Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2026 APERTURA

Sat 2 May 2026 · 21:45 UTC El Nuevo Gasometro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs CA Independiente — Superliga Argentina at El Nuevo Gasometro.

Match Details

  • Referee Pablo Dovalo
  • Assistant 1 Juan Mamani (Argentina)
  • Assistant 2 Lucas Pardo (Argentina)
20 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 5.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May CA Independiente H 1–2 L
25 Apr CA Platense A 1–0 W
20 Apr CA Velez Sarsfield H 0–0 D
12 Apr CA Newell's Old Boys A 0–0 D
03 Apr Estudiantes de La Plata H 1–0 W
25 Mar CD Riestra A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May CA San Lorenzo de Almagro A 2–1 W
24 Apr CD Riestra A 0–2 L
18 Apr CSyD Defensa y Justicia H 3–1 W
11 Apr CA Boca Juniors A 1–1 D
04 Apr Racing Club H 1–0 W
21 Mar CA Talleres H 1–2 L

Season Stats

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro CA Independiente
#24 Position #7
29 Points 40
27 Played 27
7 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 9 / 13 / 5
20 Scored 25
26 Conceded 17
-6 GD +8
1.07 PPG 1.48
26% Win % 33%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
48% Clean Sheets
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro this season
30% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro are 24th (29 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/5
61-75
3/2
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Independiente
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
Rodrigo Auzmendi 6 G
Alexis Cuello 5 G 3 A
CA Independiente
Gabriel Avalos 11 G 5 A
Matias Abaldo 5 G 3 A
Santiago Gabriel Montiel 4 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. CA Independiente kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Santiago Arias has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 8' A moment of madness from Milton Valenzuela on 8 minutes earns him a card. CA Independiente will be frustrated.
  • 13' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 16' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Matias Abaldo makes it 0-1.
  • 20' Alexis Cuello picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' Gabriel Avalos is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA San Lorenzo de Almagro so far.
  • 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ezequiel Herrera Gomez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Independiente.
  • 39' A meaty challenge results in booking for Manuel Insaurralde on 39.
  • 41' Kevin Lomonaco was booked on 41.
  • 46' Ivan Marcone has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 51' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 54' Maximiliano Gutierrez makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and CA Independiente are in front.
  • 59' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 64' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA San Lorenzo de Almagro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro and CA Independiente are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 72' A goal from the Argentina international Ezequiel Herrera Gomez! He fires home on 72 to make it 1-2!
  • 77' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 82' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matias Reali made 196 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' Sebastian Valdez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for CA Independiente players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.71 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 CA Independiente xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + CA Independiente or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro28% Draw36% CA Independiente36%
Actual: CA Independiente win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 49%
51%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro or Draw
64%
Draw or CA Independiente
72%
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro or CA Independiente
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro16% Draw60% CA Independiente24%
Actual: CA Independiente win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.1%
0 – 1
16.6%
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 1
4.5%
0 – 3
2.4%
2 – 2
2.3%
1 – 3
1.9%
3 – 1
1.1%

Asian Handicap — CA San Lorenzo de Almagro

Handicap CA San Lorenzo de Almagro covers Push CA Independiente covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 17% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 23% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
50% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.