Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 10 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Turf Moor 18,813 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)

Head-to-Head

3
Burnley FC 3 games · Avg 0.7 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Derby County FC H 0–0 D
06 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
30 Nov Stoke City FC A 2–0 W
26 Nov Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
23 Nov Bristol City FC A 1–0 W
10 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Burnley FC A 0–0 D
07 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
01 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–2 L
27 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
23 Nov Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Burnley FC Derby County FC
#24 Position #22
4 Points 5
8 Played 8
0 / 4 / 4 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
9 Scored 7
17 Conceded 14
-8 GD -7
0.50 PPG 0.63
0% Win % 13%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Burnley FC are 24th (4 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Turf Moor will turn into a battlefield for Burnley FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Eiran Cashin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burnley FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' Jerry Yates needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 25' Jeremy Sarmiento, a Ecuador , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' Derby County FC come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Josh Laurent, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 48' Joe Ward catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 48.
  • 53' Burnley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 58' The crowd applauds Dajaune Brown as he leaves the pitch. Marcus Harness steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 63' Burnley FC ring the changes. Zian Flemming has done his job and it is now time for Jay Rodriguez to step up.
  • 68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Callum Elder suffering a number of foals already.
  • 69' Derby County FC ring the changes. Joe Ward has done his job and it is now time for Kane Wilson to step up.
  • 70' Josh Laurent makes way for Luca Koleosho at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
  • 75' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 76' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Kenzo Goudmijn exits the field as Nathaniel Mendez-Laing enters on 76.
  • 80' Burnley FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 82' Another change for Burnley FC made on 82 minute. Jaidon Anthony leaves to be changed by Andreas Hountondji.
  • 87' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 89' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 89.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC46% Draw32% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 53%
47%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Derby County FC
54%
Burnley FC or Derby County FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC27% Draw58% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
16.9%
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
2 – 2
2.5%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 25% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 15% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
50% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.