Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 30 Nov 2024 · 15:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium 22,994 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Jay Rodriguez
0–2 78' Josh Brownhill pen

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Burnley FCChampionship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Burnley FC H 0–2 L
26 Nov Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Millwall FC H 1–1 D
06 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–0 W
02 Nov Derby County FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Stoke City FC A 2–0 W
26 Nov Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
23 Nov Bristol City FC A 1–0 W
10 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
07 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
03 Nov Millwall FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Bet365 Stadium that hosts another battle between Stoke City FC and Burnley FC.
  • 5' The travelling Burnley FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' CJ Egan-Riley needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ben Wilmot, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 5 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 342 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
  • 52' What a strike from Jay Rodriguez! The score is 0-1.
  • 57' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 62' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Wouter Burger is replaced by Andrew Moran on 64 minute.
  • 69' It’s gonna be a card for Joon-ho Bae.
  • 71' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Jay Rodriguez departs to be replaced by Zian Flemming.
  • 72' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Jeremy Sarmiento departs to be replaced by Josh Brownhill.
  • 74' Lewis Koumas is replacing Ben Wilmot for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 78' Goal! Josh Brownhill scores his 45 goal in 387 matches.
  • 83' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hannibal Mejbri made 409 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 85' Stoke City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 88' Another change for Burnley FC made on 88 minute. Josh Cullen leaves to be changed by Hannibal Mejbri.
  • With this win, Burnley FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.83 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC27% Draw32% Burnley FC41%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Burnley FC
73%
Stoke City FC or Burnley FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC18% Draw55% Burnley FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.7%
0 – 1
14.6%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
3.1%
2 – 2
3.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 17% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 23% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.