Bolton Wanderers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Derby County FC — League One at University of Bolton Stadium.
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Dec | Exeter City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 02 Dec | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Nov | Fleetwood Town FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | Cambridge United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Dec | Forest Green Rovers FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Burton Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Nov | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Nov | Torquay United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Bolton Wanderers FC and Derby County FC get this one started.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bolton Wanderers FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Tom Barkhuizen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Josh Sheehan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 26' Craig Forsyth picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 31' Will Aimson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 36' Bolton Wanderers FC is showing some good football. However, Bolton Wanderers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 41' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
- 46' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 56' Derby County FC have won 457 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 61' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Conor Bradley.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Dobbin. He replaces Tom Barkhuizen on 63 minute.
- 67' Jordan Williams gets the nod from Bolton Wanderers FC. He replaces Kieran Lee and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' The Bolton Wanderers FC manager makes a substitution. Josh Sheehan departs to be replaced by Kyle Dempsey.
- 73' Bolton Wanderers FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 78' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 79' The Bolton Wanderers FC manager makes a substitution. Dion Charles departs to be replaced by Elias Kachunga.
- 84' Korey Smith has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 85' Oladapo Afolayan makes way for Jon Dadi Bodvarsson at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bolton Wanderers FC.
- 86' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing by William Osula on 86 minute.
- 89' The referee calls foul for Will Aimson. He receives a Yellow card.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Josh Sheehan ↓ Kyle Dempsey 68'
-
20
Kieran Lee ↓ Jordan Williams 67'
- 15
-
16
Aaron Morley ↓ Amadou Bakayoko 79'
-
10
Dion Charles ↓ Elias Kachunga 79'
- 18
- 17
- 14
- 6
- 19
- 21
Bench
-
9
Jon Daði Boðvarsson ↑ 85'
-
24
Elias Kachunga ↑ 79'
-
22
Kyle Dempsey ↑ 68'
-
4
Jordan Williams ↑ 67'
-
11
Amadou Bakayoko ↑ 79'
- 7
- 30
Coach
Ian Evatt
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 3
- 8
- 11
-
7
Tom Barkhuizen ↓ Lewis Dobbin 63'
- 1
- 4
- 9
- 38
- 17
- 6
Bench
- 33
- 19
- 21
- 15
- 16
-
23
William Osula ↑ 86'
-
18
Lewis Dobbin ↑ 63'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mason Mount | 3 |
| Conor Hourihane | 2 |
| Craig Noone | 1 |
| Craig Bryson | 1 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 1 |
| Will Aimson | 1 |
| Kieran Sadlier | 1 |
| Dion Charles | 1 |
Head to Head
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2022-12-27
Bolton Wanderers FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2022-12-17
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–0
Exeter City FC
W
2022-12-10
Shrewsbury Town FC
3–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2022-12-02
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–1
Bristol Rovers FC
D
2022-11-19
Fleetwood Town FC
1–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2022-11-12
Cambridge United FC
0–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
D
Derby County FC Form
2022-12-27
Bolton Wanderers FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2022-12-17
Derby County FC
4–0
Forest Green Rovers FC
W
2022-12-10
Burton Albion FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2022-12-03
Derby County FC
0–0
Sheffield Wednesday FC
D
2022-11-18
Portsmouth FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2022-11-15
Derby County FC
5–0
Torquay United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 73% + Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
64%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Derby County FC
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
2%
3 – 1
1.9%
0 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC
| Handicap | Bolton Wanderers FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 21% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.