Friday , 23 October 2026

CA Velez Sarsfield vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2026 CLAUSURA

Mon 3 Aug 2026 · 22:00 UTC Estadio Jose Amalfitani HT 45' · FT 45'
Thiago Aguirre 70' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

CA Vélez Sarsfield vs CA Independiente — Superliga Argentina at Estadio Jose Amalfitani.

Match Details

  • Referee Leandro Rey Hilfer
18 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 5.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug CA Independiente H 1–0 W
30 Jul CA Talleres A 3–1 W
24 Jul Instituto AC Cordoba H 1–0 W
11 May Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata H 0–1 L
04 May CA Newell's Old Boys H 1–1 D
27 Apr CA Union H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug CA Velez Sarsfield A 0–1 L
31 Jul CA Newell's Old Boys H 1–0 W
26 Jul Estudiantes de La Plata A 2–0 W
10 May CA Rosario Central A 1–3 L
02 May CA San Lorenzo de Almagro A 2–1 W
24 Apr CD Riestra A 0–2 L

Season Stats

CA Velez Sarsfield CA Independiente
#1 Position #7
51 Points 40
27 Played 27
14 / 9 / 4 W / D / L 9 / 13 / 5
38 Scored 25
16 Conceded 17
+22 GD +8
1.89 PPG 1.48
52% Win % 33%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
37% Clean Sheets
CA Velez Sarsfield this season
30% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA Velez Sarsfield are 1st (51 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Velez Sarsfield
0-15
8/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/1
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Independiente
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
5/6
61-75
1/4
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Velez Sarsfield
Ronaldo Martinez 10 G 1 A
Manuel Lanzini 6 G
Florian Monzon 6 G
Matias Pellegrini 3 G 2 A
CA Independiente
Gabriel Avalos 11 G 5 A
Matias Abaldo 5 G 3 A
Santiago Gabriel Montiel 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! CA Vélez Sarsfield vs CA Independiente — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' CA Vélez Sarsfield looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Thiago Aguirre scoring 1 goals.
  • 10' It looks surprising CA Independiente does not make any changes. Roberto Joaquin Garcia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Kevin Lomonaco has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gustavo Quinteros will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Vélez Sarsfield side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 27' The CA Independiente bench stirs into life. Leonardo Godoy is withdrawn and Santiago Arias gets his opportunity.
  • 32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with CA Vélez Sarsfield winning 50% of all matches.
  • 37' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Vélez Sarsfield and CA Independiente are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 42' The referee has no hesitation. Dilan Godoy is booked for CA Velez Sarsfield — card on 42.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Maximiliano Gutierrez argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' CA Velez Sarsfield make a change. Lisandro Magallan trudges off to be replaced by Emanuel Mammana on 46 minutes.
  • 47' CA Velez Sarsfield receives a card for a hard tackle on 47.
  • 52' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 53' Santiago Gabriel Montiel was booked on 53.
  • 57' Fresh legs for CA Velez Sarsfield! Simon Escobar comes on to replace Manuel Lanzini.
  • 62' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 67' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 70' Thiago Aguirre doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 72' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matias Pellegrini on 72 minutes.
  • 76' The CA Independiente manager makes a substitution. Mateo Perez Curci departs to be replaced by Maximiliano Meza.
  • 81' Supporters expect more eagerness from Juan Fedorco, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Jose Amalfitani with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 85' Controversy at the stadium! Simon Escobar argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 86' The CA Velez Sarsfield manager makes a substitution. Matias Pellegrini departs to be replaced by Luca Feler.
  • 88' A change in the CA Velez Sarsfield ranks — Lucas Robertone exits the field as Claudio Baeza enters on 88.
  • Full Time. CA Vélez Sarsfield beats CA Independiente

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.06 CA Vélez Sarsfield xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 CA Independiente xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 76% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Vélez Sarsfield47% Draw32% CA Independiente21%
Actual: CA Vélez Sarsfield win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.69
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 51%
49%
± 2.5 24%
76%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

CA Vélez Sarsfield or Draw
80%
Draw or CA Independiente
53%
CA Vélez Sarsfield or CA Independiente
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Vélez Sarsfield28% Draw59% CA Independiente13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
21%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2.2%
4 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — CA Vélez Sarsfield

Handicap CA Vélez Sarsfield covers Push CA Independiente covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 26% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

CA Vélez Sarsfield keeps clean sheet
54% ✓
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.