Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 11 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jeremie Frimpong 31' 1–0
1–1 33' Julian Brandt
1–2 43' Julian Ryerson
1–3 73' Karim Adeyemi
1–4 77' Sehrou Guirassy
Jonas Hofmann 90+2' 2–4

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Eduard Beitinger
  • Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
16 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Borussia Dortmund H 2–4 L
04 May SC Freiburg A 2–2 D
26 Apr FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
20 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
12 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
05 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 4–2 W
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 4–0 W
26 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
20 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–2 W
15 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–1 W
12 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Borussia Dortmund
#6 Position #2
59 Points 73
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
68 Scored 70
47 Conceded 34
+21 GD +36
1.74 PPG 2.15
50% Win % 65%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Borussia Dortmund 75% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen30% Draw25% Borussia Dortmund45%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
55%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
70%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Borussia Dortmund
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen24% Draw40% Borussia Dortmund36%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 15% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 20% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
14%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.