Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 12:30 UTC Villa Park 42,345 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jhon Duran 17' 1–0
Morgan Rogers 65' 2–0
2–1 90+3' Phil Foden

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
  • Assistant 1 Edward Smart (England)
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Greenhalgh (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
07 Dec Southampton FC H 1–0 W
04 Dec Brentford FC H 3–1 W
01 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
15 Dec Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
11 Dec Juventus FC A 0–2 L
07 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 2–2 D
04 Dec Nottingham Forest FC H 3–0 W
01 Dec Liverpool FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester City FC
#11 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Manchester City FC are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.87 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + Aston Villa FC or Draw 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC44% Draw35% Manchester City FC21%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 74%
26%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Manchester City FC
56%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC23% Draw63% Manchester City FC14%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.6%
1 – 0
18.4%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
2.3%
2 – 2
1.8%
3 – 1
1.6%
1 – 3
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 10% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 24% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 16% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
55%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.