Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 10 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Nathan Tella
0–2 8' Patrik Schick
1–3 19' Patrik Schick
Sehrou Guirassy pen 79' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
22 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
15 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
11 Dec FC Barcelona H 2–3 L
07 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–1 D
30 Nov FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 3–2 W
21 Dec SC Freiburg H 5–1 W
14 Dec FC Augsburg A 2–0 W
10 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 1–0 W
07 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
03 Dec FC Bayern München A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#2 Position #6
73 Points 59
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 17 / 8 / 9
70 Scored 68
34 Conceded 47
+36 GD +21
2.15 PPG 1.74
65% Win % 50%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund39% Draw26% Bayer 04 Leverkusen35%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
65%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
61%
Borussia Dortmund or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund31% Draw43% Bayer 04 Leverkusen26%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 19% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
23%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.