Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Primera Division · 2024-25

Real Madrid CF

2 – 1

Full Time

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Sun 9 Mar 2025 · 15:15 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 74,170 HT 45' · FT 45'

Kylian Mbappe 30' 1–0

Vinicius Junior 34' 2–0

2–1 45+3' Pedro Diaz

Y 63' Gerard Gumbau

Vinicius Junior 79' Y

Aurelien Tchouameni 85' Y

Luka Modric 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso (Spain)
Assistant 1 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
Assistant 2 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	38	94
2	Real Madrid CF	38	86
3	Villarreal CF	38	72
4	Club Atletico de Madrid	38	69
5	Real Betis Balompie	38	60
6	RC Celta de Vigo	38	54
7	Getafe CF	38	51
8	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	38	50
9	Valencia CF	38	49
10	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	38	46
11	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	38	46
12	Athletic Club	38	45
13	Elche CF	38	43
14	Deportivo Alaves	38	43
15	Sevilla FC	38	43
16	CA Osasuna	38	42
17	RCD Mallorca	38	42
18	Levante UD	38	42
19	Girona FC	38	41
20	Real Oviedo	38	29

Head-to-Head

Real Madrid CF 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-09 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3–3 Real Madrid CF 2024-02-18 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid CF 2023-11-05 Real Madrid CF 0–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2023-05-24 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	H	2–1	W
04 Mar	Club Atletico de Madrid	H	2–1	W
01 Mar	Real Betis Balompie	A	1–2	L
23 Feb	Girona FC	H	2–0	W
19 Feb	Manchester City FC	H	3–1	W
15 Feb	CA Osasuna	A	1–1	D

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Real Madrid CF	A	1–2	L
01 Mar	Sevilla FC	H	1–1	D
22 Feb	Villarreal CF	H	0–1	L
17 Feb	FC Barcelona	A	0–1	L
07 Feb	Real Valladolid CF	H	1–0	W
31 Jan	CD Leganes	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF		Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#2	Position	#8
86	Points	50
38	Played	38
27 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	12 / 14 / 12
77	Scored	41
35	Conceded	44
+42	GD	-3
2.26	PPG	1.32
71%	Win %	32%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Real Madrid CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is underway.
5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
10' It looks surprising Rayo Vallecano de Madrid does not make any changes. David Alaba has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
15' Raul has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
20' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
25' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's compact 4-2-3-1.
30' Goal! Kylian Mbappe scores his 288 goal in 520 matches.
34' Magnificent from Vinicius Junior! That is 118 goals in 545 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
48' Pedro Diaz does the damage! The net is bulging and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid surge ahead!
53' Aridane Hernandez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
58' Real Madrid CF currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
63' Gerard Gumbau catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 63.
68' Federico Valverde gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Rodrygo and will look to change the dynamic.
70' The Rayo Vallecano de Madrid manager makes a substitution. Gerard Gumbau departs to be replaced by Oscar Trejo.
75' Gerard Gumbau has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
79' Vinicius Junior has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
79' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Eduardo Camavinga comes on to replace Kylian Mbappe.
84' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 84.
85' It’s a booking for Real Madrid CF player. Aurelien Tchouameni gets a card.
85' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid ring the changes. Pathe Ciss has done his job and it is now time for Sergi Guardiola to step up.
86' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Jude Bellingham has done his job and it is now time for Brahim Diaz to step up.
90' Luka Modric was booked on 90.
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid will have plenty to reflect on. Real Madrid CF were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

20
Ivan Balliu ↑ 70'
17
Unai Lopez ↑ 85'
12
Sergi Guardiola ↑ 85'
8
Oscar Trejo ↑ 70'
23
Oscar Valentin ↑ 70'
1
Dani Cardenas
27
Pelayo Fernandez
26
Marco de las Sias
28
Etienne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	5
Oscar Trejo	2
Rodrygo	2
Raul de Tomas	2
Toni Kroos	2
Radamel Falcao	2
Casemiro	1
Unai Lopez	1

Head to Head

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-03-09 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid W 2025-03-04 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Club Atletico de Madrid W 2025-03-01 Real Betis Balompie 2–1 Real Madrid CF L 2025-02-23 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Girona FC W 2025-02-19 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Manchester City FC W 2025-02-15 CA Osasuna 1–1 Real Madrid CF D

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form

2025-03-09 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L 2025-03-01 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Sevilla FC D 2025-02-22 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0–1 Villarreal CF L 2025-02-17 FC Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid L 2025-02-07 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–0 Real Valladolid CF W 2025-01-31 CD Leganes 0–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.87 Real Madrid CF xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.83 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG

I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF61% Draw23% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid16%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw

84%

Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

39%

Real Madrid CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Real Madrid CF42% Draw45% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid13%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

11.8%

2 – 0

11.5%

1 – 1

11.2%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.5%

3 – 0

3 – 1

5.9%

0 – 1

4.7%

1 – 2

4.2%

2 – 2

3.9%

4 – 0

3.3%

4 – 1

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap	Real Madrid CF covers	Push	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	19%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	24%	40%
-0.5	60%	—	40%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	10%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

44% ✓

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.