Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 17:30 UTC Estadio Mendizorroza 18,336 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Pathe Ciss
0–2 58' Pedro Diaz

Overview

Match Preview

Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga at Estadio Mendizorroza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Munuera Montero (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Antonio Martinez Moreno (Spain)
4 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 19.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 0–2 L
14 Mar UD Las Palmas A 2–2 D
08 Mar Villarreal CF H 1–0 W
02 Mar RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
22 Feb RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 0–1 L
15 Feb CD Leganes A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Deportivo Alaves A 2–0 W
16 Mar Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–2 D
09 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
01 Mar Sevilla FC H 1–1 D
22 Feb Villarreal CF H 0–1 L
17 Feb FC Barcelona A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Deportivo Alaves Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#6 Position #10
11 Points 8
7 Played 7
3 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
11 Scored 11
6 Conceded 16
+5 GD -5
1.57 PPG 1.14
43% Win % 29%

Key Stats

27% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
18% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Deportivo Alaves this season
0% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Deportivo Alaves are 6th (11 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 10th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Deportivo Alaves
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/1
46-60
5/2
61-75
–/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Deportivo Alaves
Lucas Boye 4 G
Mariano Diaz 3 G 3 A
Nahuel Tenaglia 1 G
Mikel Rodriguez 1 G
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Sergio Camello 7 G 1 A
Alvaro Garcia 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.63 Deportivo Alaves xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Deportivo Alaves47% Draw28% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid25%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Deportivo Alaves or Draw
75%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
53%
Deportivo Alaves or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Deportivo Alaves36% Draw47% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid17%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
Actual
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Deportivo Alaves

Handicap Deportivo Alaves covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Deportivo Alaves keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
20% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.