Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 2 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC University of Bolton Stadium 21,754 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 34' Conor Hourihane pen
Dion Charles pen 43' 1–1
Tyrese Fornah og 65' 2–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Derby County FC H 2–1 W
26 Aug Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
19 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 0–4 L
15 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 3–1 W
12 Aug Cheltenham Town FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Lincoln City FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
26 Aug Peterborough United FC A 4–2 W
19 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–0 W
15 Aug Oxford United FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Bolton Wanderers FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC40% Draw26% Derby County FC34%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Derby County FC
60%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC25% Draw46% Derby County FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.