Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 11 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jeremie Frimpong 31' 1–0
1–1 33' Julian Brandt
1–2 43' Julian Ryerson
1–3 73' Karim Adeyemi
1–4 77' Sehrou Guirassy
Jonas Hofmann 90+2' 2–4

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Eduard Beitinger
  • Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Borussia Dortmund H 2–4 L
04 May SC Freiburg A 2–2 D
26 Apr FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
20 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
12 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
05 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 4–2 W
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 4–0 W
26 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
20 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–2 W
15 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–1 W
12 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Borussia Dortmund
#5 Position #1
7 Points 12
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
10 Scored 9
5 Conceded 2
+5 GD +7
1.75 PPG 3.00
50% Win % 100%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen26% Draw26% Borussia Dortmund48%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
52%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
74%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Borussia Dortmund
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen20% Draw42% Borussia Dortmund38%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 1
6%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 3
5.9%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
4.9%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 22% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.