CA Mineiro — Rubens on, Igor Gomes off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Edenilson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 52' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Luciano Juba makes it 2-1.
- 57' The referee has no hesitation. Rubens is booked for CA Mineiro — Yellow card on 57.
- 58' Rubens was booked on 58.
- 61' EC Bahia receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 61.
- 66' The 40-year-old Mariano has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 67' Against the run of play, Thaciano has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 67' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Cristian Pavon by Alan Kardec on 67 minute.
- 72' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 77' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against CA Mineiro's shape.
- 79' Rezende makes way for Diego Rosa at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 81' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Ademir Santos comes on to replace Thaciano.
- 82' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Leo Cittadini is hanging Lucas Mugni on the field on 82 minute.
- 83' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Gilberto exits the field as Cicinho enters on 83.
- 85' The referee shows CA Mineiro player a Yellow card on 85.
- 90' EC Bahia player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- EC Bahia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Leo Cittadini 82'
- 2
- –
- 4
- 8
- 31
- 33
- –
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Lucas Mugni 21'
-
10
Gabriel Teixeira ↓ Cicinho 83'
-
5
Rezende ↓ Diego Rosa 79'
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 81'
- 1
-
18
Leo Cittadini ↑ 82'
-
19
Lucas Mugni ↑ 21'
-
40
Cicinho ↑ 83'
- 11
- 9
- 29
- –
- 44
-
17
Diego Rosa ↑ 79'
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Rubens 46'
- 16
- 34
- 5
- 10
- 13
- 25
-
9
Cristian Pavon ↓ Alan Kardec 67'
- 8
- 7
Bench
- 4
-
38
Pedrinho ↑ 67'
- 20
- 49
- 11
- 23
-
44
Rubens ↑ 46'
- 1
-
14
Alan Kardec ↑ 67'
- 27
-
45
Alisson Santana ↑ 83'
- 46
Coach
Luiz Felipe Scolari
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
68%
Draw or CA Mineiro
58%
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

