Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 27 Dec 2022 · 15:00 UTC University of Bolton Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Derby County FC H 0–0 D
17 Dec Exeter City FC H 2–0 W
10 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–3 L
02 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 1–1 D
19 Nov Fleetwood Town FC A 2–1 W
12 Nov Cambridge United FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
17 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC H 4–0 W
10 Dec Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
03 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–0 D
18 Nov Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
15 Nov Torquay United FC H 5–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bolton Wanderers FC36% Draw34% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
64%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Derby County FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC22% Draw58% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
2%
3 – 1
1.9%
0 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 21% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 20% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.