Thursday , 1 October 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC St James' Park 52,168 HT 45' · FT 45'
Anthony Gordon 2' 1–0
Alexander Isak 59' 2–0
Joelinton 90+2' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Neil Davies
11 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 9.5 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Aston Villa FC H 3–0 W
21 Dec Ipswich Town FC A 4–0 W
14 Dec Leicester City FC H 4–0 W
07 Dec Brentford FC A 2–4 L
04 Dec Liverpool FC H 3–3 D
30 Nov Crystal Palace FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–3 L
21 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
07 Dec Southampton FC H 1–0 W
04 Dec Brentford FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Newcastle United FC Aston Villa FC
#9 Position #16
8 Points 4
5 Played 5
2 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
9 Scored 4
9 Conceded 9
+0 GD -5
1.60 PPG 0.80
40% Win % 20%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Newcastle United FC are 9th (8 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.84 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Newcastle United FC to win 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC70% Draw18% Aston Villa FC12%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
30%
Newcastle United FC or Aston Villa FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC56% Draw34% Aston Villa FC10%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.1%
4 – 0
5.8%
4 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
5 – 0
3.3%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 34% — 66%
-2 34% 20% 45%
-1.5 55% — 45%
-1 55% 20% 26%
-0.5 74% — 26%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.