Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 21 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
14 Jan Cheltenham Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Jan Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
02 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W
30 Dec Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W
27 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Derby County FC A 1–2 L
14 Jan Portsmouth FC H 3–0 W
07 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
02 Jan Barnsley FC A 3–0 W
30 Dec Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
27 Dec Derby County FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.53 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC53% Draw26% Bolton Wanderers FC21%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
47%
Derby County FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC35% Draw48% Bolton Wanderers FC17%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
12%
0 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.