Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at BayArena.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
- Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Deniz Aytekin
- Assistant 1 Eduard Beitinger
- Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
16 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 5.3 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–4 | L |
| 04 May | SC Freiburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | FC Augsburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 4–2 | W |
| 03 May | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Apr | FC Barcelona | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | FC Bayern München | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 59 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 17 / 8 / 9 | W / D / L | 22 / 7 / 5 |
| 68 | Scored | 70 |
| 47 | Conceded | 34 |
| +21 | GD | +36 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 50% | Win % | 65% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
44%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Bayer 04 Leverkusen launch into their encounter with Borussia Dortmund.
- 5' Bayer 04 Leverkusen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
- 10' Bayer 04 Leverkusen are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Borussia Dortmund's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 15' Bayer 04 Leverkusen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Borussia Dortmund that had 521 games and scored 798 goals.
- 23' Pascal Gross has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 23.
- 28' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 31' The Netherlands Jeremie Frimpong breaks the deadlock on 31 minutes. 1-0!
- 33' Magnificent from Julian Brandt! That is 61 goals in 166 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 38' Borussia Dortmund fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 43' A goal from the Norway international Julian Ryerson! He fires home on 43 to make it 1-2!
- 45' A moment of madness from Felix Kalu Nmecha on 45 minutes earns him a card. Borussia Dortmund will be frustrated.
- 46' Another change for Borussia Dortmund made on 46 minute. Felix Kalu Nmecha leaves to be changed by Marcel Sabitzer.
- 51' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 56' Borussia Dortmund is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 59' It is a substitution in Bayer 04 Leverkusen team. Nathan Tella is replaced by Jonas Hofmann on 59 minute.
- 64' Over 64 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 67' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen bench stirs into life. Robert Andrich is withdrawn and Exequiel Palacios gets his opportunity.
- 72' Borussia Dortmund have won 798 goals from 521 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 73' Karim Adeyemi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 73 minutes.
- 74' A change in the Borussia Dortmund ranks — Karim Adeyemi exits the field as Emre Can enters on 74.
- 77' GOAL! Sehrou Guirassy fires home to make it 1-4!
- 78' A change in the Bayer 04 Leverkusen ranks — Granit Xhaka exits the field as Aleix Garcia enters on 78.
- 82' Salih Ozcan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Pascal Gross at the 82 minute mark.
- 87' The crowd applauds Julian Brandt as he leaves the pitch. Jamie Bynoe-Gittens steps in for Borussia Dortmund.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Borussia Dortmund take all three points.
Lineups
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
34
Granit Xhaka ↓ Aleix Garcia 78'
- 4
- 1
- 8
- 20
- 12
- 30
-
21
Amine Adli ↓ Patrik Schick 59'
- 10
-
19
Nathan Tella ↓ Jonas Hofmann 59'
-
3
Piero Hincapie ↓ Arthur Augusto 78'
Bench
- 16
-
7
Jonas Hofmann ↑ 59'
- 36
-
24
Aleix Garcia ↑ 78'
-
14
Patrik Schick ↑ 59'
-
25
Exequiel Palacios ↑ 67'
- 17
- 22
-
13
Arthur Augusto ↑ 78'
Coach
Xabi Alonso
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
13
Pascal Gross ↓ Salih Ozcan 82'
- 5
- 25
- 10
- 3
- 1
- 9
-
26
Julian Ryerson ↓ Yan Couto 87'
- 8
-
27
Karim Adeyemi ↓ Emre Can 74'
- 24
Bench
- 33
-
20
Marcel Sabitzer ↑ 46'
-
6
Salih Ozcan ↑ 82'
-
23
Emre Can ↑ 74'
- 7
-
2
Yan Couto ↑ 87'
- 17
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↑ 87'
- 16
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marco Reus | 5 |
| Erling Haaland | 4 |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 |
| Paco Alcacer | 3 |
| Kevin Volland | 3 |
| Patrik Schick | 3 |
| Raphael Guerreiro | 3 |
| Jonathan Tah | 3 |
Head to Head
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-05-11
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–4
Borussia Dortmund
L
2025-05-04
SC Freiburg
2–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-04-26
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–0
FC Augsburg
W
2025-04-20
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-04-12
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–0
1. FC Union Berlin
D
2025-04-05
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
Borussia Dortmund Form
2025-05-11
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–4
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-05-03
Borussia Dortmund
4–0
VfL Wolfsburg
W
2025-04-26
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-04-20
Borussia Dortmund
3–2
Borussia Monchengladbach
W
2025-04-15
Borussia Dortmund
3–1
FC Barcelona
W
2025-04-12
FC Bayern München
2–2
Borussia Dortmund
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Borussia Dortmund 75% + Over 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
55%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
70%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Borussia Dortmund
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–4 not predicted2 – 4Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Handicap | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 20% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 15% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

