EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | CA Mineiro | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | America FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Apr | CSD Colo-Colo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | Club Alianza Lima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Dec | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–3 | L |
| 03 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 33 | Points | 38 |
| 22 | Played | 23 |
| 8 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 5 |
| 29 | Scored | 34 |
| 25 | Conceded | 28 |
| +4 | GD | +6 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 36% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Octavio Mangabeira will turn into a battlefield for EC Bahia and Fluminense FC.
- 4' GOAL! German Cano fires home to make it 0-1!
- 9' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 14' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 19' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Cauly has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' That is a card for EC Bahia. Caio Alexandre will be fuming at that decision.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 35' GOAL! Caio Alexandre fires home to make it 1-1!
- 40' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Thaciano on 40 minutes.
- 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 47' A moment of madness from Lima on 47 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- 51' It’s a booking for Fluminense FC player. Martinelli gets a card.
- 53' John Kennedy is replacing Lima for the Fluminense FC side.
- 54' Everton Ribeiro picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 59' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' EC Bahia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Cauly on 61.
- 66' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 67' Fluminense FC make a change. Manoel trudges off to be replaced by Douglas Costa on 67 minutes.
- 70' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 71' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gabriel Teixeira is hanging Ademir Santos on the field on 71 minute.
- 76' Victor Cuesta has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 333 appearances.
- 77' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 77.
- 79' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Isaac comes on to replace German Cano.
- 83' Carlos De Pena gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Everton Ribeiro and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' The referee has no hesitation. Ganso is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 88.
- 90' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Cauly departs to be replaced by Cicinho.
- It finishes all square. EC Bahia and Fluminense FC share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
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Caio Alexandre ↓ Rezende 71'
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Bench
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Cicinho ↑ 90'
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Everaldo ↑ 83'
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Carlos De Pena ↑ 83'
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Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 71'
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Rezende ↑ 71'
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
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Manoel ↓ Douglas Costa 67'
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Samuel Xavier ↓ Elias Kaua 79'
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German Cano ↓ Isaac 79'
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Lima ↓ John Kennedy 53'
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Bench
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Douglas Costa ↑ 67'
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John Kennedy ↑ 53'
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Alexsander Gomes ↑ 67'
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Isaac ↑ 79'
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Elias Kaua ↑ 79'
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Everaldo | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
75%
Draw or Fluminense FC
51%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

