EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | CA Mineiro | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | América FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | São Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Apr | CSD Colo-Colo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | Club Alianza Lima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Dec | Manchester City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Dec | Al Ahly SC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #4 |
| 53 | Points | 57 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 9 |
| 50 | Scored | 55 |
| 45 | Conceded | 42 |
| +5 | GD | +13 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.68 |
| 41% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. EC Bahia host Fluminense FC — let the battle begin!
- 4' German Cano does the damage! The net is bulging and Fluminense FC surge ahead!
- 9' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 2 meetings.
- 14' A quiet spell here at Octavio Mangabeira. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 19' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' Caio Alexandre catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 20.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' Caio Alexandre is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fluminense FC tonight.
- 35' GOAL! Caio Alexandre fires home to make it 1-1!
- 40' Controversy at the stadium! Thaciano argues furiously but the card stands.
- 45' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 47' Lima catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 47.
- 51' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 51.
- 53' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! John Kennedy comes on to replace Lima.
- 54' Controversy at the stadium! Everton Ribeiro argues furiously but the card stands.
- 59' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 61' What a strike from Cauly! The score is 2-1.
- 66' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Marquinhos has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 67' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Manoel is withdrawn and Douglas Costa gets his opportunity.
- 70' It’s a booking for Fluminense FC player. John Kennedy gets a card.
- 71' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Ademir Santos exits the field as Gabriel Teixeira enters on 71.
- 76' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 77' It’s gonna be a card for Alexsander Gomes.
- 79' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. German Cano departs to be replaced by Isaac.
- 83' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Everton Ribeiro by Carlos De Pena on 83 minute.
- 88' Ganso has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 88.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Cicinho. He replaces Cauly on 90 minute.
- The points are shared — EC Bahia 2-1 Fluminense FC. Honours even.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
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Caio Alexandre ↓ Rezende 71'
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Bench
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Cicinho ↑ 90'
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Everaldo ↑ 83'
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Carlos De Pena ↑ 83'
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Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 71'
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Rezende ↑ 71'
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
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Manoel ↓ Douglas Costa 67'
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Samuel Xavier ↓ Elias Kaua 79'
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German Cano ↓ Isaac 79'
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Lima ↓ John Kennedy 53'
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Bench
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Douglas Costa ↑ 67'
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John Kennedy ↑ 53'
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Alexsander Gomes ↑ 67'
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Isaac ↑ 79'
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Elias Kaua ↑ 79'
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.72
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
74%
Draw or Fluminense FC
51%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

