Wednesday , 14 October 2026

EC Bahia vs Chapecoense AF, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Fri 17 Jul 2026 · 22:30 UTC Estadio Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Rodrigo Nestor pen 12' 1–0
Roman Gomez 34' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Chapecoense AF — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Chapecoense AF H 2–0 W
30 May Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
25 May Coritiba FBC A 1–0 W
17 May Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
10 May Cruzeiro EC H 1–2 L
03 May Sao Paulo FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul EC Bahia A 0–2 L
31 May SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
24 May Cruzeiro EC A 1–2 L
17 May Clube do Remo H 2–3 L
10 May Mirassol FC A 1–1 D
03 May RB Bragantino H 1–2 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Chapecoense AF
#5 Position #20
49 Points 18
30 Played 29
13 / 10 / 7 W / D / L 3 / 9 / 17
44 Scored 30
36 Conceded 61
+8 GD -31
1.63 PPG 0.62
43% Win % 10%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
37% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
10% Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season

EC Bahia are 5th (49 pts). Chapecoense AF are 20th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chapecoense AF
0-15
1/6
16-30
4/11
31-45
4/6
46-60
3/6
61-75
2/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 10 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Chapecoense AF
Marcinho 5 G 2 A
Walter Clar 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. EC Bahia is hosting Chapecoense AF for another epic battle.
  • 5' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marcinho made 382 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 12' A stunning finish from Rodrigo Nestor — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 17' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 22' With 3 assists to his name this season, Bruno Pacheco is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Chapecoense AF.
  • 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Neto Pessoa, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 32' Chapecoense AF have won 122 goals from 183 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 34' Roman Gomez doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 39' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Chapecoense AF! Neto Pessoa comes on to replace Enio.
  • 51' Chapecoense AF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Rodrigo Nestor scoring 1 goals.
  • 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 63' The whistle greets Marcos Vinicius as he departs to be replaced by Rubens Tadeu.
  • 64' That looks like a foul for a card for Jose Guilherme.
  • 67' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Willian Jose is replaced by Kaue Junior.
  • 72' Chapecoense AF is showing some good football. However, Chapecoense AF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Rodrigo Nestor as he leaves the pitch. Everaldo steps in for EC Bahia.
  • 81' David Antunes gets the nod from Chapecoense AF. He replaces David Duarte and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Luciano Juba gets a card.
  • 90' Jose Guilherme has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 28 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • It finishes all square. EC Bahia and Chapecoense AF share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.02 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Chapecoense AF xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia to win 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia67% Draw21% Chapecoense AF12%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
88%
Draw or Chapecoense AF
33%
EC Bahia or Chapecoense AF
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia48% Draw43% Chapecoense AF9%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
9.7%
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.9%
1 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Chapecoense AF covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 21% 56%
-1.5 44% — 56%
-1 44% 25% 32%
-0.5 68% — 32%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.