Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Sevilla FC, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 15:15 UTC Estadio de Vallecas 11,947 HT 45' · FT 45'
Andrei Ratiu 55' 1–0
1–1 81' Dodi Lukebakio

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Sevilla FCLa Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.

Match Details

  • Referee Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Israel Barcena Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ruben Porras Rico (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Sevilla FC H 1–1 D
22 Feb Villarreal CF H 0–1 L
17 Feb FC Barcelona A 0–1 L
07 Feb Real Valladolid CF H 1–0 W
31 Jan CD Leganes A 1–0 W
26 Jan Girona FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–1 D
24 Feb RCD Mallorca H 1–1 D
16 Feb Real Valladolid CF A 4–0 W
09 Feb FC Barcelona H 1–4 L
01 Feb Getafe CF A 0–0 D
25 Jan RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Sevilla FC
#8 Position #15
50 Points 43
38 Played 38
12 / 14 / 12 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 19
41 Scored 46
44 Conceded 60
-3 GD -14
1.32 PPG 1.13
32% Win % 32%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Sevilla FC are 15th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Estadio de Vallecas. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are looking to make home advantage count against Sevilla FC.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Sevilla FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 10' Pathe Ciss is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sevilla FC tonight.
  • 15' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' It looks surprising Sevilla FC does not make any changes. Alvaro Garcia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 26' Time for substitution for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid. Randy Ntekja is replaced by Sergi Guardiola.
  • 31' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 35' The Rayo Vallecano de Madrid manager makes a substitution. Abdul Mumin departs to be replaced by Aridane Hernandez.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' A quiet spell here at Estadio de Vallecas. Sevilla FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 50' The 28-year-old Andrei Ratiu has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 55' Brilliant from the ! Andrei Ratiu makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 55.
  • 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 65' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Rayo Vallecano de Madrid side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 70' Chidera Ejuke is replacing Jose Angel Carmona for the Sevilla FC side.
  • 75' Stanis Idumbo-Muzambo gets the nod from Sevilla FC. He replaces Isaac and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Another change for Sevilla FC made on 76 minute. Djibril Sow leaves to be changed by Lucien Agoume.
  • 81' Dodi Lukebakio adds to his 0 season tally! Sevilla FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 86' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sevilla FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 87' The referee calls foul for Gerard Gumbau. He receives a card.
  • 90' Manuel Bueno is ready to make an impact after coming on for Adria Pedrosa at the 90 minute mark.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Sevilla FC xG
I would bet for: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Sevilla FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid36% Draw30% Sevilla FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
66%
Draw or Sevilla FC
64%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Sevilla FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid24% Draw51% Sevilla FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 0
10%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push Sevilla FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
31%
Sevilla FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.