Burnley FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 8 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Linington
- Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
- Assistant 2 Matt McGrath
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec | Watford FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Dec | Norwich City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Dec | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Stoke City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Coventry City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec | Burnley FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Dec | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Nov | Bristol City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Nov | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Burnley FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #24 | Position | #20 |
| 4 | Points | 8 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 0 / 4 / 4 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 4 |
| 9 | Scored | 7 |
| 17 | Conceded | 10 |
| -8 | GD | -3 |
| 0.50 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 0% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Burnley FC are 24th (4 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Turf Moor. Burnley FC are looking to make home advantage count against Watford FC.
- 5' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 9' Assisted by Josh Brownhill with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jaidon Anthony makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 14' Burnley FC currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 19' Moussa Sissoko has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 390 appearances.
- 24' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 29' Burnley FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 34' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daniel Bachmann is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
- 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 41' Jeremy Ngakia was booked on 41.
- 46' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Rocco Vata exits the field as Francisco Sierralta enters on 46.
- 49' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Josh Laurent gets a card.
- 54' Giorgi Chakvetadze has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 59' Ryan Andrews gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Jeremy Ngakia and will look to change the dynamic.
- 60' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Festy Ebosele is hanging Yasser Larouci on the field on 60 minute.
- 62' Josh Brownhill does the damage! The net is bulging and Burnley FC surge ahead!
- 64' CJ Egan-Riley is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
- 69' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 71' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Vakoun Issouf Bayo departs to be replaced by Daniel Jebbison.
- 76' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 80' Goal! Kwadwo Baah scores his 8 goal in 140 matches.
- 82' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Pierre Dwomoh exits the field as Edo Kayembe enters on 82.
- 84' The crowd applauds Hannibal Mejbri as he leaves the pitch. Luca Koleosho steps in for Burnley FC.
- 88' James Trafford has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 88.
- 90' A tactical swap from Burnley FC — Jay Rodriguez on, Zian Flemming off on 90 minutes.
- The points are shared — Burnley FC 2-1 Watford FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
14
Connor Roberts ↓ John Egan 90'
- 24
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Jay Rodriguez 90'
- 11
- 1
-
28
Hannibal Mejbri ↓ Luca Koleosho 84'
- 5
- 6
- 12
- 29
Bench
-
9
Jay Rodriguez ↑ 90'
-
16
John Egan ↑ 90'
- 44
- 4
- 32
- 37
- 23
-
30
Luca Koleosho ↑ 84'
- 18
Coach
Scott Parker
Watford FC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 17
- 1
- 5
- 8
- 19
- 6
-
14
Pierre Dwomoh ↓ Edo Kayembe 82'
- 34
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Festy Ebosele 60'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 59'
- 11
Bench
- 23
- 7
- 21
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 46'
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↑ 82'
-
36
Festy Ebosele ↑ 60'
-
18
Daniel Jebbison ↑ 71'
- 22
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 59'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 3 |
| James Tarkowski | 2 |
| Jay Rodriguez | 1 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| James Tarkowski | 1 |
| Troy Deeney | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
| Jack Cork | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.22
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Burnley FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Watford FC
56%
Burnley FC or Watford FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 21% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

