EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Octavio Mangabeira.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | CA Mineiro | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | America FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Apr | CSD Colo-Colo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | Club Alianza Lima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Dec | Manchester City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Dec | Al Ahly SC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 46 | Points | 48 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 13 / 9 / 6 |
| 43 | Scored | 44 |
| 35 | Conceded | 36 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 43% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between EC Bahia and Fluminense FC is underway.
- 4' German Cano adds to his 2 season tally! Fluminense FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 9' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 14' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 19' Over 19 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 20.
- 25' EC Bahia have won 359 goals from 333 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' Caio Alexandre makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and EC Bahia are in front.
- 40' Thaciano picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 45' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 47' The referee has no hesitation. Lima is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 47.
- 51' That looks like a foul for a card for Martinelli.
- 53' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Lima by John Kennedy on 53 minute.
- 54' Everton Ribeiro was booked on 54.
- 59' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 61' The Brazil Cauly breaks the deadlock on 61 minutes. 2-1!
- 66' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 2 meetings.
- 67' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 67 minute. Manoel leaves to be changed by Douglas Costa.
- 70' A meaty challenge results in booking for John Kennedy on 70.
- 71' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gabriel Teixeira is hanging Ademir Santos on the field on 71 minute.
- 76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 77' The referee has no hesitation. Alexsander Gomes is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 77.
- 79' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace German Cano by Isaac on 79 minute.
- 83' Carlos De Pena is ready to make an impact after coming on for Everton Ribeiro at the 83 minute mark.
- 88' Ganso is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
- 90' Cauly makes way for Cicinho at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — EC Bahia 2-1 Fluminense FC.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
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Caio Alexandre ↓ Rezende 71'
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Bench
- –
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Cicinho ↑ 90'
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Everaldo ↑ 83'
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Carlos De Pena ↑ 83'
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Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 71'
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Rezende ↑ 71'
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
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Manoel ↓ Douglas Costa 67'
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Samuel Xavier ↓ Elias Kaua 79'
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German Cano ↓ Isaac 79'
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Lima ↓ John Kennedy 53'
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Bench
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Douglas Costa ↑ 67'
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John Kennedy ↑ 53'
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Alexsander Gomes ↑ 67'
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Isaac ↑ 79'
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Elias Kaua ↑ 79'
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Luiz Henrique | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
76%
Draw or Fluminense FC
49%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 22% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

