Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
25 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–4 L
21 Feb RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
17 Feb Atalanta BC H 2–0 W
13 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
07 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 3–2 W
21 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–2 W
14 Feb SV Werder Bremen A 3–0 W
11 Feb RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
08 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–1 W
31 Jan Hamburger SV A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund FC Bayern München
#8 Position #7
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.93 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + FC Bayern München or Draw 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund32% Draw33% FC Bayern München35%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
65%
Draw or FC Bayern München
68%
Borussia Dortmund or FC Bayern München
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund21% Draw56% FC Bayern München23%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
17.2%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 3
2.2%
1 – 3
2.2%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 20% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 21% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
38%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.