Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 10 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Nathan Tella
0–2 8' Patrik Schick
1–3 19' Patrik Schick
Sehrou Guirassy pen 79' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
5 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
22 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
15 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
11 Dec FC Barcelona H 2–3 L
07 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
30 Nov FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 3–2 W
21 Dec SC Freiburg H 5–1 W
14 Dec FC Augsburg A 2–0 W
10 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 1–0 W
07 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
03 Dec FC Bayern München A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#8 Position #12
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.68 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund26% Draw36% Bayer 04 Leverkusen38%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 1.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 22%
78%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
62%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
74%
Borussia Dortmund or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund16% Draw61% Bayer 04 Leverkusen23%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
23.3%
0 – 1
17.1%
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 1
4.2%
0 – 3
2.3%
2 – 2
2.1%
1 – 3
1.8%
3 – 1
1%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 17% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 24% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
41%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
51%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.