Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
25 Nov Manchester City FC A 2–0 W
22 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
08 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 6–0 W
05 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 1–0 W
01 Nov FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–1 W
25 Nov Villarreal CF H 4–0 W
22 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 3–3 D
08 Nov Hamburger SV A 1–1 D
05 Nov Manchester City FC A 1–4 L
31 Oct FC Augsburg A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Borussia Dortmund
#6 Position #2
59 Points 73
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
68 Scored 70
47 Conceded 34
+21 GD +36
1.74 PPG 2.15
50% Win % 65%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.73 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Borussia Dortmund 74% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen39% Draw26% Borussia Dortmund35%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
65%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
61%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Borussia Dortmund
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen30% Draw42% Borussia Dortmund28%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 18% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 17% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
20%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.