Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 LAST 16

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
Tue 2 Dec 2025 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenDFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
29 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–1 W
25 Nov Villarreal CF H 4–0 W
22 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 3–3 D
08 Nov Hamburger SV A 1–1 D
05 Nov Manchester City FC A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 1–0 W
29 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
25 Nov Manchester City FC A 2–0 W
22 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
08 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 6–0 W
05 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 1–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 71% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund38% Draw29% Bayer 04 Leverkusen33%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
66%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
62%
Borussia Dortmund or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund27% Draw47% Bayer 04 Leverkusen26%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
28%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.