Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 10 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Turf Moor 18,813 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)

Head-to-Head

2
Burnley FC 2 games · Avg 0.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Derby County FC H 0–0 D
06 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
30 Nov Stoke City FC A 2–0 W
26 Nov Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
23 Nov Bristol City FC A 1–0 W
10 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Burnley FC A 0–0 D
07 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
01 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–2 L
27 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
23 Nov Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Jerry Yates needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 19 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Burnley FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Nathaniel Phillips has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' Liam Thompson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 48' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joe Ward on 48.
  • 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 58' Another change for Derby County FC made on 58 minute. Dajaune Brown leaves to be changed by Marcus Harness.
  • 63' Another change for Burnley FC made on 63 minute. Zian Flemming leaves to be changed by Jay Rodriguez.
  • 68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing suffering a number of foals already.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Joe Ward is replaced by Kane Wilson on 69 minute.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Josh Laurent is replaced by Luca Koleosho.
  • 75' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 76' Another change for Derby County FC made on 76 minute. Kenzo Goudmijn leaves to be changed by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
  • 80' Josh Brownhill is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Jaidon Anthony is replaced by Andreas Hountondji.
  • 87' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 89' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
  • The final score is 0-0.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Burnley FC or Draw 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC44% Draw34% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 46%
54%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Derby County FC
56%
Burnley FC or Derby County FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC25% Draw61% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
18.4%
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
11.4%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
2.7%
2 – 2
1.9%
3 – 1
1.9%
1 – 3
0.8%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 25% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 16% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
55%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.