Thursday , 2 July 2026

Arsenal FC vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Champions League 2025-26 LAST 16

Tue 17 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Arsenal FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–0 W
14 Mar Everton FC H 2–0 W
11 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
07 Mar Mansfield Town FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–0 W
01 Mar Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Arsenal FC A 0–2 L
14 Mar FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
11 Mar Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
07 Mar SC Freiburg A 3–3 D
04 Mar Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
28 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#1 Position #16
24 Points 12
8 Played 8
8 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 3 / 3 / 2
23 Scored 13
4 Conceded 14
+19 GD -1
3.00 PPG 1.50
100% Win % 38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
42% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Arsenal FC are 1st (24 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 16th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Arsenal FC Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.62 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.54 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Arsenal FC to win 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC75% Draw16% Bayer 04 Leverkusen9%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
91%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
25%
Arsenal FC or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC59% Draw35% Bayer 04 Leverkusen6%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.1%
4 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
6.7%
1 – 1
6.5%
0 – 0
5.6%
4 – 1
4.5%
5 – 0
4.2%
5 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 37% 63%
-2 37% 23% 40%
-1.5 60% 40%
-1 60% 21% 20%
-0.5 80% 20%
+0.5 95% 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
58%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.