Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 10 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 10 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | West Ham United FC | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham City FC | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stoke City FC | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 9 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 10 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 10 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic FC | 10 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield United FC | 10 | 12 |
| 16 | Portsmouth FC | 9 | 11 |
| 17 | Wrexham AFC | 10 | 11 |
| 18 | Lincoln City FC | 10 | 11 |
| 19 | Cardiff City FC | 10 | 10 |
| 20 | Norwich City FC | 10 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley FC | 10 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford FC | 10 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 10 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 10 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | Wrexham AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | Burnley FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Sep | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Sep | West Ham United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | Sheffield United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Sep | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Sep | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #8 |
| 6 | Points | 16 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 1 / 3 / 6 | W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 4 |
| 9 | Scored | 17 |
| 19 | Conceded | 16 |
| -10 | GD | +1 |
| 0.60 | PPG | 1.60 |
| 10% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
10%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Derby County FC are 23rd (6 pts). Stoke City FC are 8th (16 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/3
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 2 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Martyn Waghorn | 3 |
| Tom Ince | 3 |
| Luke Plange | 1 |
| Ben Gibson | 1 |
| Liam Lindsay | 1 |
| Thomas Cannon | 1 |
| Scott Hogan | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2026-10-14
Queens Park Rangers FC
4–1
Derby County FC
L
2026-10-10
Derby County FC
1–1
Wrexham AFC
D
2026-09-19
Burnley FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2026-09-12
Derby County FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
L
2026-09-09
Derby County FC
0–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
L
2026-09-05
West Ham United FC
3–0
Derby County FC
L
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
1.08
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Stoke City FC
74%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
9.3%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 23% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

