Sunday , 16 August 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sun 9 Mar 2025 · 15:15 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 74,170 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe 30' 1–0
Vinicius Junior 34' 2–0
2–1 45+3' Pedro Diaz

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
04 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid H 2–1 W
01 Mar Real Betis Balompié A 1–2 L
23 Feb Girona FC H 2–0 W
19 Feb Manchester City FC H 3–1 W
15 Feb CA Osasuna A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
01 Mar Sevilla FC H 1–1 D
22 Feb Villarreal CF H 0–1 L
17 Feb FC Barcelona A 0–1 L
07 Feb Real Valladolid CF H 1–0 W
31 Jan CD Leganes A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#10 Position #22
0 Points 0
0 Played 1
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 1
0 Scored 1
0 Conceded 2
+0 GD -1
PPG 0.00
Win % 0%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 22nd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Pep Chavarria needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' Kylian Mbappe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 13 goals this season for the .
  • 34' Magnificent from Vinicius Junior! That is 118 goals in 545 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 39' The 31-year-old Gerard Gumbau has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 48' Assisted by Alvaro Garcia with the perfectly-timed delivery and Pedro Diaz makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 53' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 63' Gerard Gumbau is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Rodrygo as he leaves the pitch. Federico Valverde steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 70' Another substitution for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to replace Gerard Gumbau by Oscar Trejo on 70 minute.
  • 75' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Real Madrid CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 79' Vinicius Junior picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 79' Kylian Mbappe makes way for Eduardo Camavinga at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
  • 84' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 85' Controversy at the stadium! Aurelien Tchouameni argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 85' The Rayo Vallecano de Madrid bench stirs into life. Pathe Ciss is withdrawn and Sergi Guardiola gets his opportunity.
  • 86' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Jude Bellingham is replaced by Brahim Diaz on 86 minute.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Luka Modric argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.87 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.48 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF47% Draw36% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid17%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 71%
29%
± 1.5 40%
60%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
82%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
53%
Real Madrid CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF24% Draw65% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid11%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.7%
1 – 0
21%
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
2.6%
0 – 2
2.6%
1 – 2
2.6%
3 – 1
1.5%
2 – 2
1.3%
4 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 26% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 14% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
62%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.