Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 12:30 UTC Villa Park 42,345 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jhon Duran 17' 1–0
Morgan Rogers 65' 2–0
2–1 90+3' Phil Foden

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
  • Assistant 1 Edward Smart (England)
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Greenhalgh (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
07 Dec Southampton FC H 1–0 W
04 Dec Brentford FC H 3–1 W
01 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
15 Dec Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
11 Dec Juventus FC A 0–2 L
07 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 2–2 D
04 Dec Nottingham Forest FC H 3–0 W
01 Dec Liverpool FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester City FC
#11 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Manchester City FC are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Villa Park. Aston Villa FC are looking to make home advantage count against Manchester City FC.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Erling Haaland is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Manchester City FC tonight.
  • 17' The deadlock is broken! Jhon Duran gets on the scoresheet on 17 minutes.
  • 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 27' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 32' Belgium international Youri Tielemans has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 37' That is a card for Aston Villa FC. Matty Cash will be fuming at that decision.
  • 42' Manchester City FC come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 45' Emiliano Martinez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Manchester City FC. John Stones is replaced by Kyle Walker.
  • 47' Rico Lewis is having his name booked by the referee on 47.
  • 52' Manchester City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 57' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mateo Kovacic made 409 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 62' The energy levels are beginning to show. Unai Emery might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Morgan Rogers makes it 2-0.
  • 70' With 1 assists to his name this season, Lucas Digne is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Aston Villa FC.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Manchester City FC team. Ilkay Gundogan is replaced by Savio on 73 minute.
  • 78' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 80' Ollie Watkins is replacing Jhon Duran for the Aston Villa FC side.
  • 84' It’s a booking for Manchester City FC player. Josko Gvardiol gets a card.
  • 84' Jeremy Doku has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mateo Kovacic on 84 minute.
  • 87' Jack Grealish catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Morgan Rogers as he leaves the pitch. Emiliano Buendia steps in for Aston Villa FC.
  • 90' A moment of madness from John McGinn on 90 minutes earns him a card. Aston Villa FC will be frustrated.
  • With this win, Aston Villa FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.87 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + Aston Villa FC or Draw 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC44% Draw35% Manchester City FC21%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 74%
26%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Manchester City FC
56%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC23% Draw63% Manchester City FC14%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.6%
1 – 0
18.4%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
2.3%
2 – 2
1.8%
3 – 1
1.6%
1 – 3
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 10% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 24% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 16% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
55%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.