Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
5 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 8.8 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 May | FC Tokyo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 May | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 6–5 | W |
| 06 May | FC Mito Holly Hock | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–6 | L |
| 10 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Kashima Antlers | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #3 |
| 45 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 15 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 40 | Scored | 46 |
| 20 | Conceded | 44 |
| +20 | GD | +2 |
| 2.50 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 83% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
| Leo Ceara | 11 G | |
| Aleksandar Cavric | 4 G | 1 A |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Kashima Antlers and Nagoya Grampus is underway.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Kashima Antlers currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Kashima Antlers have won 478 goals from 453 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kashima Antlers and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 22' What a strike from Leo Ceara! The score is 1-0.
- 25' A moment of madness from Kento Misao on 25 minutes earns him a card. Kashima Antlers will be frustrated.
- 30' Kashima Antlers started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 35' Kashima Antlers is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 40' Yan Santos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 32 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 43' Yuta Matsumura is replacing Yan Santos for the Kashima Antlers side.
- 45' Yuma Suzuki is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' Yuki Nogami makes way for Shuhei Tokumoto at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 48' Kashima Antlers player sees a card in front of him.
- 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Kashima Antlers winning 100% of all matches.
- 54' Brilliant from the ! Naomichi Ueda makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 54.
- 55' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Naomichi Ueda makes it 1-2.
- 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 65' Minato Yoshida, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 69' A change in the Kashima Antlers ranks — Matheus Bueno exits the field as Gaku Shibasaki enters on 69.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Yuya Asano. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 74 minute.
- 77' Sho Inagaki has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
- 82' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kensuke Nagai made 443 appearances and scored 47 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 87' Kensuke Nagai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yudai Kimura on 87 minute.
- 88' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yota Sato is hanging Teruki Hara on the field on 88 minute.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Kashima Antlers Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Aleksandar Cavric 69'
-
18
Yan Santos ↓ Yuta Matsumura 43'
- 7
- 55
- 6
-
40
Yuma Suzuki ↓ Homare Tokuda 88'
- 5
- 37
-
8
Matheus Bueno ↓ Gaku Shibasaki 69'
- 1
-
30
Minato Yoshida ↓ Haruki Hayashi 46'
Bench
-
10
Gaku Shibasaki ↑ 69'
-
77
Aleksandar Cavric ↑ 69'
-
27
Yuta Matsumura ↑ 43'
- 21
- 23
- 3
-
34
Homare Tokuda ↑ 88'
- 35
-
24
Haruki Hayashi ↑ 46'
Coach
Toru Oniki
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Shuhei Tokumoto 46'
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Asano 74'
-
70
Teruki Hara ↓ Yota Sato 88'
- 31
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Mateus 46'
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↓ Kensuke Nagai 87'
- 35
Bench
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 87'
- 14
-
10
Mateus ↑ 46'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 74'
- 19
-
3
Yota Sato ↑ 88'
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↑ 46'
- 41
- 36
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hayato Nakama | 4 |
| Shoma Doi | 3 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Kei Chinen | 2 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers Form
2026-08-15
Kashima Antlers
3–1
Nagoya Grampus
W
2026-05-23
Kashima Antlers
1–0
FC Tokyo
W
2026-05-17
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0–2
Kashima Antlers
W
2026-05-10
Yokohama F.Marinos
5–6
Kashima Antlers
W
2026-05-06
Kashima Antlers
3–0
FC Mito Holly Hock
W
2026-05-03
Kashima Antlers
1–1
FC Machida Zelvia
D
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.8
Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Kashima Antlers to win 71% + Over 2.5 goals 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Kashima Antlers or Draw
88%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
29%
Kashima Antlers or Nagoya Grampus
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.3%
4 – 0
5.7%
4 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 0
3.4%
5 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers
| Handicap | Kashima Antlers covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -2 | 33% | 20% | 46% |
| -1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| -1 | 54% | 20% | 26% |
| -0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

