Burnley FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Linington
- Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
- Assistant 2 Matt McGrath
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec | Watford FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Dec | Norwich City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Dec | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Stoke City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Coventry City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec | Burnley FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Dec | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Nov | Bristol City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Nov | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Burnley FC and Watford FC has kicked off!
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 9' What a strike from Jaidon Anthony! The score is 1-0.
- 14' The travelling Watford FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 19' Edo Kayembe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryan Porteous suffering a number of foals already.
- 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
- 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jeremy Ngakia on 41.
- 46' Francisco Sierralta is replacing Rocco Vata for the Watford FC side.
- 49' It’s gonna be a card for Josh Laurent.
- 54' Watford FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
- 59' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Jeremy Ngakia departs to be replaced by Ryan Andrews.
- 60' Festy Ebosele has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yasser Larouci on 60 minute.
- 62' GOAL! Josh Brownhill scores on 62. Assisted by Hannibal Mejbri
- 64' That looks like a foul for a card for CJ Egan-Riley.
- 69' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 71' Daniel Jebbison has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vakoun Issouf Bayo on 71 minute.
- 76' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Francisco Sierralta has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 80' Goal! Kwadwo Baah scores his 8 goal in 140 matches.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Edo Kayembe. He replaces Pierre Dwomoh on 82 minute.
- 84' Another change for Burnley FC made on 84 minute. Hannibal Mejbri leaves to be changed by Luca Koleosho.
- 88' James Trafford was booked on 88.
- 90' Another change for Burnley FC made on 90 minute. Zian Flemming leaves to be changed by Jay Rodriguez.
- Another three points for Burnley FC.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
14
Connor Roberts ↓ John Egan 90'
- 24
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Jay Rodriguez 90'
- 11
- 1
-
28
Hannibal Mejbri ↓ Luca Koleosho 84'
- 5
- 6
- 12
- 29
Bench
-
9
Jay Rodriguez ↑ 90'
-
16
John Egan ↑ 90'
- 44
- 4
- 32
- 37
- 23
-
30
Luca Koleosho ↑ 84'
- 18
Coach
Scott Parker
Watford FC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 17
- 1
- 5
- 8
- 19
- 6
-
14
Pierre Dwomoh ↓ Edo Kayembe 82'
- 34
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Festy Ebosele 60'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 59'
- 11
Bench
- 23
- 7
- 21
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 46'
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↑ 82'
-
36
Festy Ebosele ↑ 60'
-
18
Daniel Jebbison ↑ 71'
- 22
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 59'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 3 |
| James Tarkowski | 2 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| Joao Pedro | 1 |
| Troy Deeney | 1 |
| Michael Obafemi | 1 |
| Andre Gray | 1 |
| Kwadwo Baah | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.32
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Watford FC
53%
Burnley FC or Watford FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.4%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.