Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Exploria Stadium.
- Orlando City SC 25 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 24 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 25 | 54 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 25 | 45 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 25 | 43 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 25 | 40 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 24 | 39 |
| 6 | Orlando City SC | 25 | 34 |
| 7 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 33 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 25 | 32 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 32 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 30 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 24 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 25 | 23 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 25 | 23 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 25 | 21 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 24 | 46 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 25 | 43 |
| 18 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 43 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 41 |
| 20 | St. Louis City | 25 | 41 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 40 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 25 | 35 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 32 |
| 24 | San Diego FC | 25 | 30 |
| 25 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 30 |
| 26 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 29 |
| 27 | Minnesota United FC | 25 | 29 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 25 | 29 |
| 29 | Seattle Sounders FC | 23 | 28 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Jul | Nashville SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jul | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 4–0 | W |
| 23 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–6 | L |
| 16 May | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | Orlando City SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jul | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 23 May | Orlando City SC | H | 6–2 | W |
| 17 May | San Diego FC | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #9 |
| 34 | Points | 32 |
| 25 | Played | 24 |
| 10 / 4 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 8 |
| 44 | Scored | 52 |
| 56 | Conceded | 59 |
| -12 | GD | -7 |
| 1.36 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 40% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
17%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Orlando City SC are 6th (34 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
8/6
31-45
1/7
46-60
8/3
61-75
6/4
76+
6/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/8
31-45
9/8
46-60
5/10
61-75
2/2
76+
12/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 11 G | 1 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 8 G | 3 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 13 G | 1 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
| Tom Barlow | 6 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Orlando City SC host FC Cincinnati — let the battle begin!
- 5' Orlando City SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Barlow made 287 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 23' GOAL! Pavel Bucha scores on 23.
- 28' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 29' The referee shows Orlando City SC player a card on 29.
- 34' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 39' Orlando City SC make a change. Bernardo Rhein trudges off to be replaced by Adrian Gomez on 39 minutes.
- 44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Martin Perelman might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Joran Gerbet is replaced by Marco Pasalic on 46 minute.
- 48' GOAL! Tyrese Spicer fires home to make it 1-1!
- 53' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 55' Poor challenge from Evander. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 60' A quiet spell here at Exploria Stadium. Orlando City SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 61' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Justin Ellis is withdrawn and Wilder Cartagena gets his opportunity.
- 66' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 66 minute. Samuel Gidi leaves to be changed by Kyle Smith.
- 71' Luis Otavio is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 76' With 0 assists to his name this season, David Brekalo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Orlando City SC.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Ayoub Jabbari. He replaces Tom Barlow on 80 minute.
- 82' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Tyrese Spicer is replaced by Daryl Dike on 82 minute.
- 85' Matt Miazga was booked on 85.
- 90' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Miles Robinson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- It finishes all square. Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 6
- 24
- 71
- 77
- 4
-
14
Tyrese Spicer ↓ Daryl Dike 82'
-
35
Joran Gerbet ↓ Marco Pasalic 46'
-
22
Justin Ellis ↓ Wilder Cartagena 61'
-
44
Bernardo Rhein ↓ Adrian Gomez 39'
- 5
Bench
-
3
Adrian Gomez ↑ 39'
-
16
Wilder Cartagena ↑ 61'
-
9
Daryl Dike ↑ 82'
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↑ 46'
- 12
- 11
- 57
- 19
Coach
Martin Perelman
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 21
- 12
- 20
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Tah Anunga 46'
- 9
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 80'
- 18
- 66
-
11
Samuel Gidi ↓ Kyle Smith 66'
-
29
Bryan Ramirez ↓ Kenji Mboma 80'
Bench
- 13
- 2
- 4
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 66'
- 15
-
27
Tah Anunga ↑ 46'
- 14
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 80'
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↑ 80'
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nani | 4 |
| Evander | 4 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Kenji Mboma | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.32
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
59%
Orlando City SC or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 4
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 12% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 17% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 16% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 11% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.