Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

Borussia Dortmund

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Bayern München

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga .

Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Sven Jablonski

25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game ⚽ 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

Borussia Dortmund 22 games · Avg 4.0 goals FC Bayern München

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München 2025-10-18 FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund 2025-04-12 FC Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund 2024-11-30 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FC Bayern München 2024-03-30 FC Bayern München 0–2 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	FC Bayern München	H	2–3	L
25 Feb	Atalanta BC	A	1–4	L
21 Feb	RB Leipzig	A	2–2	D
17 Feb	Atalanta BC	H	2–0	W
13 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	4–0	W
07 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–1	W

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	A	3–2	W
21 Feb	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	3–2	W
14 Feb	SV Werder Bremen	A	3–0	W
11 Feb	RB Leipzig	H	2–0	W
08 Feb	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	5–1	W
31 Jan	Hamburger SV	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund		FC Bayern München
#2	Position	#1
73	Points	89
34	Played	34
22 / 7 / 5	W / D / L	28 / 5 / 1
70	Scored	122
34	Conceded	36
+36	GD	+86
2.15	PPG	2.62
65%	Win %	82%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

3/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Bayern München

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/4

31-45

4/2

46-60

6/1

61-75

3/1

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Borussia Dortmund and FC Bayern München is underway.
The final score is 2-3.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robert Lewandowski	13
Serge Gnabry	5
Erling Haaland	4
Marco Reus	3
Harry Kane	3
Kingsley Coman	3
Emre Can	2
Jamal Musiala	2

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund Form

2026-02-28 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München L 2026-02-25 Atalanta BC 4–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2026-02-21 RB Leipzig 2–2 Borussia Dortmund D 2026-02-17 Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Atalanta BC W 2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-02-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Borussia Dortmund W

FC Bayern München Form

2026-02-28 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 FC Bayern München W 2026-02-21 FC Bayern München 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2026-02-14 SV Werder Bremen 0–3 FC Bayern München W 2026-02-11 FC Bayern München 2–0 RB Leipzig W 2026-02-08 FC Bayern München 5–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.71 Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.05 FC Bayern München xG

I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund or FC Bayern München 75% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Borussia Dortmund32% Draw25% FC Bayern München43%

Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.76

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

57%

Draw or FC Bayern München

68%

Borussia Dortmund or FC Bayern München

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Borussia Dortmund26% Draw39% FC Bayern München35%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

6.8%

1 – 3

5.5%

0 – 2

2 – 3

Actual

0 – 1

4.3%

3 – 2

3.9%

3 – 1

3.8%

0 – 0

3.6%

2 – 0

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap	Borussia Dortmund covers	Push	FC Bayern München covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	16%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	19%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	14%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.