Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 11 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jeremie Frimpong 31' 1–0
1–1 33' Julian Brandt
1–2 43' Julian Ryerson
1–3 73' Karim Adeyemi
1–4 77' Sehrou Guirassy
Jonas Hofmann 90+2' 2–4

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Eduard Beitinger
  • Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Borussia Dortmund H 2–4 L
04 May SC Freiburg A 2–2 D
26 Apr FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
20 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
12 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
05 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 4–2 W
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 4–0 W
26 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
20 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–2 W
15 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–1 W
12 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Borussia Dortmund
#12 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.84 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen27% Draw32% Borussia Dortmund41%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
59%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
73%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Borussia Dortmund
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen18% Draw54% Borussia Dortmund28%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
0 – 0
15.4%
0 – 1
14.3%
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 2
8.9%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 16% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 24% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 13% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
31%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.