Saturday , 17 October 2026

Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Orlando City SC
1 – 1
Full Time
FC Cincinnati
Sat 15 Aug 2026 · 23:30 UTC Exploria Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Pavel Bucha
Tyrese Spicer 48' 1–1
Robin Jansson 29' Y
Y 55' Evander
Y 85' Matt Miazga

Overview

Match Preview

Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Exploria Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 29 66
2 Internacional CF Miami 29 52
3 New England Revolution 29 49
4 Chicago Fire FC 29 48
5 Charlotte FC 29 46
6 Philadelphia Union 29 45
7 Orlando City SC 29 38
8 FC Cincinnati 28 36
9 New York Red Bulls 29 36
10 New York City FC 29 33
11 Toronto FC 29 33
12 D.C. United SC 28 33
13 Columbus Crew SC 29 32
14 Atlanta United FC 29 30
15 Montreal Impact FC 29 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 29 52
17 St. Louis City 29 51
18 FC Dallas 29 50
19 San Jose Earthquakes 29 47
20 Houston Dynamo 29 46
21 Los Angeles FC 30 45
22 Seattle Sounders FC 29 41
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 30 39
24 Colorado Rapids SC 29 38
25 San Diego FC 29 33
26 Portland Timbers 29 33
27 Real Salt Lake 29 33
28 Minnesota United FC 29 31
29 Austin FC 29 31
30 Sporting Kansas City 29 22

Head-to-Head

5
5
5
Orlando City SC 15 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC Cincinnati
Last 5 meetings
2026-08-15 Orlando City SC 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2026-05-23 FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC 2025-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City SC 2025-06-28 Orlando City SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC

Recent Form

Orlando City SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug FC Cincinnati H 1–1 D
01 Aug New York Red Bulls A 2–3 L
25 Jul Nashville SC H 1–0 W
23 Jul San Jose Earthquakes A 4–0 W
23 May FC Cincinnati A 2–6 L
16 May Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Orlando City SC A 1–1 D
01 Aug San Jose Earthquakes H 4–2 W
25 Jul Columbus Crew SC A 1–2 L
22 Jul Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 4–3 W
23 May Orlando City SC H 6–2 W
17 May San Diego FC A 3–3 D

Season Stats

Orlando City SC FC Cincinnati
#7 Position #8
38 Points 36
29 Played 28
11 / 5 / 13 W / D / L 9 / 9 / 10
54 Scored 60
69 Conceded 68
-15 GD -8
1.31 PPG 1.29
38% Win % 32%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
14% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Orlando City SC are 7th (38 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Orlando City SC
0-15
3/4
16-30
9/9
31-45
2/7
46-60
8/8
61-75
7/4
76+
12/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
5/3
16-30
5/10
31-45
9/10
46-60
6/12
61-75
5/5
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Orlando City SC
Martin Ojeda 14 G 2 A
Antoine Griezmann 10 G 5 A
Tyrese Spicer 6 G
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 9 G 3 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Orlando City SC welcome FC Cincinnati for this crunch clash at Exploria Stadium.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Orlando City SC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 10' Justin Ellis has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 23' The Czech Republic Pavel Bucha breaks the deadlock on 23 minutes. 0-1!
  • 28' It is a cagey affair so far. Orlando City SC in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
  • 29' It’s gonna be a card for Robin Jansson.
  • 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Martin Perelman will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 39' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Bernardo Rhein is withdrawn and Adrian Gomez gets his opportunity.
  • 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for David Brekalo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Orlando City SC! Marco Pasalic comes on to replace Joran Gerbet.
  • 48' GOAL! Tyrese Spicer scores on 48. Assisted by Justin Ellis
  • 53' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 55' It’s gonna be a card for Evander.
  • 60' Orlando City SC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 61' The Orlando City SC manager makes a substitution. Justin Ellis departs to be replaced by Wilder Cartagena.
  • 66' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kyle Smith is hanging Samuel Gidi on the field on 66 minute.
  • 71' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kyle Smith made 293 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 76' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 76.
  • 80' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 80 minute. Tom Barlow leaves to be changed by Ayoub Jabbari.
  • 82' Daryl Dike is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tyrese Spicer at the 82 minute mark.
  • 85' Poor challenge from Matt Miazga. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' Samuel Gidi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Orlando City SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Martin Perelman

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Evander 4
Nani 4
Junior Urso 3
Tesho Akindele 3
Luciano Acosta 2
Brenner da Silva 2
Ramiro Enrique 2
Brandon Vazquez 2

Head to Head

2026-08-15 Orlando City SC 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2026-05-23 FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC 2025-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City SC 2025-06-28 Orlando City SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC Form

2026-08-15 Orlando City SC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2026-08-01 New York Red Bulls 3–2 Orlando City SC L 2026-07-25 Orlando City SC 1–0 Nashville SC W 2026-07-23 San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC W 2026-05-23 FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC L 2026-05-16 Orlando City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC D

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-08-15 Orlando City SC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2026-08-01 FC Cincinnati 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes W 2026-07-25 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 FC Cincinnati L 2026-07-22 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC W 2026-05-23 FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC W 2026-05-17 San Diego FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.36 Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.28 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Orlando City SC41% Draw23% FC Cincinnati36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

Orlando City SC or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
59%
Orlando City SC or FC Cincinnati
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Orlando City SC34% Draw35% FC Cincinnati31%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
4 – 2
3.1%
2 – 4
2.9%
2 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC

Handicap Orlando City SC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 12% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 17% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 16% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 11% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.