Sunday , 20 September 2026

CA Velez Sarsfield vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC Estadio Jose Amalfitani HT 45' · FT 45'
Dilan Godoy pen 35' 1–0
1–1 76' Felipe Loyola pen
Braian Romero pen 84' 2–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug CA Independiente H 2–1 W
07 Aug CA San Lorenzo de Almagro A 0–1 L
26 Jul Instituto AC Cordoba H 0–0 D
19 Jul CA Platense A 0–0 D
15 Jul CA Tigre H 2–1 W
15 Dec CA Huracan H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug CA Velez Sarsfield A 1–2 L
09 Aug CA River Plate H 0–0 D
27 Jul Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata A 0–1 L
21 Jul CA Talleres H 1–2 L
13 Jul CA Sarmiento de Junin A 2–2 D
14 Dec CA Boca Juniors A 0–0 D

Season Stats

CA Velez Sarsfield CA Independiente
#1 Position #7
51 Points 40
27 Played 27
14 / 9 / 4 W / D / L 9 / 13 / 5
38 Scored 25
16 Conceded 17
+22 GD +8
1.89 PPG 1.48
52% Win % 33%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
CA Velez Sarsfield this season
30% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA Velez Sarsfield are 1st (51 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Velez Sarsfield
0-15
6/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Independiente
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/
31-45
3/3
46-60
5/5
61-75
/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Velez Sarsfield
Ronaldo Martinez 6 G 1 A
Manuel Lanzini 6 G
Florian Monzon 6 G
Matias Pellegrini 3 G 2 A
CA Independiente
Gabriel Avalos 11 G 5 A
Matias Abaldo 5 G 3 A
Santiago Gabriel Montiel 4 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.24 CA Velez Sarsfield xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 CA Independiente xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Velez Sarsfield51% Draw30% CA Independiente19%
Actual: CA Velez Sarsfield win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

CA Velez Sarsfield or Draw
80%
Draw or CA Independiente
49%
CA Velez Sarsfield or CA Independiente
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Velez Sarsfield31% Draw55% CA Independiente14%
Actual: CA Velez Sarsfield win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.6%
1 – 0
16.4%
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — CA Velez Sarsfield

Handicap CA Velez Sarsfield covers Push CA Independiente covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 25% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

CA Velez Sarsfield keeps clean sheet
50%
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.