Thursday , 2 July 2026

Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 10 Mar 2024 · 13:00 UTC Mendizorroza HT 45' · FT 45'
Andoni Gorosabel 44' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Mendizorroza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Munuera Montero (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Antonio Martinez Moreno (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 1–0 W
04 Mar CA Osasuna A 0–1 L
24 Feb RCD Mallorca H 1–1 D
18 Feb Real Betis Balompie A 0–0 D
10 Feb Villarreal CF H 1–1 D
03 Feb FC Barcelona H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Mar Deportivo Alaves A 0–1 L
02 Mar Cadiz CF H 1–1 D
26 Feb Girona FC A 0–3 L
18 Feb Real Madrid CF H 1–1 D
11 Feb RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
05 Feb Sevilla FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Deportivo Alaves Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#14 Position #8
43 Points 50
38 Played 38
11 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
44 Scored 41
56 Conceded 44
-12 GD -3
1.13 PPG 1.32
29% Win % 32%

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Deportivo Alaves are 14th (43 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 Deportivo Alaves xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Deportivo Alaves or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Deportivo Alaves42% Draw30% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid28%
Actual: Deportivo Alaves win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Deportivo Alaves or Draw
72%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
58%
Deportivo Alaves or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Deportivo Alaves26% Draw54% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid20%
Actual: Deportivo Alaves win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Deportivo Alaves

Handicap Deportivo Alaves covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Deportivo Alaves keeps clean sheet
39%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.