Saturday , 14 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 12:30 UTC Villa Park 42,345 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jhon Duran 17' 1–0
Morgan Rogers 65' 2–0
2–1 90+3' Phil Foden

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
  • Assistant 1 Edward Smart (England)
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Greenhalgh (England)
6 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
07 Dec Southampton FC H 1–0 W
04 Dec Brentford FC H 3–1 W
01 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
15 Dec Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
11 Dec Juventus FC A 0–2 L
07 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 2–2 D
04 Dec Nottingham Forest FC H 3–0 W
01 Dec Liverpool FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester City FC
#10 Position #3
13 Points 21
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 3
14 Scored 21
17 Conceded 13
-3 GD +8
1.30 PPG 2.10
30% Win % 70%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts). Manchester City FC are 3rd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Manchester City FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
6/2
61-75
3/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G
Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 9 G
Rayan Cherki 5 G 2 A
Antoine Semenyo 2 G 3 A
Josko Gvardiol 1 G 3 A
Marc Guehi 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Manchester City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 17' Jhon Duran doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 22' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 27' The travelling Manchester City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 32' Manchester City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
  • 37' Matty Cash is having his name booked by the referee on 37.
  • 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ezri Konsa made 353 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Emiliano Martinez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' A change in the Manchester City FC ranks — John Stones exits the field as Kyle Walker enters on 46.
  • 47' Rico Lewis picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' The 32-year-old John Stones has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 62' Aston Villa FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Nicolas Jackson scoring 2 goals.
  • 65' Goal! Morgan Rogers scores his 36 goal in 391 matches.
  • 70' Manchester City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 73' Manchester City FC make a change. Ilkay Gundogan trudges off to be replaced by Savio on 73 minutes.
  • 78' It looks surprising Manchester City FC does not make any changes. Phil Foden has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 80' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Jhon Duran is replaced by Ollie Watkins.
  • 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josko Gvardiol on 84.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Manchester City FC — Jeremy Doku on, Mateo Kovacic off on 84 minutes.
  • 87' The referee has no hesitation. Jack Grealish is booked for Manchester City FC — card on 87.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Morgan Rogers is replaced by Emiliano Buendia.
  • 90' John McGinn is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC 77% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC41% Draw23% Manchester City FC36%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Manchester City FC
59%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC27% Draw41% Manchester City FC32%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.4%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
3 – 1
4%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 17% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 19% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.