CA Rosario Central vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2026 LAST 16

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Liga Profesional · 2026

CA Rosario Central

3 – 1

Full Time

CA Independiente

Sun 10 May 2026 · 18:00 UTC Gigante de Arroyito HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 36' Gabriel Avalos

Angel di Maria 45+2' 1–1

Giovanni Cantizano 84' 2–1

Elias Veron 90+2' 3–1

Vicente Pizarro 11' Y

Y 34' Mateo Perez Curci

Y 50' Ignacio Malcorra

Elias Veron 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Rosario Central vs CA Independiente — Superliga Argentina at Gigante de Arroyito.

CA Rosario Central 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
CA Independiente 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Yael Falcon
Assistant 1 Juan Pablo Belatti
Assistant 2 Diego Bonfa

20 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 8.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CA Vélez Sarsfield	27	51
2	CA Talleres	27	48
3	Racing Club	27	46
4	CA Huracán	27	46
5	CA River Plate	27	43
6	CA Boca Juniors	27	42
7	CA Independiente	27	40
8	CA Tucumán	27	40
9	CA Unión	27	40
10	CA Platense	27	39
11	CS Independiente Rivadavia	27	38
12	Estudiantes de La Plata	27	36
13	Instituto AC Córdoba	27	36
14	CA Lanús	27	36
15	CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba	27	35
16	CA Belgrano	27	35
17	CD Riestra	27	35
18	CA Tigre	27	34
19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata	27	32
20	CA Rosario Central	27	32
21	CSyD Defensa y Justicia	27	32
22	CA Central Córdoba	27	31
23	AA Argentinos Juniors	27	30
24	CA San Lorenzo de Almagro	27	29
25	CA Newell's Old Boys	27	28
26	CA Sarmiento de Junín	27	26
27	CA Banfield	27	24
28	CA Barracas Central	27	23

Head-to-Head

CA Rosario Central 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals CA Independiente

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-10 CA Rosario Central 3–1 CA Independiente 2025-11-16 CA Independiente 1–0 CA Rosario Central 2024-08-17 CA Independiente 1–0 CA Rosario Central 2023-04-13 CA Rosario Central 1–0 CA Independiente 2022-07-16 CA Independiente 0–0 CA Rosario Central

Recent Form

CA Rosario Central

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	CA Independiente	H	3–1	W
03 May	CA Tigre	H	1–1	D
24 Apr	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	A	2–1	W
19 Apr	CA Sarmiento de Junín	H	2–1	W
12 Apr	CA Huracán	A	1–3	L
05 Apr	CA Tucumán	H	2–1	W

CA Independiente

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	CA Rosario Central	A	1–3	L
02 May	CA San Lorenzo de Almagro	A	2–1	W
24 Apr	CD Riestra	A	0–2	L
18 Apr	CSyD Defensa y Justicia	H	3–1	W
11 Apr	CA Boca Juniors	A	1–1	D
04 Apr	Racing Club	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

CA Rosario Central		CA Independiente
#20	Position	#7
32	Points	40
27	Played	27
8 / 8 / 11	W / D / L	9 / 13 / 5
27	Scored	25
30	Conceded	17
-3	GD	+8
1.19	PPG	1.48
30%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

35% Clean Sheets
CA Rosario Central this season

27% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA Rosario Central are 20th (32 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Rosario Central

0-15

5/1

16-30

3/1

31-45

8/8

46-60

6/4

61-75

6/–

76+

11/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CA Independiente

0-15

4/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

4/4

46-60

5/6

61-75

1/4

76+

6/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Rosario Central

Angel di Maria	11 G	5 A
Gaston Avila	7 G	3 A
Enzo Copetti	6 G	2 A
Alejo Veliz	4 G

CA Independiente

Gabriel Avalos	11 G	5 A
Matias Abaldo	5 G	3 A
Santiago Gabriel Montiel	4 G	5 A

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CA Rosario Central and CA Independiente has kicked off!
5' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Rosario Central in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past CA Independiente's compact 4-2-3-1.
10' Ivan Marcone needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
11' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Vicente Pizarro on 11 minutes.
16' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
21' CA Rosario Central has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
26' Emanuel Coronel has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 189 appearances.
31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rodrigo Rey suffering a number of foals already.
34' That is a card for CA Independiente. Mateo Perez Curci will be fuming at that decision.
36' Assisted by Maximiliano Gutierrez with the perfectly-timed delivery and Gabriel Avalos makes no mistake. 0-1!
41' Agustin Sandez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
46' It looks surprising CA Independiente does not make any changes. Sebastian Valdez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
47' Angel di Maria has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
50' CA Independiente player sees a card in front of him.
54' Controversy at the stadium! Ignacio Malcorra argues furiously but the card stands.
59' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jorge Almirón will be considering his options from the bench.
64' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with CA Rosario Central winning 100% of all matches.
69' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
74' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
79' Vicente Pizarro, a Chile , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
84' The deadlock is broken! Giovanni Cantizano gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Milton Valenzuela made 299 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
90' The referee shows CA Rosario Central player a card on 90.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from CA Rosario Central to claim maximum points.

Lineups

CA Rosario Central Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jorge Almirón

CA Independiente Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gustavo Quinteros

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Silvio Romero	3
Gabriel Avalos	2
Jaminton Campaz	1
Kevin Lomonaco	1
Pablo Perez	1
Martin Benitez	1
Angel di Maria	1
Nestor Ortigoza	1

Head to Head

CA Rosario Central Form

2026-05-10 CA Rosario Central 3–1 CA Independiente W 2026-05-03 CA Rosario Central 1–1 CA Tigre D 2026-04-24 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1–2 CA Rosario Central W 2026-04-19 CA Rosario Central 2–1 CA Sarmiento de Junín W 2026-04-12 CA Huracán 3–1 CA Rosario Central L 2026-04-05 CA Rosario Central 2–1 CA Tucumán W

CA Independiente Form

2026-05-10 CA Rosario Central 3–1 CA Independiente L 2026-05-02 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro 1–2 CA Independiente W 2026-04-24 CD Riestra 2–0 CA Independiente L 2026-04-18 CA Independiente 3–1 CSyD Defensa y Justicia W 2026-04-11 CA Boca Juniors 1–1 CA Independiente D 2026-04-04 CA Independiente 1–0 Racing Club W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.14 CA Rosario Central xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.93 CA Independiente xG

I would bet for: CA Rosario Central or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CA Rosario Central43% Draw30% CA Independiente27%

Actual: CA Rosario Central win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	62%	38%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

CA Rosario Central or Draw

74%

Draw or CA Independiente

57%

CA Rosario Central or CA Independiente

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

CA Rosario Central26% Draw54% CA Independiente20%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

14.9%

1 – 1

14.3%

1 – 0

13.1%

0 – 1

10.4%

2 – 0

7.9%

2 – 1

7.4%

1 – 2

0 – 2

5.2%

2 – 2

3.6%

3 – 0

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 3

1.9%

Asian Handicap — CA Rosario Central

Handicap	CA Rosario Central covers	Push	CA Independiente covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	22%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	18%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

CA Rosario Central keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

CA Independiente keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.