CA Rosario Central vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2026 LAST 16

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Liga Profesional · 2026

CA Rosario Central

3 – 1

Full Time

CA Independiente

Sun 10 May 2026 · 18:00 UTC Gigante de Arroyito HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 36' Gabriel Avalos

Angel di Maria 45+2' 1–1

Giovanni Cantizano 84' 2–1

Elias Veron 90+2' 3–1

Vicente Pizarro 11' Y

Y 34' Mateo Perez Curci

Y 50' Ignacio Malcorra

Elias Veron 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Rosario Central vs CA Independiente — Superliga Argentina at Gigante de Arroyito.

CA Rosario Central 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
CA Independiente 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Yael Falcon
Assistant 1 Juan Pablo Belatti
Assistant 2 Diego Bonfa

20 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 8.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CA Velez Sarsfield	27	51
2	CA Talleres	27	48
3	Racing Club	27	46
4	CA Huracan	27	46
5	CA River Plate	27	43
6	CA Boca Juniors	27	42
7	CA Independiente	27	40
8	CA Tucuman	27	40
9	CA Union	27	40
10	CA Platense	27	39
11	CS Independiente Rivadavia	27	38
12	Estudiantes de La Plata	27	36
13	Instituto AC Córdoba	27	36
14	CA Lanus	27	36
15	CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba	27	35
16	CA Belgrano	27	35
17	CD Riestra	27	35
18	CA Tigre	27	34
19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata	27	32
20	CA Rosario Central	27	32
21	CSyD Defensa y Justicia	27	32
22	CA Central Córdoba	27	31
23	AA Argentinos Juniors	27	30
24	CA San Lorenzo de Almagro	27	29
25	CA Newell's Old Boys	27	28
26	CA Sarmiento de Junín	27	26
27	CA Banfield	27	24
28	CA Barracas Central	27	23

Head-to-Head

CA Rosario Central 7 games · Avg 2.4 goals CA Independiente

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-10 CA Rosario Central 3–1 CA Independiente 2024-08-17 CA Independiente 1–0 CA Rosario Central 2023-04-13 CA Rosario Central 1–0 CA Independiente 2022-07-16 CA Independiente 0–0 CA Rosario Central 2021-08-14 CA Rosario Central 1–2 CA Independiente

Recent Form

CA Rosario Central

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	CA Independiente	H	3–1	W
03 May	CA Tigre	H	1–1	D
24 Apr	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	A	2–1	W
19 Apr	CA Sarmiento de Junín	H	2–1	W
12 Apr	CA Huracan	A	1–3	L
05 Apr	CA Tucuman	H	2–1	W

CA Independiente

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	CA Rosario Central	A	1–3	L
02 May	CA San Lorenzo de Almagro	A	2–1	W
24 Apr	CD Riestra	A	0–2	L
18 Apr	CSyD Defensa y Justicia	H	3–1	W
11 Apr	CA Boca Juniors	A	1–1	D
04 Apr	Racing Club	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

CA Rosario Central		CA Independiente
#20	Position	#7
32	Points	40
27	Played	27
8 / 8 / 11	W / D / L	9 / 13 / 5
27	Scored	25
30	Conceded	17
-3	GD	+8
1.19	PPG	1.48
30%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
CA Rosario Central this season

29% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA Rosario Central are 20th (32 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Rosario Central

0-15

2/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

4/5

46-60

2/2

61-75

3/–

76+

5/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CA Independiente

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/3

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Rosario Central

Angel di Maria	5 G	3 A
Enzo Copetti	5 G
Alejo Veliz	4 G

CA Independiente

Gabriel Avalos	11 G	5 A
Matias Abaldo	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CA Rosario Central and CA Independiente get this one started.
5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
10' It looks surprising CA Independiente does not make any changes. Mateo Perez Curci has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
11' CA Rosario Central player sees a card in front of him.
16' The 29-year-old Emanuel Coronel has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
21' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
26' Over 26 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
31' CA Rosario Central are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Independiente backline.
34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mateo Perez Curci on 34.
36' The deadlock is broken! Gabriel Avalos gets on the scoresheet on 36 minutes.
41' CA Rosario Central are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
46' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Rosario Central is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
47' Goal! Angel di Maria scores his 85 goal in 520 matches.
50' A moment of madness from Ignacio Malcorra on 50 minutes earns him a card. CA Independiente will be frustrated.
54' Ignacio Malcorra catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 54.
59' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Rosario Central and CA Independiente are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
64' CA Independiente is showing some good football. However, CA Independiente are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
69' Ignacio Ovando has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
74' CA Independiente have won 167 goals from 161 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
79' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
84' What a strike from Giovanni Cantizano! The score is 2-1.
89' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
90' The referee shows CA Rosario Central player a card on 90.
The points are shared — CA Rosario Central 3-1 CA Independiente. Honours even.

Lineups

CA Rosario Central Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jorge Almirón

CA Independiente Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gustavo Quinteros

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Silvio Romero	3
Martin Benitez	1
Angel di Maria	1
Nestor Ortigoza	1
Elias Veron	1
Andres Roa	1
Giovanni Cantizano	1
Alexander Barboza	1

Head to Head

CA Rosario Central Form

2026-05-10 CA Rosario Central 3–1 CA Independiente W 2026-05-03 CA Rosario Central 1–1 CA Tigre D 2026-04-24 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1–2 CA Rosario Central W 2026-04-19 CA Rosario Central 2–1 CA Sarmiento de Junín W 2026-04-12 CA Huracan 3–1 CA Rosario Central L 2026-04-05 CA Rosario Central 2–1 CA Tucuman W

CA Independiente Form

2026-05-10 CA Rosario Central 3–1 CA Independiente L 2026-05-02 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1–2 CA Independiente W 2026-04-24 CD Riestra 2–0 CA Independiente L 2026-04-18 CA Independiente 3–1 CSyD Defensa y Justicia W 2026-04-11 CA Boca Juniors 1–1 CA Independiente D 2026-04-04 CA Independiente 1–0 Racing Club W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.18 CA Rosario Central xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.97 CA Independiente xG

I would bet for: CA Rosario Central or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CA Rosario Central43% Draw30% CA Independiente27%

Actual: CA Rosario Central win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.15

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

CA Rosario Central or Draw

73%

Draw or CA Independiente

57%

CA Rosario Central or CA Independiente

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

CA Rosario Central27% Draw53% CA Independiente20%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.3%

0 – 0

13.9%

1 – 0

12.5%

0 – 1

10%

2 – 0

7.8%

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

6.3%

0 – 2

5.2%

2 – 2

3.8%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

1 – 3

2.1%

Asian Handicap — CA Rosario Central

Handicap	CA Rosario Central covers	Push	CA Independiente covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	22%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	18%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

CA Rosario Central keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

CA Independiente keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.