Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Villarreal CF — La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)
- Villarreal CF 38 games · 72 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Victor Garcia Verdura
- Assistant 1 Eliana Fernandez Gonzalez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Julian Villasenor Julian (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Villarreal CF | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Feb | FC Barcelona | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Feb | Real Valladolid CF | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Jan | CD Leganes | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jan | Girona FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Jan | CA Osasuna | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Valencia CF | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Feb | UD Las Palmas | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Feb | Real Valladolid CF | H | 5–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Club Atletico de Madrid | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jan | RCD Mallorca | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Villarreal CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #3 |
| 50 | Points | 72 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 12 / 14 / 12 | W / D / L | 22 / 6 / 10 |
| 41 | Scored | 72 |
| 44 | Conceded | 46 |
| -3 | GD | +26 |
| 1.32 | PPG | 1.89 |
| 32% | Win % | 58% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Rayo Vallecano de Madrid welcome Villarreal CF for this crunch clash at Estadio de Vallecas.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 14' Another substitution for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to replace Isi Palazon by Adri Embarba on 14 minute.
- 19' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Villarreal CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 24' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 29' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Rayo Vallecano de Madrid that had 229 games and scored 226 goals.
- 34' The home supporters are growing impatient. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 42' It’s a booking for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player. Jorge de Frutos gets a card.
- 44' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Thierno Barry.
- 49' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 54' Yeremy needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 55' The referee shows Villarreal CF player a card on 55.
- 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 62' Dani Parejo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pape Gueye on 62 minute.
- 66' Ayoze Perez does the damage! The net is bulging and Villarreal CF surge ahead!
- 71' Alex Baena, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 73' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid ring the changes. Pathe Ciss has done his job and it is now time for Gerard Gumbau to step up.
- 78' Poor challenge from Andrei Ratiu. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 80' The Villarreal CF bench stirs into life. Thierno Barry is withdrawn and Tajon Buchanan gets his opportunity.
- 85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Rayo Vallecano de Madrid side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 87' Pedro Diaz makes way for Oscar Trejo at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
- 90' Poor challenge from Diego Conde. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' Another change for Villarreal CF made on 90 minute. Alex Baena leaves to be changed by Alfonso Pedraza.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
-
4
Pedro Diaz ↓ Oscar Trejo 87'
-
18
Alvaro Garcia ↓ Etienne 87'
-
7
Isi Palazon ↓ Adri Embarba 14'
- 13
- 16
- 2
-
6
Pathe Ciss ↓ Gerard Gumbau 73'
- 19
-
11
Randy Ntekja ↓ Sergi Guardiola 73'
- 3
Bench
- 20
-
15
Gerard Gumbau ↑ 73'
-
12
Sergi Guardiola ↑ 73'
- 5
-
21
Adri Embarba ↑ 14'
-
8
Oscar Trejo ↑ 87'
- 23
- 1
- 22
- 27
- 26
-
28
Etienne ↑ 87'
Coach
Iñigo Pérez
Villarreal CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 8
-
18
Pape Gueye ↓ Dani Parejo 62'
- 2
- 13
-
21
Yeremy ↓ Nicolas Pepe 62'
- 23
-
15
Thierno Barry ↓ Tajon Buchanan 80'
- 14
-
16
Alex Baena ↓ Alfonso Pedraza 90'
- 5
Bench
- 4
-
19
Nicolas Pepe ↑ 62'
-
10
Dani Parejo ↑ 62'
- 6
-
24
Alfonso Pedraza ↑ 90'
-
9
Tajon Buchanan ↑ 80'
- 1
- 3
- 26
Coach
Marcelino
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alexander Sorloth | 3 |
| Alfonso Pedraza | 2 |
| Ayoze Perez | 2 |
| Raul de Tomas | 2 |
| Alvaro Garcia | 2 |
| Karl Toko Ekambi | 2 |
| Sergio Camello | 2 |
| Gerard Moreno | 2 |
Head to Head
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form
2025-02-22
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0–1
Villarreal CF
L
2025-02-17
FC Barcelona
1–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2025-02-07
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–0
Real Valladolid CF
W
2025-01-31
CD Leganes
0–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
2025-01-26
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2–1
Girona FC
W
2025-01-19
CA Osasuna
1–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
D
Villarreal CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.94
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for:
Villarreal CF or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Villarreal CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
57%
Draw or Villarreal CF
73%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Villarreal CF
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12%
0 – 2
9.1%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
| Handicap | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers | Push | Villarreal CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 23% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

