72 - Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | FC Tokyo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 May | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 6–5 | W |
| 06 May | FC Mito Holly Hock | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–6 | L |
| 10 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Kashima Antlers | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #3 |
| 45 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 15 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 40 | Scored | 46 |
| 20 | Conceded | 44 |
| +20 | GD | +2 |
| 2.50 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 83% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Nagoya Grampus kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Naomichi Ueda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 397 goals.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 22' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Leo Ceara makes it 1-0.
- 25' It’s a booking for Kashima Antlers player. Kento Misao gets a card.
- 30' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked 3 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 35' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Yan Santos has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 43' The supporters are chanting for Yuta Matsumura. He replaces Yan Santos on 43 minute.
- 45' That is a card for Kashima Antlers. Yuma Suzuki will be fuming at that decision.
- 46' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Yuki Nogami has done his job and it is now time for Shuhei Tokumoto to step up.
- 48' It’s a booking for Kashima Antlers player. Leo Ceara gets a card.
- 53' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 54' A goal from the Japan international Naomichi Ueda! He fires home on 54 to make it 1-1!
- 55' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Naomichi Ueda makes no mistake. 1-2!
- 60' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mihailo Petrović might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 65' Mateus is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 69' Kashima Antlers ring the changes. Matheus Bueno has done his job and it is now time for Gaku Shibasaki to step up.
Lineups
Kashima Antlers Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Aleksandar Cavric 69'
-
18
Yan Santos ↓ Yuta Matsumura 43'
- 7
- 55
- 6
- 40
- 5
- 37
-
8
Matheus Bueno ↓ Gaku Shibasaki 69'
- 1
-
30
Minato Yoshida ↓ Haruki Hayashi 46'
Bench
-
10
Gaku Shibasaki ↑ 69'
-
77
Aleksandar Cavric ↑ 69'
-
27
Yuta Matsumura ↑ 43'
- 21
- 23
- 3
- 34
- 35
-
24
Haruki Hayashi ↑ 46'
Coach
Toru Oniki
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Shuhei Tokumoto 46'
- 15
- 13
- 7
- 70
- 31
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Mateus 46'
- 22
- 35
Bench
- 18
- 14
-
10
Mateus ↑ 46'
- 9
- 19
- 3
-
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↑ 46'
- 41
- 36
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hayato Nakama | 4 |
| Shoma Doi | 3 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Homare Tokuda | 2 |
| Tomoya Inukai | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers Form
2026-05-23
Kashima Antlers
1–0
FC Tokyo
W
2026-05-17
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0–2
Kashima Antlers
W
2026-05-10
Yokohama F.Marinos
5–6
Kashima Antlers
W
2026-05-06
Kashima Antlers
3–0
FC Mito Holly Hock
W
2026-05-03
Kashima Antlers
1–1
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2026-04-29
Tokyo Verdy
2–1
Kashima Antlers
L
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
2.66
Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Kashima Antlers to win 68%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Kashima Antlers or Draw
86%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
32%
Kashima Antlers or Nagoya Grampus
82%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
6.9%
4 – 0
5.3%
4 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.8%
1 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers
| Handicap | Kashima Antlers covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -2 | 31% | 20% | 49% |
| -1.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| -1 | 51% | 21% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
39%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
8%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

