Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
14 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
11 Mar Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
07 Mar SC Freiburg A 3–3 D
04 Mar Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
28 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
24 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
10 Mar Atalanta BC A 6–1 W
06 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–1 W
28 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 3–2 W
21 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–2 W
14 Feb SV Werder Bremen A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen FC Bayern München
#6 Position #1
59 Points 89
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
68 Scored 122
47 Conceded 36
+21 GD +86
1.74 PPG 2.62
50% Win % 82%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Bayer 04 Leverkusen have kicked off against FC Bayern München. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.48 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen20% Draw22% FC Bayern München58%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
42%
Draw or FC Bayern München
80%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC Bayern München
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen14% Draw37% FC Bayern München49%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
7.5%
0 – 3
6.9%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 4
4.7%
0 – 4
4.3%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
4.1%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 9% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 34% 66%
+1 34% 21% 45%
+1.5 55% 45%
+2 55% 19% 26%
+2.5 74% 26%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
9%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.