Saturday , 14 November 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 27 Dec 2022 · 15:00 UTC University of Bolton Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Derby County FC H 0–0 D
17 Dec Exeter City FC H 2–0 W
10 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–3 L
02 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 1–1 D
19 Nov Fleetwood Town FC A 2–1 W
12 Nov Cambridge United FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
17 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC H 4–0 W
10 Dec Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
03 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–0 D
18 Nov Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
15 Nov Torquay United FC H 5–0 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Bolton Wanderers FC is hosting Derby County FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' Derby County FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 15' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' Bolton Wanderers FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 26' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Craig Forsyth.
  • 31' Sierra Leone international Amadou Bakayoko has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 36' Bolton Wanderers FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 41' Over 41 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Bolton Wanderers FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eoin Toal, as he is very good at scoring at University of Bolton Stadium with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 61' Poor challenge from Conor Bradley. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 63' Lewis Dobbin is replacing Tom Barkhuizen for the Derby County FC side.
  • 67' A change in the Bolton Wanderers FC ranks — Kieran Lee exits the field as Jordan Williams enters on 67.
  • 68' The Bolton Wanderers FC bench stirs into life. Josh Sheehan is withdrawn and Kyle Dempsey gets his opportunity.
  • 73' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 78' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 79' Bolton Wanderers FC make a change. Dion Charles trudges off to be replaced by Elias Kachunga on 79 minutes.
  • 84' The 30-year-old Joseph Wildsmith has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 85' Another substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC to replace Oladapo Afolayan by Jon Dadi Bodvarsson on 85 minute.
  • 86' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing makes way for William Osula at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 89' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Will Aimson on 89 minutes.
  • 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bolton Wanderers FC36% Draw34% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
64%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Derby County FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC22% Draw58% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
2%
3 – 1
1.9%
0 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 21% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 20% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.