Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burnley FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Burnley FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Watford FC
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor 19,601 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jaidon Anthony 9' 1–0
Josh Brownhill 62' 2–0
2–1 80' Kwadwo Baah
Y 41' Jeremy Ngakia
Josh Laurent 49' Y
CJ Egan-Riley 64' Y
James Trafford 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee James Linington
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 Matt McGrath

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Birmingham City FC 15 29
2 Middlesbrough FC 15 29
3 Stoke City FC 15 29
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 15 28
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 15 28
6 Swansea City AFC 15 26
7 Southampton FC 15 24
8 Queens Park Rangers FC 15 24
9 West Ham United FC 15 23
10 Sheffield United FC 15 22
11 Portsmouth FC 15 22
12 Norwich City FC 15 21
13 Blackburn Rovers FC 15 21
14 Cardiff City FC 15 18
15 Wrexham AFC 15 18
16 Millwall FC 15 18
17 Bristol City FC 15 18
18 Bolton Wanderers FC 15 17
19 Charlton Athletic FC 15 17
20 Watford FC 15 15
21 Lincoln City FC 15 15
22 Burnley FC 15 10
23 Derby County FC 15 10
24 Preston North End FC 15 8

Head-to-Head

6
3
2
Burnley FC 11 games · Avg 2.2 goals Watford FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-21 Burnley FC 2–1 Watford FC 2023-02-14 Burnley FC 1–1 Watford FC 2022-08-12 Watford FC 1–0 Burnley FC 2022-04-30 Watford FC 1–2 Burnley FC 2022-02-05 Burnley FC 0–0 Watford FC

Recent Form

Burnley FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Watford FC H 2–1 W
15 Dec Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
10 Dec Derby County FC H 0–0 D
06 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
30 Nov Stoke City FC A 2–0 W
26 Nov Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
Watford FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Burnley FC A 1–2 L
15 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
11 Dec Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
30 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–0 D
26 Nov Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
22 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Burnley FC Watford FC
#22 Position #20
10 Points 15
15 Played 15
1 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 8
22 Scored 13
31 Conceded 23
-9 GD -10
0.67 PPG 1.00
7% Win % 27%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Burnley FC are 22nd (10 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Largie Ramazani 4 G 1 A
Zeki Amdouni 3 G 1 A
Zian Flemming 2 G
Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Turf Moor!
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Watford FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 9' GOAL! Jaidon Anthony fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 14' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 14 minutes.
  • 19' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Burnley FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 24' The 23-year-old CJ Egan-Riley has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Brownhill suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 39' Ivory Coast international Vakoun Issouf Bayo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 41' That is a card for Watford FC. Jeremy Ngakia will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Rocco Vata by Francisco Sierralta on 46 minute.
  • 49' Josh Laurent picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 54' Maxime Esteve is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
  • 59' Jeremy Ngakia makes way for Ryan Andrews at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • 60' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Yasser Larouci by Festy Ebosele on 60 minute.
  • 62' A stunning finish from Josh Brownhill — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 64' CJ Egan-Riley is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
  • 69' Pierre Dwomoh has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 324 appearances.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Vakoun Issouf Bayo is replaced by Daniel Jebbison on 71 minute.
  • 76' Burnley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
  • 80' The deadlock is broken! Kwadwo Baah gets on the scoresheet on 80 minutes.
  • 82' Edo Kayembe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pierre Dwomoh on 82 minute.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Hannibal Mejbri is replaced by Luca Koleosho.
  • 88' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. James Trafford gets a card.
  • 90' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Zian Flemming exits the field as Jay Rodriguez enters on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Scott Parker

Watford FC Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tom Cleverley

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Josh Brownhill 3
James Tarkowski 2
Marcus Edwards 1
Will Hughes 1
James Tarkowski 1
Jacob Bruun Larsen 1
Troy Deeney 1
Reo Hatate 1

Head to Head

2024-12-21 Burnley FC 2–1 Watford FC 2023-02-14 Burnley FC 1–1 Watford FC 2022-08-12 Watford FC 1–0 Burnley FC 2022-04-30 Watford FC 1–2 Burnley FC 2022-02-05 Burnley FC 0–0 Watford FC

Burnley FC Form

2024-12-21 Burnley FC 2–1 Watford FC W 2024-12-15 Norwich City FC 1–2 Burnley FC W 2024-12-10 Burnley FC 0–0 Derby County FC D 2024-12-06 Burnley FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC D 2024-11-30 Stoke City FC 0–2 Burnley FC W 2024-11-26 Burnley FC 2–0 Coventry City FC W

Watford FC Form

2024-12-21 Burnley FC 2–1 Watford FC L 2024-12-15 Watford FC 2–1 West Bromwich Albion FC W 2024-12-11 Hull City AFC 1–1 Watford FC D 2024-11-30 Watford FC 0–0 Queens Park Rangers FC D 2024-11-26 Watford FC 1–0 Bristol City FC W 2024-11-22 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–2 Watford FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC51% Draw26% Watford FC23%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Watford FC
49%
Burnley FC or Watford FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC34% Draw48% Watford FC18%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.