Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

Borussia Dortmund

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Bayern München

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga .

Borussia Dortmund 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sven Jablonski

9 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 11.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

Borussia Dortmund 23 games · Avg 4.0 goals FC Bayern München

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München 2025-10-18 FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund 2025-04-12 FC Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund 2024-11-30 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FC Bayern München 2024-03-30 FC Bayern München 0–2 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	FC Bayern München	H	2–3	L
25 Feb	Atalanta BC	A	1–4	L
21 Feb	RB Leipzig	A	2–2	D
17 Feb	Atalanta BC	H	2–0	W
13 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	4–0	W
07 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–1	W

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	A	3–2	W
21 Feb	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	3–2	W
14 Feb	SV Werder Bremen	A	3–0	W
11 Feb	RB Leipzig	H	2–0	W
08 Feb	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	5–1	W
31 Jan	Hamburger SV	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund		FC Bayern München
#2	Position	#1
21	Points	21
9	Played	9
6 / 3 / 0	W / D / L	6 / 3 / 0
16	Scored	29
7	Conceded	9
+9	GD	+20
2.33	PPG	2.33
67%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

74% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

56% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

4/1

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Bayern München

0-15

2/1

16-30

5/–

31-45

5/–

46-60

6/2

61-75

5/2

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

Felix Kalu Nmecha	4 G
Sehrou Guirassy	3 G	2 A
Fabio Silva	3 G	2 A
Maximilian Beier	2 G	2 A
Ioannis Konstantelias	1 G

FC Bayern München

Michael Olise	6 G	3 A
Harry Kane	4 G	7 A
Luis Diaz	4 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	3 G
Ismael Saibari	2 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Borussia Dortmund and FC Bayern München.
Another three points for FC Bayern München.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robert Lewandowski	13
Serge Gnabry	5
Erling Haaland	4
Harry Kane	3
Kingsley Coman	3
Dayot Upamecano	3
Marco Reus	3
Leon Goretzka	2

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund Form

2026-02-28 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München L 2026-02-25 Atalanta BC 4–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2026-02-21 RB Leipzig 2–2 Borussia Dortmund D 2026-02-17 Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Atalanta BC W 2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-02-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Borussia Dortmund W

FC Bayern München Form

2026-02-28 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München W 2026-02-21 FC Bayern München 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2026-02-14 SV Werder Bremen 0–3 FC Bayern München W 2026-02-11 FC Bayern München 2–0 RB Leipzig W 2026-02-08 FC Bayern München 5–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.52 Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.68 FC Bayern München xG

I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund or FC Bayern München 73% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Borussia Dortmund34% Draw27% FC Bayern München39%

Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.2

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

60%

Draw or FC Bayern München

66%

Borussia Dortmund or FC Bayern München

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Borussia Dortmund26% Draw43% FC Bayern München31%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

1 – 2

8.4%

2 – 1

7.6%

2 – 2

6.4%

0 – 1

6.1%

0 – 2

5.7%

0 – 0

5.7%

1 – 0

5.5%

2 – 0

4.7%

1 – 3

4.7%

3 – 1

3.9%

2 – 3

Actual

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap	Borussia Dortmund covers	Push	FC Bayern München covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	17%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	19%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.