Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 10 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Nathan Tella
0–2 8' Patrik Schick
1–3 19' Patrik Schick
Sehrou Guirassy pen 79' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
22 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
15 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
11 Dec FC Barcelona H 2–3 L
07 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
30 Nov FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 3–2 W
21 Dec SC Freiburg H 5–1 W
14 Dec FC Augsburg A 2–0 W
10 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 1–0 W
07 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
03 Dec FC Bayern München A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#1 Position #5
12 Points 7
4 Played 4
4 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
9 Scored 10
2 Conceded 5
+7 GD +5
3.00 PPG 1.75
100% Win % 50%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.53 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund40% Draw28% Bayer 04 Leverkusen32%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
68%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
60%
Borussia Dortmund or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund31% Draw46% Bayer 04 Leverkusen23%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.