Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 12 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 12 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough FC | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea City AFC | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham United FC | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton FC | 12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham City FC | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 12 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City FC | 12 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 12 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 12 | 18 |
| 12 | Portsmouth FC | 12 | 18 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 12 | 16 |
| 14 | Millwall FC | 12 | 15 |
| 15 | Bristol City FC | 12 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln City FC | 12 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff City FC | 12 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham AFC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 12 | 14 |
| 20 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 12 | 14 |
| 21 | Norwich City FC | 12 | 12 |
| 22 | Watford FC | 12 | 11 |
| 23 | Burnley FC | 12 | 8 |
| 24 | Derby County FC | 12 | 7 |
| 25 | Preston North End FC | 12 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | Lincoln City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Oct | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | Preston North End FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | West Ham United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | Stoke City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | Wrexham AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | Burnley FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #24 |
| 15 | Points | 7 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 4 / 3 / 5 | W / D / L | 1 / 4 / 7 |
| 19 | Scored | 10 |
| 20 | Conceded | 21 |
| -1 | GD | -11 |
| 1.25 | PPG | 0.58 |
| 33% | Win % | 8% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
8%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Millwall FC are 14th (15 pts). Derby County FC are 24th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
1/4
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/5
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 2 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Jerry Yates | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Connor Mahoney | 1 |
| Matt Smith | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
1.87
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC to win 57%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
43%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
76%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 23% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

