Tuesday , 27 October 2026

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2026-27
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC The Den

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Portsmouth FC A 1–2 L
17 Oct Lincoln City FC H 2–2 D
13 Oct Swansea City AFC H 0–1 L
10 Oct Preston North End FC A 1–0 W
19 Sep West Ham United FC H 2–2 D
15 Sep Middlesbrough FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Oct Sheffield United FC A 1–1 D
17 Oct Stoke City FC H 0–1 L
14 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–4 L
10 Oct Wrexham AFC H 1–1 D
19 Sep Burnley FC A 1–1 D
12 Sep Birmingham City FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Derby County FC
#14 Position #24
15 Points 7
12 Played 12
4 / 3 / 5 W / D / L 1 / 4 / 7
19 Scored 10
20 Conceded 21
-1 GD -11
1.25 PPG 0.58
33% Win % 8%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
8% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Millwall FC are 14th (15 pts). Derby County FC are 24th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
1/4
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/5
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Camiel Neghli 3 G 2 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

H2H

Predictions

1.87 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC to win 57%

Match Result

Millwall FC57% Draw24% Derby County FC19%

Both Teams to Score

Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.88

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
43%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
76%

Half-Time Result

Millwall FC40% Draw44% Derby County FC16%

Correct Score

1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 23% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.