Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Leicester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park 42,386 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ross Barkley 58' 1–0
1–1 63' Stephy Mavididi
Leon Bailey 76' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Leicester City FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Richard West

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Leicester City FC H 2–1 W
30 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D
26 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–3 L
21 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Manchester City FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
22 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 0–3 L
14 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–4 L
08 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.74 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Leicester City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC54% Draw24% Leicester City FC22%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Leicester City FC
46%
Aston Villa FC or Leicester City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC36% Draw45% Leicester City FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Leicester City FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.