Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Exploria Stadium.
- Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 14 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 15 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 16 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 17 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 18 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 19 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 20 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 21 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 22 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 23 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 24 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 25 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 26 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 27 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 28 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 29 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
| 30 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Jul | Nashville SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jul | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 4–0 | W |
| 23 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–6 | L |
| 16 May | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jul | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 23 May | Orlando City SC | H | 6–2 | W |
| 17 May | San Diego FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 13 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #24 | Position | #12 |
| 20 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 2 / 10 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 30 | Scored | 45 |
| 47 | Conceded | 44 |
| -17 | GD | +1 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 33% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Orlando City SC are 24th (20 pts). FC Cincinnati are 12th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/5
31-45
–/6
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/6
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 11 G |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 4 |
| Nani | 4 |
| Junior Urso | 3 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Ramiro Enrique | 2 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
2026-08-01
New York Red Bulls
3–2
Orlando City SC
L
2026-07-25
Orlando City SC
1–0
Nashville SC
W
2026-07-23
San Jose Earthquakes
0–4
Orlando City SC
W
2026-05-23
FC Cincinnati
6–2
Orlando City SC
L
2026-05-16
Orlando City SC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2026-05-13
Orlando City SC
1–0
Philadelphia Union
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
2.28
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.72
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 83%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 5
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 3.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 4.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
57%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
65%
Orlando City SC or FC Cincinnati
78%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 3
5.6%
1 – 3
5%
1 – 1
4.9%
2 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 3
4.2%
2 – 4
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 4
3.4%
3 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 10% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 14% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 17% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 14% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
7%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.