Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 27 Dec 2022 · 15:00 UTC University of Bolton Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Derby County FC H 0–0 D
17 Dec Exeter City FC H 2–0 W
10 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–3 L
02 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 1–1 D
19 Nov Fleetwood Town FC A 2–1 W
12 Nov Cambridge United FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
17 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC H 4–0 W
10 Dec Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
03 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–0 D
18 Nov Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
15 Nov Torquay United FC H 5–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Derby County FC get us underway at University of Bolton Stadium.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bolton Wanderers FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 26' Craig Forsyth has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 26.
  • 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jason Knight suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ian Evatt will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 61' The referee shows Bolton Wanderers FC player a Yellow card on 61.
  • 63' Derby County FC make a change. Tom Barkhuizen trudges off to be replaced by Lewis Dobbin on 63 minutes.
  • 67' The Bolton Wanderers FC manager makes a substitution. Kieran Lee departs to be replaced by Jordan Williams.
  • 68' Kyle Dempsey is replacing Josh Sheehan for the Bolton Wanderers FC side.
  • 73' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 78' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 79' The Bolton Wanderers FC bench stirs into life. Dion Charles is withdrawn and Elias Kachunga gets his opportunity.
  • 84' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 85' Jon Dadi Bodvarsson is replacing Oladapo Afolayan for the Bolton Wanderers FC side.
  • 86' William Osula has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 86 minute.
  • 89' Bolton Wanderers FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 89.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bolton Wanderers FC36% Draw34% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
64%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Derby County FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC22% Draw58% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
2%
3 – 1
1.9%
0 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 21% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 20% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.