Thursday , 2 July 2026

Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 17:30 UTC Estadio Mendizorroza 18,336 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Pathe Ciss
0–2 58' Pedro Diaz

Overview

Match Preview

Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadio Mendizorroza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Munuera Montero (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Antonio Martinez Moreno (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–2 L
14 Mar UD Las Palmas A 2–2 D
08 Mar Villarreal CF H 1–0 W
02 Mar RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
22 Feb RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 0–1 L
15 Feb CD Leganes A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Deportivo Alaves A 2–0 W
16 Mar Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–2 D
09 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
01 Mar Sevilla FC H 1–1 D
22 Feb Villarreal CF H 0–1 L
17 Feb FC Barcelona A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Deportivo Alaves Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#14 Position #8
43 Points 50
38 Played 38
11 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
44 Scored 41
56 Conceded 44
-12 GD -3
1.13 PPG 1.32
29% Win % 32%

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Deportivo Alaves are 14th (43 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.85 Deportivo Alaves xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Deportivo Alaves29% Draw32% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid39%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Deportivo Alaves or Draw
62%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
71%
Deportivo Alaves or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Deportivo Alaves18% Draw55% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid27%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.1%
0 – 1
14.3%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
3.2%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Deportivo Alaves

Handicap Deportivo Alaves covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 17% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 23% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Deportivo Alaves keeps clean sheet
33%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.