Sunday , 16 August 2026

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2026 APERTURA

Sat 2 May 2026 · 21:45 UTC El Nuevo Gasometro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs CA IndependienteSuperliga Argentina at El Nuevo Gasometro.

Match Details

  • Referee Pablo Dovalo
  • Assistant 1 Juan Mamani (Argentina)
  • Assistant 2 Lucas Pardo (Argentina)
16 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 6.0 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May CA Independiente H 1–2 L
25 Apr CA Platense A 1–0 W
20 Apr CA Velez Sarsfield H 0–0 D
12 Apr CA Newell's Old Boys A 0–0 D
03 Apr Estudiantes de La Plata H 1–0 W
25 Mar CD Riestra A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May CA San Lorenzo de Almagro A 2–1 W
24 Apr CD Riestra A 0–2 L
18 Apr CSyD Defensa y Justicia H 3–1 W
11 Apr CA Boca Juniors A 1–1 D
04 Apr Racing Club H 1–0 W
21 Mar CA Talleres H 1–2 L

Season Stats

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro CA Independiente
#24 Position #7
29 Points 40
27 Played 27
7 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 9 / 13 / 5
20 Scored 25
26 Conceded 17
-6 GD +8
1.07 PPG 1.48
26% Win % 33%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro this season
29% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro are 24th (29 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Independiente
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/3
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
Rodrigo Auzmendi 5 G
Alexis Cuello 4 G 3 A
CA Independiente
Gabriel Avalos 11 G 5 A
Matias Abaldo 5 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CA San Lorenzo de Almagro and CA Independiente get this one started.
  • 5' Santiago Gabriel Montiel is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA San Lorenzo de Almagro so far.
  • 8' CA Independiente receives a card for a hard tackle on 8.
  • 13' Over 13 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 16' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Matias Abaldo makes it 0-1.
  • 20' A moment of madness from Alexis Cuello on 20 minutes earns him a card. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro will be frustrated.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past CA Independiente's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with CA Independiente winning 100% of all matches.
  • 39' Manuel Insaurralde has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
  • 41' Kevin Lomonaco picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' CA Independiente are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gustavo Quinteros might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 54' GOAL! Maximiliano Gutierrez fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 59' CA San Lorenzo de Almagro are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against CA Independiente's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Independiente needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 69' CA San Lorenzo de Almagro are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 72' Ezequiel Herrera Gomez is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 77' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro and CA Independiente are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 82' Colombia international Jhohan Romana has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 87' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Sebastian Valdez on 90 minutes earns him a card. CA Independiente will be frustrated.
  • Another three points for CA Independiente.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.67 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 CA Independiente xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + CA Independiente or Draw 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro27% Draw37% CA Independiente36%
Actual: CA Independiente win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro or Draw
64%
Draw or CA Independiente
73%
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro or CA Independiente
63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro16% Draw61% CA Independiente23%
Actual: CA Independiente win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.7%
0 – 1
17.2%
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 3
2.3%
2 – 2
2%
1 – 3
1.7%
3 – 1
0.9%

Asian Handicap — CA San Lorenzo de Almagro

Handicap CA San Lorenzo de Almagro covers Push CA Independiente covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 17% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 24% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 10% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro keeps clean sheet
42%
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
52%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.