Friday , 16 October 2026

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2026-27
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–4 L
10 Oct Wrexham AFC H 1–1 D
19 Sep Burnley FC A 1–1 D
12 Sep Birmingham City FC H 1–2 L
09 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–1 L
05 Sep West Ham United FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Oct Middlesbrough FC H 2–3 L
10 Oct Bolton Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
19 Sep Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
12 Sep Watford FC A 2–1 W
08 Sep Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D
05 Sep Charlton Athletic FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Stoke City FC
#23 Position #8
6 Points 16
10 Played 10
1 / 3 / 6 W / D / L 5 / 1 / 4
9 Scored 17
19 Conceded 16
-10 GD +1
0.60 PPG 1.60
10% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
10% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (6 pts). Stoke City FC are 8th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/3
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 2 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

H2H

Predictions

1.08 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

Derby County FC26% Draw27% Stoke City FC47%

Both Teams to Score

Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.87

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Stoke City FC
74%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

Derby County FC18% Draw44% Stoke City FC38%

Correct Score

1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
9.3%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 23% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.