Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burnley FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 10 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Turf Moor 18,813 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)

Head-to-Head

3
Burnley FC 3 games · Avg 0.7 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Derby County FC H 0–0 D
06 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
30 Nov Stoke City FC A 2–0 W
26 Nov Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
23 Nov Bristol City FC A 1–0 W
10 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Burnley FC A 0–0 D
07 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
01 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–2 L
27 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
23 Nov Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Burnley FC Derby County FC
#22 Position #23
10 Points 10
15 Played 15
1 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 9
22 Scored 14
31 Conceded 30
-9 GD -16
0.67 PPG 0.67
7% Win % 13%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Burnley FC are 22nd (10 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Largie Ramazani 4 G 1 A
Zeki Amdouni 3 G 1 A
Zian Flemming 2 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' Burnley FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 5-3-2 shape.
  • 15' Derby County FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 20' England international James Trafford has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' Sonny Bradley is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Derby County FC winning 0% of all matches.
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 354 games and scored 420 goals.
  • 45' Josh Laurent, a England midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 48' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 53' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 58' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marcus Harness is hanging Dajaune Brown on the field on 58 minute.
  • 63' Another change for Burnley FC made on 63 minute. Zian Flemming leaves to be changed by Jay Rodriguez.
  • 68' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 69' Kane Wilson gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Joe Ward and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' Fresh legs for Burnley FC! Luca Koleosho comes on to replace Josh Laurent.
  • 75' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing. He replaces Kenzo Goudmijn on 76 minute.
  • 80' Burnley FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
  • 82' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Jaidon Anthony is withdrawn and Andreas Hountondji gets his opportunity.
  • 87' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 89' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 89.
  • 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC54% Draw28% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
46%
Burnley FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC35% Draw51% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.8%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 0
11.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 26% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
50% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.