Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 2 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC University of Bolton Stadium 21,754 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 34' Conor Hourihane pen
Dion Charles pen 43' 1–1
Tyrese Fornah og 65' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at University of Bolton Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Charles Breakspear
  • Assistant 1 Darren Williams (England)
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Derby County FC H 2–1 W
26 Aug Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
19 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 0–4 L
15 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 3–1 W
12 Aug Cheltenham Town FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Lincoln City FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
26 Aug Peterborough United FC A 4–2 W
19 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–0 W
15 Aug Oxford United FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Bolton Wanderers FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC40% Draw26% Derby County FC34%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Derby County FC
60%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC25% Draw46% Derby County FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.