Friday , 6 November 2026

Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 16 Sep 2026 · 22:30 UTC Municipal Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Municipal Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Gremio FBPA H 3–2 W
12 Sep RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
06 Sep SE Palmeiras H 0–0 D
30 Aug CR Flamengo A 0–3 L
24 Aug CA Paranaense H 2–3 L
16 Aug EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
12 Sep CR Vasco da Gama H 1–2 L
07 Sep EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
30 Aug Chapecoense AF H 3–1 W
23 Aug RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
16 Aug CA Mineiro A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Botafogo FR Gremio FBPA
#11 Position #18
42 Points 37
34 Played 34
11 / 9 / 14 W / D / L 9 / 10 / 15
46 Scored 38
53 Conceded 47
-7 GD -9
1.24 PPG 1.09
32% Win % 26%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Botafogo FR are 11th (42 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
6/6
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/4
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 10 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 6 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 11 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Municipal Nilton Santos that hosts another battle between Botafogo FR and Gremio FBPA.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Botafogo FR in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Gremio FBPA's compact 4-3-3.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Castro will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Arthur Chaves is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gremio FBPA.
  • 20' The 38-year-old Weverton has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Botafogo FR and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' Goal! Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira scores his 17 goal in 399 matches.
  • 35' Gremio FBPA come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 36' Goal! Jovane Cabral scores his 26 goal in 515 matches.
  • 41' It looks surprising Gremio FBPA does not make any changes. Edenilson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Botafogo FR — Danilo on, Edenilson off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 52' Against the run of play, Alvaro Montoro has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Botafogo FR that had 355 games and scored 365 goals.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Jose Enamorado. He replaces Jovane Cabral on 59 minute.
  • 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Martin Braithwaite. He replaces Filip Krovinovic on 66 minute.
  • 71' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Botafogo FR and Gremio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 73' Marcal is ready to make an impact after coming on for Junior Santos at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' That looks like a foul for a card for Erick Noriega.
  • 78' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Tete comes on to replace Cristian Pavon.
  • 79' Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira with the second goal in the match!
  • 81' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Alvaro Montoro has done his job and it is now time for Allan to step up.
  • 86' The Botafogo FR manager makes a substitution. Arthur Cabral departs to be replaced by Tiquinho Soares.
  • 88' A stunning finish from Gustavo Martins — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 90' Danilo is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Botafogo FR take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR49% Draw25% Grêmio FBPA26%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
73%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
51%
Botafogo FR or Grêmio FBPA
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR34% Draw43% Grêmio FBPA23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 2
6.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.