EC Bahia vs Chapecoense AF, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Chapecoense AF — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Chapecoense AF 17 games · 9 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Coritiba FBC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | Clube do Remo | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Chapecoense AF | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #20 |
| 26 | Points | 9 |
| 17 | Played | 17 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 1 / 6 / 10 |
| 25 | Scored | 17 |
| 23 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | -16 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 0.53 |
| 41% | Win % | 6% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season
Chapecoense AF this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Chapecoense AF are 20th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chapecoense AF
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
–/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Chapecoense AF
| Walter Clar | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Henrique Almeida | 2 |
| Rodriguinho | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Luiz Otavio | 2 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Danielzinho | 1 |
| Osman Junior | 1 |
| Rai Nascimento | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
1.82
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8
Chapecoense AF xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia to win 60%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
84%
Draw or Chapecoense AF
40%
EC Bahia or Chapecoense AF
76%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
11.8%
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Chapecoense AF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 25% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
45%
Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
17%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

