Bolton Wanderers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Derby County FC — League One at University of Bolton Stadium.
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Dec | Exeter City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 02 Dec | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Nov | Fleetwood Town FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | Cambridge United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Dec | Forest Green Rovers FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Burton Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Nov | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Nov | Torquay United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Bolton Wanderers FC is hosting Derby County FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Derby County FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 15' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' Bolton Wanderers FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 26' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Craig Forsyth.
- 31' Sierra Leone international Amadou Bakayoko has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 36' Bolton Wanderers FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
- 41' Over 41 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Bolton Wanderers FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eoin Toal, as he is very good at scoring at University of Bolton Stadium with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 61' Poor challenge from Conor Bradley. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 63' Lewis Dobbin is replacing Tom Barkhuizen for the Derby County FC side.
- 67' A change in the Bolton Wanderers FC ranks — Kieran Lee exits the field as Jordan Williams enters on 67.
- 68' The Bolton Wanderers FC bench stirs into life. Josh Sheehan is withdrawn and Kyle Dempsey gets his opportunity.
- 73' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 78' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 79' Bolton Wanderers FC make a change. Dion Charles trudges off to be replaced by Elias Kachunga on 79 minutes.
- 84' The 30-year-old Joseph Wildsmith has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 85' Another substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC to replace Oladapo Afolayan by Jon Dadi Bodvarsson on 85 minute.
- 86' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing makes way for William Osula at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
- 89' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Will Aimson on 89 minutes.
- 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Josh Sheehan ↓ Kyle Dempsey 68'
-
20
Kieran Lee ↓ Jordan Williams 67'
- 15
-
16
Aaron Morley ↓ Amadou Bakayoko 79'
-
10
Dion Charles ↓ Elias Kachunga 79'
- 18
- 17
- 14
- 6
- 19
- 21
Bench
-
9
Jon Daði Boðvarsson ↑ 85'
-
24
Elias Kachunga ↑ 79'
-
22
Kyle Dempsey ↑ 68'
-
4
Jordan Williams ↑ 67'
-
11
Amadou Bakayoko ↑ 79'
- 7
- 30
Coach
Ian Evatt
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 3
- 8
- 11
-
7
Tom Barkhuizen ↓ Lewis Dobbin 63'
- 1
- 4
- 9
- 38
- 17
- 6
Bench
- 33
- 19
- 21
- 15
- 16
-
23
William Osula ↑ 86'
-
18
Lewis Dobbin ↑ 63'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mason Mount | 3 |
| Conor Hourihane | 2 |
| Will Aimson | 1 |
| Kieran Sadlier | 1 |
| Dion Charles | 1 |
| Kane Wilson | 1 |
| Jack Robinson | 1 |
| Craig Noone | 1 |
Head to Head
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2022-12-27
Bolton Wanderers FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2022-12-17
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–0
Exeter City FC
W
2022-12-10
Shrewsbury Town FC
3–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2022-12-02
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–1
Bristol Rovers FC
D
2022-11-19
Fleetwood Town FC
1–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2022-11-12
Cambridge United FC
0–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
D
Derby County FC Form
2022-12-27
Bolton Wanderers FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2022-12-17
Derby County FC
4–0
Forest Green Rovers FC
W
2022-12-10
Burton Albion FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2022-12-03
Derby County FC
0–0
Sheffield Wednesday FC
D
2022-11-18
Portsmouth FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2022-11-15
Derby County FC
5–0
Torquay United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 73% + Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
64%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Derby County FC
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
2%
3 – 1
1.9%
0 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC
| Handicap | Bolton Wanderers FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 21% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

