Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Primera Division · 2024-25

Real Madrid CF

2 – 1

Full Time

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Sun 9 Mar 2025 · 15:15 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 74,170 HT 45' · FT 45'

Kylian Mbappe 30' 1–0

Vinicius Junior 34' 2–0

2–1 45+3' Pedro Diaz

Y 63' Gerard Gumbau

Vinicius Junior 79' Y

Aurelien Tchouameni 85' Y

Luka Modric 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Real Madrid CF 7 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso (Spain)
Assistant 1 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
Assistant 2 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)

3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	21
2	Club Atlético de Madrid	7	16
3	Real Betis Balompié	7	16
4	Real Madrid CF	7	15
5	Sevilla FC	7	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	11
7	RC Deportivo La Coruña	7	10
8	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	7	10
9	CA Osasuna	7	8
10	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	7	8
11	Villarreal CF	7	8
12	Athletic Club	6	8
13	Getafe CF	7	8
14	RC Celta de Vigo	7	7
15	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	7	7
16	Real Racing Club de Santander	7	7
17	Levante UD	6	5
18	Elche CF	7	5
19	Valencia CF	7	4
20	Málaga CF	7	3

Head-to-Head

Real Madrid CF 13 games · Avg 2.5 goals Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-09 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3–3 Real Madrid CF 2024-02-18 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-05 Real Madrid CF 0–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2023-05-24 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	H	2–1	W
04 Mar	Club Atlético de Madrid	H	2–1	W
01 Mar	Real Betis Balompié	A	1–2	L
23 Feb	Girona FC	H	2–0	W
19 Feb	Manchester City FC	H	3–1	W
15 Feb	CA Osasuna	A	1–1	D

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Real Madrid CF	A	1–2	L
01 Mar	Sevilla FC	H	1–1	D
22 Feb	Villarreal CF	H	0–1	L
17 Feb	FC Barcelona	A	0–1	L
07 Feb	Real Valladolid CF	H	1–0	W
31 Jan	CD Leganes	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF		Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#4	Position	#10
15	Points	8
7	Played	7
5 / 0 / 2	W / D / L	2 / 2 / 3
18	Scored	11
8	Conceded	16
+10	GD	-5
2.14	PPG	1.14
71%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

0% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 10th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

0-15

2/–

16-30

3/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/3

61-75

1/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

0-15

3/2

16-30

2/5

31-45

1/1

46-60

5/2

61-75

–/1

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

Kylian Mbappe	7 G	2 A
Jude Bellingham	3 G	2 A
Carlos Espi	2 G
Vinicius Junior	1 G	3 A

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Sergio Camello	7 G	1 A
Alvaro Garcia	2 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — let the football do the talking.
5' Pep Chavarria has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 232 appearances.
10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
15' David Alaba has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
20' The travelling Rayo Vallecano de Madrid supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
30' A stunning finish from Kylian Mbappe — that came from absolutely nowhere!
34' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Vinicius Junior makes no mistake. 2-0!
39' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
48' A stunning finish from Pedro Diaz — that came from absolutely nowhere!
53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
58' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gerard Gumbau on 63 minutes.
68' Federico Valverde has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rodrygo on 68 minute.
70' Oscar Trejo gets the nod from Rayo Vallecano de Madrid. He replaces Gerard Gumbau and will look to change the dynamic.
75' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
79' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a card on 79.
79' Eduardo Camavinga is replacing Kylian Mbappe for the Real Madrid CF side.
84' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
85' It’s a booking for Real Madrid CF player. Aurelien Tchouameni gets a card.
85' A tactical swap from Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — Sergi Guardiola on, Pathe Ciss off on 85 minutes.
86' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Jude Bellingham is replaced by Brahim Diaz.
90' A moment of madness from Luka Modric on 90 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

20
Ivan Balliu ↑ 70'
17
Unai Lopez ↑ 85'
12
Sergi Guardiola ↑ 85'
8
Oscar Trejo ↑ 70'
23
Oscar Valentin ↑ 70'
1
Dani Cardenas
27
Pelayo Fernandez
26
Marco de las Sias
28
Etienne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	5
Kylian Mbappe	3
Oscar Trejo	2
Rodrygo	2
Raul de Tomas	2
Toni Kroos	2
Radamel Falcao	2
Jude Bellingham	2

Head to Head

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-03-09 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid W 2025-03-04 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Club Atlético de Madrid W 2025-03-01 Real Betis Balompié 2–1 Real Madrid CF L 2025-02-23 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Girona FC W 2025-02-19 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Manchester City FC W 2025-02-15 CA Osasuna 1–1 Real Madrid CF D

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form

2025-03-09 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L 2025-03-01 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Sevilla FC D 2025-02-22 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0–1 Villarreal CF L 2025-02-17 FC Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L 2025-02-07 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–0 Real Valladolid CF W 2025-01-31 CD Leganes 0–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

3.09 Real Madrid CF xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Real Madrid CF to win 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF72% Draw16% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid12%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 4.13

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw

88%

Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

28%

Real Madrid CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF58% Draw31% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid11%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

3 – 1

2 – 0

7.9%

2 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

7.8%

4 – 1

6.2%

4 – 0

1 – 1

5.9%

1 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.2%

2 – 2

4.1%

5 – 1

3.9%

5 – 0

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap	Real Madrid CF covers	Push	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5	38%	—	62%
-2	38%	20%	42%
-1.5	58%	—	42%
-1	58%	18%	24%
-0.5	76%	—	24%
+0.5	91%	—	9%
+1	91%	6%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.