EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 35 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | CA Mineiro | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | América FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cuiabá EC | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | EC Bahia | A | 1–4 | L |
| 03 Dec | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #7 |
| 53 | Points | 51 |
| 34 | Played | 35 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 12 |
| 50 | Scored | 44 |
| 45 | Conceded | 40 |
| +5 | GD | +4 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.46 |
| 41% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (51 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between EC Bahia and CA Mineiro is underway.
- 5' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 11' Cauly adds to his 0 season tally! EC Bahia lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 16' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 21' The whistle greets Nicolas Acevedo as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Mugni.
- 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 31' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and CA Mineiro are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 36' What a moment for Paulinho! That strike on 36 puts his side firmly in control.
- 41' CA Mineiro come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Rubens comes on to replace Igor Gomes.
- 51' Everson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 52' A goal from the Brazil international Luciano Juba! He fires home on 45 to make it 2-1!
- 57' CA Mineiro receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 57.
- 58' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Rubens.
- 61' Rezende picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 489 games and scored 494 goals.
- 67' Goal! Thaciano scores his 25 goal in 342 matches.
- 67' CA Mineiro make a change. Cristian Pavon trudges off to be replaced by Alan Kardec on 67 minutes.
- 72' Cristian Pavon has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 77' CA Mineiro are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 79' The whistle greets Rezende as he departs to be replaced by Diego Rosa.
- 81' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Thaciano departs to be replaced by Ademir Santos.
- 82' Leo Cittadini is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Mugni at the 82 minute mark.
- 83' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Cicinho comes on to replace Gilberto.
- 85' CA Mineiro receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 85.
- 90' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Ademir Santos gets a Yellow card.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. EC Bahia take all three points.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
28
Thaciano ↓ Leo Cittadini 82'
- 2
- –
- 4
- 8
- 31
- 33
- –
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Lucas Mugni 21'
-
10
Gabriel Teixeira ↓ Cicinho 83'
-
5
Rezende ↓ Diego Rosa 79'
Bench
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 81'
- 1
-
18
Leo Cittadini ↑ 82'
-
19
Lucas Mugni ↑ 21'
-
40
Cicinho ↑ 83'
- 11
- 9
- 29
- –
- 44
-
17
Diego Rosa ↑ 79'
- 3
Coach
Rogério Ceni
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Rubens 46'
- 16
- 34
- 5
- 10
- 13
- 25
-
9
Cristian Pavon ↓ Alan Kardec 67'
- 8
- 7
Bench
- 4
-
38
Pedrinho ↑ 67'
- 20
- 49
- 11
- 23
-
44
Rubens ↑ 46'
- 1
-
14
Alan Kardec ↑ 67'
- 27
-
45
Alisson Santana ↑ 83'
- 46
Coach
Luiz Felipe Scolari
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Federico Zaracho | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro 73% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
67%
Draw or CA Mineiro
60%
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 19% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

