Thursday , 2 July 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Leicester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC St James' Park 52,235 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jacob Murphy 30' 1–0
Bruno Guimaraes 47' 2–0
Alexander Isak 50' 3–0
Jacob Murphy 60' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Leicester City FCPremier League at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Scott Ledger
  • Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Leicester City FC H 4–0 W
07 Dec Brentford FC A 2–4 L
04 Dec Liverpool FC H 3–3 D
30 Nov Crystal Palace FC A 1–1 D
25 Nov West Ham United FC H 0–2 L
10 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–4 L
08 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D
03 Dec West Ham United FC H 3–1 W
30 Nov Brentford FC A 1–4 L
23 Nov Chelsea FC H 1–2 L
10 Nov Manchester United FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.05 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Leicester City FC xG
I would bet for: Newcastle United FC to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC60% Draw22% Leicester City FC18%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Leicester City FC
40%
Newcastle United FC or Leicester City FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC43% Draw42% Leicester City FC15%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
6.5%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
3.4%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Leicester City FC covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.