Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 15 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 May | FC Tokyo | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 5–2 | W |
| 11 May | Júbilo Iwata | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Werik | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Best Denki Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu FC.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 8' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kazuya Konno on 8 minutes.
- 13' Kohei Tezuka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Avispa Fukuoka tonight.
- 18' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 23' Yuto Iwasaki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 28' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 33' The 30-year-old Wataru Harada has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
- 43' It looks like no one’s ball. Avispa Fukuoka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 45' A stunning finish from Ryoga Sato — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 46' Yoichi Naganuma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Taichi Kikuchi on 46 minute.
- 51' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 56' It looks surprising Avispa Fukuoka does not make any changes. Vinicius Araujo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 61' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
- 65' Wellington has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 65 minutes.
- 68' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Ryoga Sato has done his job and it is now time for Takeshi Kanamori to step up.
- 73' That is a card for Avispa Fukuoka. Hiroyuki Mae will be fuming at that decision.
- 74' Another change for Avispa Fukuoka made on 74 minute. Wellington leaves to be changed by Shahab Zahedi Tabar.
- 76' Shota Hino has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kohei Tezuka on 76 minute.
- 80' Yuki Horigome has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
- 84' Daiki Miya makes way for Seiya Inoue at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Avispa Fukuoka.
- 89' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- Sagan Tosu FC will have plenty to reflect on. Avispa Fukuoka were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Daiki Miya ↓ Seiya Inoue 84'
- 17
- 16
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Masashi Kamekawa 84'
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Yuji Kitajima 68'
- 37
- 31
- 6
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 68'
- 33
- 88
Bench
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 68'
-
19
Masashi Kamekawa ↑ 84'
-
25
Yuji Kitajima ↑ 68'
-
4
Seiya Inoue ↑ 84'
- 41
- 30
-
9
Shahab Zahedi Tabar ↑ 74'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Shota Hino 76'
- 28
- 99
- 71
- 23
- 42
- 5
- 13
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 84'
- 6
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 76'
-
88
Yoichi Naganuma ↑ 46'
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 46'
-
18
Shota Hino ↑ 76'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Wellington | 1 |
| Ryoga Sato | 1 |
| Takeshi Kanamori | 1 |
| Juanma | 1 |
| Daiki Watari | 1 |
| Shun Nakamura | 1 |
| Fuchi Honda | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Avispa Fukuoka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
77%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
52%
Avispa Fukuoka or Sagan Tosu FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.