Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.
- Nottingham Forest FC 10 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Aston Villa FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sam Barrott (England)
- Assistant 1 Tim Wood
- Assistant 2 Wade Smith
7 games this season
🟨 3.4/game
⚽ 14.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City FC | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool FC | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea FC | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton FC | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford FC | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds United FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa FC | 10 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City AFC | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town FC | 10 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham FC | 10 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest FC | 10 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry City FC | 10 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United FC | 10 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland AFC | 10 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace FC | 10 | 7 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | Aston Villa FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | Manchester United FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 04 Dec | Manchester City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Ipswich Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | Arsenal FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Nov | Newcastle United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Dec | RB Leipzig | A | 3–2 | W |
| 07 Dec | Southampton FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | Brentford FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Dec | Chelsea FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Nov | Juventus FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Nottingham Forest FC | Aston Villa FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #10 |
| 9 | Points | 13 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 2 / 3 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| 9 | Scored | 14 |
| 13 | Conceded | 17 |
| -4 | GD | -3 |
| 0.90 | PPG | 1.30 |
| 20% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
10%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
Aston Villa FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC are 16th (9 pts). Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nottingham Forest FC
| Liam Delap | 3 G | |
| Dan Ndoye | 2 G | |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 G | 2 A |
Aston Villa FC
| Nicolas Jackson | 6 G | 1 A |
| Johan Manzambi | 2 G | 3 A |
| Alysson | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at City Ground, Nottingham. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC.
- 5' Morgan Rogers, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Matz Sels has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Digne, as he is very good at scoring at City Ground, Nottingham with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Boubacar Kamara made 479 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' Nottingham Forest FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aston Villa FC backline.
- 45' Nottingham Forest FC currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 50' Matty Cash has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 55' Aston Villa FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 60' Nottingham Forest FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 60.
- 63' What composure from Jhon Duran! The Colombia international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 68' Fresh legs for Nottingham Forest FC! Morato comes on to replace Murillo.
- 70' It’s gonna be a card for Jhon Duran.
- 74' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Youri Tielemans is replaced by Amadou Onana.
- 78' Anthony Elanga has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nicolas Dominguez on 78 minute.
- 83' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ollie Watkins suffering a number of foals already.
- 87' Nikola Milenkovic makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Nottingham Forest FC are in front.
- 90' Another change for Aston Villa FC made on 90 minute. Lucas Digne leaves to be changed by Ian Maatsen.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nottingham Forest FC players.
Lineups
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
14
Callum Hudson-Odoi ↓ Willy Boly 90'
- 11
-
22
Ryan Yates ↓ Jota Silva 68'
- 10
- 26
- 34
- 31
- 16
- 7
- 8
- 5
Bench
- 18
-
30
Willy Boly ↑ 90'
- 15
- 9
- 33
-
4
Morato ↑ 68'
-
21
Anthony Elanga ↑ 78'
- 24
-
20
Jota Silva ↑ 68'
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 27
-
12
Lucas Digne ↓ Ian Maatsen 90'
- 2
- 4
- 7
-
8
Youri Tielemans ↓ Amadou Onana 74'
- 3
-
44
Boubacar Kamara ↓ Ross Barkley 90'
- 14
-
9
Jhon Duran ↓ Ollie Watkins 74'
Bench
-
6
Ross Barkley ↑ 90'
- 10
-
11
Ollie Watkins ↑ 74'
- 25
-
22
Ian Maatsen ↑ 90'
-
24
Amadou Onana ↑ 74'
- 48
- 26
- 20
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tammy Abraham | 4 |
| John McGinn | 4 |
| Ollie Watkins | 3 |
| Lewis Grabban | 2 |
| Douglas Luiz | 2 |
| Jhon Duran | 1 |
| Neco Williams | 1 |
| Joe Lolley | 1 |
Head to Head
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2024-12-14
Nottingham Forest FC
2–1
Aston Villa FC
W
2024-12-07
Manchester United FC
2–3
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2024-12-04
Manchester City FC
3–0
Nottingham Forest FC
L
2024-11-30
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
Ipswich Town FC
W
2024-11-23
Arsenal FC
3–0
Nottingham Forest FC
L
2024-11-10
Nottingham Forest FC
1–3
Newcastle United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52
Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for:
Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC 74% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nottingham Forest FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
57%
Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC
| Handicap | Nottingham Forest FC covers | Push | Aston Villa FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

