Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Fri 30 Dec 2022 · 19:45 UTC Bet365 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
2
Stoke City FC 4 games · Avg 1.3 goals Burnley FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Burnley FC H 0–1 L
26 Dec Rotherham United FC A 2–2 D
17 Dec Bristol City FC A 2–1 W
10 Dec Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D
12 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–2 L
08 Nov Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Stoke City FC A 1–0 W
27 Dec Birmingham City FC H 3–0 W
17 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 3–1 W
11 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–0 W
13 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Sheffield United FC A 2–5 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Stoke City FC welcome Burnley FC for this crunch clash at Bet365 Stadium.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Morgan Fox has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' Stoke City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burnley FC backline.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Tymon suffering a number of foals already.
  • 29' Josh Cullen is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
  • 33' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ashley Barnes.
  • 38' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lewis Baker is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
  • 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Harrison Clarke. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 52' A tactical swap from Burnley FCJay Rodriguez on, Ashley Barnes off on 52 minutes.
  • 57' Harrison Clarke is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 61' A goal from the Ireland international Josh Cullen! He fires home on 61 to make it 0-1!
  • 66' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jacob Brown made 385 appearances and scored 51 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 68' Nathan Tella has so much to prove this time. He replaces Benson Manuel on 68 minute.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Nathan Tella. He replaces Benson Manuel on 69 minute.
  • 71' Stoke City FC ring the changes. Jacob Brown has done his job and it is now time for Liam Delap to step up.
  • 72' Joshua Laurent is replacing William Smallbone for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 74' A moment of madness from Ian Maatsen on 74 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Nick Powell comes on to replace Jordan Thompson.
  • 84' Charlie Taylor is replacing Ian Maatsen for the Burnley FC side.
  • 89' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Lewis Baker.
  • Another three points for Burnley FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Burnley FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC32% Draw31% Burnley FC37%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Burnley FC
68%
Stoke City FC or Burnley FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC23% Draw51% Burnley FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.