Saturday , 14 November 2026

EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

4 – 1
Full Time
Thu 7 Dec 2023 · 00:30 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 57' Rubens
Y 58' Rubens
Rezende 61' Y
Vitor Hugo 61' Y
David Duarte 61' Y
Y 85' Paulinho

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec CA Mineiro H 4–1 W
03 Dec América FC A 2–3 L
29 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 5–1 W
12 Nov CA Paranaense H 1–1 D
09 Nov Cuiabá EC H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec EC Bahia A 1–4 L
03 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
29 Nov CR Flamengo A 3–0 W
26 Nov Gremio FBPA H 3–0 W
12 Nov Goiás EC H 2–1 W
09 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D

Season Stats

EC Bahia CA Mineiro
#6 Position #7
53 Points 51
34 Played 35
14 / 11 / 9 W / D / L 14 / 9 / 12
50 Scored 44
45 Conceded 40
+5 GD +4
1.56 PPG 1.46
41% Win % 40%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
24% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (51 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 11 G 2 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 4 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
CA Mineiro
Bernard 5 G 4 A
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between EC Bahia and CA Mineiro is underway.
  • 5' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 11' Cauly adds to his 0 season tally! EC Bahia lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 16' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 21' The whistle greets Nicolas Acevedo as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Mugni.
  • 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 31' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and CA Mineiro are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 36' What a moment for Paulinho! That strike on 36 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 41' CA Mineiro come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 46' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Rubens comes on to replace Igor Gomes.
  • 51' Everson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 52' A goal from the Brazil international Luciano Juba! He fires home on 45 to make it 2-1!
  • 57' CA Mineiro receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 57.
  • 58' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Rubens.
  • 61' Rezende picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 489 games and scored 494 goals.
  • 67' Goal! Thaciano scores his 25 goal in 342 matches.
  • 67' CA Mineiro make a change. Cristian Pavon trudges off to be replaced by Alan Kardec on 67 minutes.
  • 72' Cristian Pavon has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 77' CA Mineiro are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 79' The whistle greets Rezende as he departs to be replaced by Diego Rosa.
  • 81' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Thaciano departs to be replaced by Ademir Santos.
  • 82' Leo Cittadini is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Mugni at the 82 minute mark.
  • 83' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Cicinho comes on to replace Gilberto.
  • 85' CA Mineiro receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 85.
  • 90' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Ademir Santos gets a Yellow card.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. EC Bahia take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia or CA Mineiro 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia40% Draw27% CA Mineiro33%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
67%
Draw or CA Mineiro
60%
EC Bahia or CA Mineiro
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia30% Draw44% CA Mineiro26%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.