Saturday , 22 August 2026

CA Velez Sarsfield vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2026 CLAUSURA

Mon 3 Aug 2026 · 22:00 UTC Estadio Jose Amalfitani HT 45' · FT 45'
Thiago Aguirre 70' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

CA Vélez Sarsfield vs CA IndependienteSuperliga Argentina at Estadio Jose Amalfitani.

Match Details

  • Referee Leandro Rey Hilfer
16 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 3.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug CA Independiente H 1–0 W
30 Jul CA Talleres A 3–1 W
24 Jul Instituto AC Cordoba H 1–0 W
11 May Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata H 0–1 L
04 May CA Newell's Old Boys H 1–1 D
27 Apr CA Union H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug CA Velez Sarsfield A 0–1 L
31 Jul CA Newell's Old Boys H 1–0 W
26 Jul Estudiantes de La Plata A 2–0 W
10 May CA Rosario Central A 1–3 L
02 May CA San Lorenzo de Almagro A 2–1 W
24 Apr CD Riestra A 0–2 L

Season Stats

CA Velez Sarsfield CA Independiente
#1 Position #7
51 Points 40
27 Played 27
14 / 9 / 4 W / D / L 9 / 13 / 5
38 Scored 25
16 Conceded 17
+22 GD +8
1.89 PPG 1.48
52% Win % 33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
CA Velez Sarsfield this season
27% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA Velez Sarsfield are 1st (51 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Velez Sarsfield
0-15
6/1
16-30
/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Independiente
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Velez Sarsfield
Florian Monzon 6 G
Manuel Lanzini 5 G
Matias Pellegrini 3 G 2 A
CA Independiente
Gabriel Avalos 11 G 5 A
Matias Abaldo 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.02 CA Vélez Sarsfield xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 CA Independiente xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Vélez Sarsfield46% Draw33% CA Independiente21%
Actual: CA Vélez Sarsfield win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.65
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 50%
50%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

CA Vélez Sarsfield or Draw
79%
Draw or CA Independiente
54%
CA Vélez Sarsfield or CA Independiente
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Vélez Sarsfield27% Draw59% CA Independiente14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
21.7%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
3 – 1
2.2%
2 – 2
2.1%
4 – 0
0.8%

Asian Handicap — CA Vélez Sarsfield

Handicap CA Vélez Sarsfield covers Push CA Independiente covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 25% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 15% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

CA Vélez Sarsfield keeps clean sheet
54%
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.