Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 21 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
14 Jan Cheltenham Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Jan Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
02 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W
30 Dec Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W
27 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Derby County FC A 1–2 L
14 Jan Portsmouth FC H 3–0 W
07 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
02 Jan Barnsley FC A 3–0 W
30 Dec Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
27 Dec Derby County FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Derby County FC welcome Bolton Wanderers FC for this crunch clash at Pride Park.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 400 games and scored 466 goals.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 16' The referee has no hesitation. George Johnston is booked for Bolton Wanderers FC — Yellow card on 16.
  • 16' Against the run of play, Will Aimson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 21' David McGoldrick needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 20 Yellow cards this season.
  • 26' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 26.
  • 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aaron Morley made 141 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 41' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bolton Wanderers FC backline.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Conor Hourihane on 45 minutes.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Max Bird suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Bolton Wanderers FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 63' Another change for Bolton Wanderers FC made on 63 minute. Kieran Lee leaves to be changed by Shola Shoretire.
  • 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Conor Bradley, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 72' What a strike from Conor Hourihane! The score is 2-0.
  • 73' The Bolton Wanderers FC bench stirs into life. Dan Nlundulu is withdrawn and Elias Kachunga gets his opportunity.
  • 74' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. David McGoldrick is withdrawn and James Collins gets his opportunity.
  • 75' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tony Springett is hanging Tom Barkhuizen on the field on 75 minute.
  • 80' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 82' The whistle greets Nathaniel Mendez-Laing as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Dobbin.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Bolton Wanderers FC! Kieran Sadlier comes on to replace Randell Williams.
  • 89' Another change for Derby County FC made on 89 minute. Jason Knight leaves to be changed by Liam Thompson.
  • Full Time. Derby County FC beats Bolton Wanderers FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.53 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC53% Draw26% Bolton Wanderers FC21%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
47%
Derby County FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC35% Draw48% Bolton Wanderers FC17%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
12%
0 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.