Bolton Wanderers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Derby County FC — League One at University of Bolton Stadium.
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Dec | Exeter City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 02 Dec | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Nov | Fleetwood Town FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | Cambridge United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Dec | Forest Green Rovers FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Burton Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Nov | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Nov | Torquay United FC | H | 5–0 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Derby County FC get us underway at University of Bolton Stadium.
- 5' Max Bird has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 385 appearances.
- 10' Bolton Wanderers FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Bolton Wanderers FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 25' Kieran Lee is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
- 26' Controversy at the stadium! Craig Forsyth argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 31' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 41' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 41 minutes.
- 46' It is a cagey affair so far. Bolton Wanderers FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 56' A quiet spell here at University of Bolton Stadium. Bolton Wanderers FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 61' The referee calls foul for Conor Bradley. He receives a Yellow card.
- 63' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Lewis Dobbin comes on to replace Tom Barkhuizen.
- 67' Bolton Wanderers FC ring the changes. Kieran Lee has done his job and it is now time for Jordan Williams to step up.
- 68' Bolton Wanderers FC make a change. Josh Sheehan trudges off to be replaced by Kyle Dempsey on 68 minutes.
- 73' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 79' A tactical swap from Bolton Wanderers FC — Elias Kachunga on, Dion Charles off on 79 minutes.
- 84' It looks surprising Bolton Wanderers FC does not make any changes. Tom Barkhuizen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 85' Jon Dadi Bodvarsson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Oladapo Afolayan on 85 minute.
- 86' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — William Osula on, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing off on 86 minutes.
- 89' Will Aimson is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Bolton Wanderers FC 0-0 Derby County FC.
Lineups
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Josh Sheehan ↓ Kyle Dempsey 68'
-
20
Kieran Lee ↓ Jordan Williams 67'
- 15
-
16
Aaron Morley ↓ Amadou Bakayoko 79'
-
10
Dion Charles ↓ Elias Kachunga 79'
- 18
- 17
- 14
- 6
- 19
- 21
Bench
-
9
Jon Daði Boðvarsson ↑ 85'
-
24
Elias Kachunga ↑ 79'
-
22
Kyle Dempsey ↑ 68'
-
4
Jordan Williams ↑ 67'
-
11
Amadou Bakayoko ↑ 79'
- 7
- 30
Coach
Ian Evatt
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 3
- 8
- 11
-
7
Tom Barkhuizen ↓ Lewis Dobbin 63'
- 1
- 4
- 9
- 38
- 17
- 6
Bench
- 33
- 19
- 21
- 15
- 16
-
23
William Osula ↑ 86'
-
18
Lewis Dobbin ↑ 63'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mason Mount | 3 |
| Conor Hourihane | 2 |
| Kieran Sadlier | 1 |
| Dion Charles | 1 |
| Kane Wilson | 1 |
| Craig Noone | 1 |
| Craig Noone | 1 |
| Craig Bryson | 1 |
Head to Head
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2022-12-27
Bolton Wanderers FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2022-12-17
Bolton Wanderers FC
2–0
Exeter City FC
W
2022-12-10
Shrewsbury Town FC
3–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2022-12-02
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–1
Bristol Rovers FC
D
2022-11-19
Fleetwood Town FC
1–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2022-11-12
Cambridge United FC
0–0
Bolton Wanderers FC
D
Derby County FC Form
2022-12-27
Bolton Wanderers FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2022-12-17
Derby County FC
4–0
Forest Green Rovers FC
W
2022-12-10
Burton Albion FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2022-12-03
Derby County FC
0–0
Sheffield Wednesday FC
D
2022-11-18
Portsmouth FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2022-11-15
Derby County FC
5–0
Torquay United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 73% + Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
64%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Derby County FC
66%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
2%
3 – 1
1.9%
0 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC
| Handicap | Bolton Wanderers FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 21% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

