Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Primera Division · 2024-25

Real Madrid CF

2 – 1

Full Time

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Sun 9 Mar 2025 · 15:15 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 74,170 HT 45' · FT 45'

Kylian Mbappe 30' 1–0

Vinicius Junior 34' 2–0

2–1 45+3' Pedro Diaz

Y 63' Gerard Gumbau

Vinicius Junior 79' Y

Aurelien Tchouameni 85' Y

Luka Modric 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Real Madrid CF 12 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 11 games · 12 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso (Spain)
Assistant 1 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
Assistant 2 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)

6 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 14.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	12	33
2	Real Madrid CF	12	30
3	Club Atlético de Madrid	12	28
4	Real Betis Balompié	12	26
5	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	12	22
6	Sevilla FC	12	18
7	Athletic Club	11	16
8	RC Deportivo La Coruña	12	15
9	Villarreal CF	12	15
10	Real Racing Club de Santander	12	14
11	RC Celta de Vigo	12	13
12	Deportivo Alavés	12	13
13	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	11	12
14	CA Osasuna	12	12
15	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	12	12
16	Getafe CF	12	12
17	Levante UD	12	11
18	Elche CF	12	10
19	Valencia CF	12	9
20	Málaga CF	12	5

Head-to-Head

Real Madrid CF 13 games · Avg 2.5 goals Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-09 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3–3 Real Madrid CF 2024-02-18 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-05 Real Madrid CF 0–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2023-05-24 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	H	2–1	W
04 Mar	Club Atlético de Madrid	H	2–1	W
01 Mar	Real Betis Balompié	A	1–2	L
23 Feb	Girona FC	H	2–0	W
19 Feb	Manchester City FC	H	3–1	W
15 Feb	CA Osasuna	A	1–1	D

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Real Madrid CF	A	1–2	L
01 Mar	Sevilla FC	H	1–1	D
22 Feb	Villarreal CF	H	0–1	L
17 Feb	FC Barcelona	A	0–1	L
07 Feb	Real Valladolid CF	H	1–0	W
31 Jan	CD Leganes	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF		Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#2	Position	#13
30	Points	12
12	Played	11
10 / 0 / 2	W / D / L	3 / 3 / 5
31	Scored	15
10	Conceded	21
+21	GD	-6
2.50	PPG	1.09
83%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

10% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 13th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

0-15

3/–

16-30

6/1

31-45

7/1

46-60

1/3

61-75

4/2

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

0-15

4/2

16-30

2/6

31-45

2/2

46-60

6/3

61-75

1/3

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

Kylian Mbappe	13 G	2 A
Jude Bellingham	4 G	3 A
Arda Guler	3 G	4 A
Yan Diomande	3 G	2 A
Carlos Espi	2 G

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Sergio Camello	7 G	2 A
Alvaro Garcia	3 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Real Madrid CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is underway.
5' Pep Chavarria is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Real Madrid CF so far.
10' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
20' Ivan Balliu is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Real Madrid CF tonight.
25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
30' Kylian Mbappe has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
34' Vinicius Junior makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
39' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
44' Real Madrid CF has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
48' GOAL! Pedro Diaz scores on 45. Assisted by Alvaro Garcia
53' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alvaro Garcia, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
63' A moment of madness from Gerard Gumbau on 63 minutes earns him a card. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid will be frustrated.
68' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Federico Valverde is hanging Rodrygo on the field on 68 minute.
70' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid ring the changes. Gerard Gumbau has done his job and it is now time for Oscar Trejo to step up.
75' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Vinicius Junior on 79 minutes.
79' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Eduardo Camavinga comes on to replace Kylian Mbappe.
84' A quiet spell here at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
85' It’s gonna be a card for Aurelien Tchouameni.
85' Another change for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid made on 85 minute. Pathe Ciss leaves to be changed by Sergi Guardiola.
86' The whistle greets Jude Bellingham as he departs to be replaced by Brahim Diaz.
90' Luka Modric has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
Full Time. Real Madrid CF beats Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

20
Ivan Balliu ↑ 70'
17
Unai Lopez ↑ 85'
12
Sergi Guardiola ↑ 85'
8
Oscar Trejo ↑ 70'
23
Oscar Valentin ↑ 70'
1
Dani Cardenas
27
Pelayo Fernandez
26
Marco de las Sias
28
Etienne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	5
Kylian Mbappe	3
Rodrygo	2
Raul de Tomas	2
Toni Kroos	2
Radamel Falcao	2
Jude Bellingham	2
Oscar Trejo	2

Head to Head

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-03-09 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid W 2025-03-04 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Club Atlético de Madrid W 2025-03-01 Real Betis Balompié 2–1 Real Madrid CF L 2025-02-23 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Girona FC W 2025-02-19 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Manchester City FC W 2025-02-15 CA Osasuna 1–1 Real Madrid CF D

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form

2025-03-09 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L 2025-03-01 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Sevilla FC D 2025-02-22 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0–1 Villarreal CF L 2025-02-17 FC Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L 2025-02-07 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–0 Real Valladolid CF W 2025-01-31 CD Leganes 0–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.83 Real Madrid CF xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.86 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG

I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF72% Draw17% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid11%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 3.69

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw

89%

Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

28%

Real Madrid CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF57% Draw34% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid9%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

10.2%

3 – 0

9.3%

2 – 1

Actual

3 – 1

7.8%

1 – 0

1 – 1

6.8%

4 – 0

6.5%

4 – 1

5.6%

5 – 0

3.7%

0 – 0

3.6%

2 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap	Real Madrid CF covers	Push	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5	36%	—	64%
-2	36%	21%	43%
-1.5	57%	—	43%
-1	57%	20%	23%
-0.5	77%	—	23%
+0.5	92%	—	8%
+1	92%	6%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

43% ✓

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.