EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | CA Mineiro | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | America FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Apr | CSD Colo-Colo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | Club Alianza Lima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Dec | Grêmio FBPA | H | 2–3 | L |
| 03 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #3 |
| 26 | Points | 31 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 4 / 5 |
| 25 | Scored | 28 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| +2 | GD | +5 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 41% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Bahia welcome Fluminense FC for this crunch clash at Octavio Mangabeira.
- 4' German Cano does the damage! The net is bulging and Fluminense FC surge ahead!
- 9' Diogo Barbosa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 14' EC Bahia have won 348 goals from 325 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 19' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 20' Controversy at the stadium! Caio Alexandre argues furiously but the card stands.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' Assisted by Cauly with the perfectly-timed delivery and Caio Alexandre makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 40' The referee calls foul for Thaciano. He receives a card.
- 45' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 47' Poor challenge from Lima. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 51' Martinelli picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 53' John Kennedy is replacing Lima for the Fluminense FC side.
- 54' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Everton Ribeiro gets a card.
- 59' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 61' What a strike from Cauly! The score is 2-1.
- 66' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alexsander Gomes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 67' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Manoel has done his job and it is now time for Douglas Costa to step up.
- 70' The referee does not hesitate — a card for John Kennedy on 70 minutes.
- 71' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Gabriel Teixeira on, Ademir Santos off on 71 minutes.
- 76' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
- 77' Alexsander Gomes catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 77.
- 79' Isaac is ready to make an impact after coming on for German Cano at the 79 minute mark.
- 83' EC Bahia make a change. Everton Ribeiro trudges off to be replaced by Carlos De Pena on 83 minutes.
- 88' That is a card for Fluminense FC. Ganso will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' EC Bahia make a change. Cauly trudges off to be replaced by Cicinho on 90 minutes.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. EC Bahia take all three points.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
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Caio Alexandre ↓ Rezende 71'
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Bench
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Cicinho ↑ 90'
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Everaldo ↑ 83'
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Carlos De Pena ↑ 83'
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Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 71'
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Rezende ↑ 71'
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
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Manoel ↓ Douglas Costa 67'
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Samuel Xavier ↓ Elias Kaua 79'
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German Cano ↓ Isaac 79'
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Lima ↓ John Kennedy 53'
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Bench
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Douglas Costa ↑ 67'
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John Kennedy ↑ 53'
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Alexsander Gomes ↑ 67'
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Isaac ↑ 79'
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Elias Kaua ↑ 79'
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Luiz Henrique | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.64
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
74%
Draw or Fluminense FC
51%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

