Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marc Edwards
- Assistant 1 Graeme Fyvie
- Assistant 2 Johnathon Bickerdike (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Bolton Wanderers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Reading FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Port Vale FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Feb | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Feb | Barnsley FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Derby County FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Oxford United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Exeter City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Mar | Barnsley FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Mar | Cambridge United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Feb | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Derby County FC and Bolton Wanderers FC get this one started.
- 5' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Bolton Wanderers FC's shape.
- 21' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Dwight Gayle is replaced by Korey Smith on 21 minute.
- 26' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 28' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Eoin Toal.
- 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 38' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' Kane Wilson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joe Ward on 46 minute.
- 51' Cameron Jerome, a Grenada , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 56' Bolton Wanderers FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 59' The referee has no hesitation. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is booked for Derby County FC — card on 59.
- 64' Bolton Wanderers FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 69' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 74' With 0 assists to his name this season, Craig Forsyth is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
- 77' Derby County FC ring the changes. Louie Sibley has done his job and it is now time for Callum Elder to step up.
- 78' The deadlock is broken! Kane Wilson gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
- 80' Fresh legs for Bolton Wanderers FC! Randell Williams comes on to replace Nathanael Ogbeta.
- 84' The Bolton Wanderers FC bench stirs into life. Edmond-Paris Maghoma is withdrawn and Kyle Dempsey gets his opportunity.
- 89' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Bolton Wanderers FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- It finishes all square. Derby County FC and Bolton Wanderers FC share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Dwight Gayle ↓ Korey Smith 21'
- 3
- 11
- 4
- 35
-
23
Joe Ward ↓ Kane Wilson 46'
- 32
-
17
Louie Sibley ↓ Callum Elder 77'
- 6
- 7
- 1
Bench
-
12
Korey Smith ↑ 21'
- 10
- 27
-
2
Kane Wilson ↑ 46'
- 13
-
20
Callum Elder ↑ 77'
- 16
Coach
Paul Warne
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 2
- 13
- 28
- 18
-
4
George Thomason ↓ Aaron Morley 84'
- 19
- 17
- 12
- 5
-
9
Jon Bodvarsson ↓ Cameron Jerome 77'
Bench
-
22
Kyle Dempsey ↑ 84'
-
16
Aaron Morley ↑ 84'
-
27
Randell Williams ↑ 80'
- 3
- 40
-
35
Cameron Jerome ↑ 77'
- 15
Coach
Ian Evatt
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mason Mount | 3 |
| Conor Hourihane | 2 |
| Kane Wilson | 1 |
| Craig Noone | 1 |
| Craig Noone | 1 |
| Craig Bryson | 1 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 1 |
| Will Aimson | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2024-03-16
Derby County FC
1–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2024-03-12
Bolton Wanderers FC
5–0
Oxford United FC
W
2024-03-09
Exeter City FC
2–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
D
2024-03-05
Barnsley FC
2–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
D
2024-03-02
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–0
Cambridge United FC
W
2024-02-27
Wigan Athletic FC
1–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.48
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
49%
Derby County FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Bolton Wanderers FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

