Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 32,538 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kane Wilson 78' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FCLeague One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Edwards
  • Assistant 1 Graeme Fyvie
  • Assistant 2 Johnathon Bickerdike (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar Reading FC H 2–1 W
09 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 3–0 W
02 Mar Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Derby County FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Oxford United FC H 5–0 W
09 Mar Exeter City FC A 2–2 D
05 Mar Barnsley FC A 2–2 D
02 Mar Cambridge United FC H 2–0 W
27 Feb Wigan Athletic FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Derby County FC is hosting Bolton Wanderers FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' It looks surprising Bolton Wanderers FC does not make any changes. Kyle Dempsey has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 21' Another change for Derby County FC made on 21 minute. Dwight Gayle leaves to be changed by Korey Smith.
  • 26' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 28' Eoin Toal is having his name booked by the referee on 28.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' Another change for Derby County FC made on 46 minute. Joe Ward leaves to be changed by Kane Wilson.
  • 51' Dwight Gayle needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 64' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 69' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bolton Wanderers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Callum Elder. He replaces Louie Sibley on 77 minute.
  • 78' Kane Wilson puts Derby County FC on the lead.
  • 80' Another substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC to replace Nathanael Ogbeta by Randell Williams on 80 minute.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Bolton Wanderers FC team. Edmond-Paris Maghoma is replaced by Kyle Dempsey on 84 minute.
  • 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gethin Jones, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • With this win, Derby County FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.48 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC51% Draw27% Bolton Wanderers FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
49%
Derby County FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC34% Draw49% Bolton Wanderers FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.