Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 10 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Kenilworth Road 10,537 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Thomas Cannon
Carlton Morris 24' 1–1
Elijah Adebayo 90' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1 Rob Hyde (England)
  • Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)
4 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 2.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
07 Dec Swansea City AFC H 1–1 D
30 Nov Norwich City FC A 2–4 L
27 Nov Leeds United FC A 0–3 L
23 Nov Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
09 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
07 Dec Sunderland AFC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Burnley FC H 0–2 L
26 Nov Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Millwall FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Kenilworth Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It’s high time Rob Edwards made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 6' The deadlock is broken! Thomas Cannon gets on the scoresheet on 6 minutes.
  • 11' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 16' The energy levels are beginning to show. Chicho Pelach might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 21' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Million Manhoef has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 24' Against the run of play, Carlton Morris has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Luton Town FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 34' Luton Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 39' Tatsuki Seko needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 44' Luton Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
  • 49' Nigeria international Victor Moses has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 54' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 55' It’s a booking for Luton Town FC player. Tahith Chong gets a card.
  • 60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 65' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 70' The 25-year-old Tom Krauss has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 75' Ashley Phillips has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 80' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 84' The whistle greets Joon-ho Bae as he departs to be replaced by Andrew Moran.
  • 85' Wouter Burger is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
  • 89' Stoke City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 89' Stoke City FC make a change. Lewis Koumas trudges off to be replaced by Lynden Gooch on 89 minutes.
  • 90' Elijah Adebayo does the damage! The net is bulging and Luton Town FC surge ahead!
  • 90' Emre Tezgel is replacing Wouter Burger for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 2-1 the final result. Stoke City FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC47% Draw28% Stoke City FC25%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Stoke City FC
53%
Luton Town FC or Stoke City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC30% Draw50% Stoke City FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.