Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Bundesliga · 2025-26

Borussia Dortmund

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Bayern München

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga .

Borussia Dortmund 4 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern München 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sven Jablonski

3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

Borussia Dortmund 22 games · Avg 4.0 goals FC Bayern München

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München 2025-10-18 FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund 2025-04-12 FC Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund 2024-11-30 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FC Bayern München 2024-03-30 FC Bayern München 0–2 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	FC Bayern München	H	2–3	L
25 Feb	Atalanta BC	A	1–4	L
21 Feb	RB Leipzig	A	2–2	D
17 Feb	Atalanta BC	H	2–0	W
13 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	4–0	W
07 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–1	W

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	A	3–2	W
21 Feb	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	3–2	W
14 Feb	SV Werder Bremen	A	3–0	W
11 Feb	RB Leipzig	H	2–0	W
08 Feb	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	5–1	W
31 Jan	Hamburger SV	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund		FC Bayern München
#1	Position	#2
12	Points	10
4	Played	4
4 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 0
9	Scored	14
2	Conceded	2
+7	GD	+12
3.00	PPG	2.50
100%	Win %	75%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Bayern München

0-15

–/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/1

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

Sehrou Guirassy	2 G	2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha	2 G
Fabio Silva	2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias	1 G

FC Bayern München

Michael Olise	4 G	1 A
Harry Kane	3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic	1 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	1 G
Luis Diaz	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Borussia Dortmund and FC Bayern Munchen.
The final score is 2-3.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robert Lewandowski	13
Serge Gnabry	5
Erling Haaland	4
Harry Kane	3
Kingsley Coman	3
Marco Reus	3
Leon Goretzka	2
Emre Can	2

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund Form

2026-02-28 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München L 2026-02-25 Atalanta BC 4–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2026-02-21 RB Leipzig 2–2 Borussia Dortmund D 2026-02-17 Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Atalanta BC W 2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-02-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Borussia Dortmund W

FC Bayern München Form

2026-02-28 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München W 2026-02-21 FC Bayern München 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2026-02-14 SV Werder Bremen 0–3 FC Bayern München W 2026-02-11 FC Bayern München 2–0 RB Leipzig W 2026-02-08 FC Bayern München 5–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.27 Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.43 FC Bayern München xG

I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund or FC Bayern München 71% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Borussia Dortmund32% Draw29% FC Bayern München39%

Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

61%

Draw or FC Bayern München

68%

Borussia Dortmund or FC Bayern München

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Borussia Dortmund24% Draw47% FC Bayern München29%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

13.1%

0 – 0

8.7%

0 – 1

8.6%

1 – 2

8.4%

1 – 0

7.5%

2 – 1

7.5%

0 – 2

6.7%

2 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

5.3%

1 – 3

3 – 1

3.2%

0 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap	Borussia Dortmund covers	Push	FC Bayern München covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	18%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	20%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	12%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.