Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 10 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Kenilworth Road 10,537 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Thomas Cannon
Carlton Morris 24' 1–1
Elijah Adebayo 90' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1 Rob Hyde (England)
  • Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
07 Dec Swansea City AFC H 1–1 D
30 Nov Norwich City FC A 2–4 L
27 Nov Leeds United FC A 0–3 L
23 Nov Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
09 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
07 Dec Sunderland AFC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Burnley FC H 0–2 L
26 Nov Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Millwall FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Luton Town FC to score. At the same time, Stoke City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 6' Stoke City FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Thomas Cannon on 6.
  • 11' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wouter Burger suffering a number of foals already.
  • 21' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Thomas Kaminski has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 24' GOAL! Carlton Morris scores on 24. Assisted by Jordan Clark
  • 29' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 380 games and scored 400 goals.
  • 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 49' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 49.
  • 54' Jordan Clark needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 42 Yellow cards this season.
  • 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tahith Chong on 55.
  • 60' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 70' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 70 minutes.
  • 75' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 80' It’s high time Rob Edwards made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 84' Andrew Moran has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joon-ho Bae on 84 minute.
  • 85' Wouter Burger is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
  • 89' Stoke City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 89' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 89 minute. Lewis Koumas leaves to be changed by Lynden Gooch.
  • 90' Goal! Elijah Adebayo scores his 50 goal in 57 matches.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Wouter Burger is replaced by Emre Tezgel.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Luton Town FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC47% Draw28% Stoke City FC25%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Stoke City FC
53%
Luton Town FC or Stoke City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC30% Draw50% Stoke City FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.