Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 12:30 UTC Villa Park 42,345 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jhon Duran 17' 1–0
Morgan Rogers 65' 2–0
2–1 90+3' Phil Foden

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
  • Assistant 1 Edward Smart (England)
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Greenhalgh (England)
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
07 Dec Southampton FC H 1–0 W
04 Dec Brentford FC H 3–1 W
01 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
15 Dec Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
11 Dec Juventus FC A 0–2 L
07 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 2–2 D
04 Dec Nottingham Forest FC H 3–0 W
01 Dec Liverpool FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester City FC
#16 Position #1
4 Points 15
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 0
4 Scored 13
9 Conceded 5
-5 GD +8
0.80 PPG 3.00
20% Win % 100%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Manchester City FC are 1st (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Manchester City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 5 G
Rayan Cherki 3 G 2 A
Antoine Semenyo 2 G 3 A
Josko Gvardiol 1 G 2 A
Marc Guehi 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Aston Villa FC have kicked off against Manchester City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Jhon Duran has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Aston Villa FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 17' Magnificent from Jhon Duran! That is 25 goals in 282 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 22' Matty Cash has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 374 appearances.
  • 27' Aston Villa FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 32' It looks like no one’s ball. Manchester City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 37' Matty Cash catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 37.
  • 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Emiliano Martinez. He receives a card.
  • 46' Kyle Walker gets the nod from Manchester City FC. He replaces John Stones and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 47' The referee calls foul for Rico Lewis. He receives a card.
  • 52' Morgan Rogers is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Manchester City FC so far.
  • 57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Manchester City FC that had 438 games and scored 1027 goals.
  • 62' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 65' What a moment for Morgan Rogers! That strike on 65 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 70' Both keepers have barely been tested. Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 73' The whistle greets Ilkay Gundogan as he departs to be replaced by Savio.
  • 78' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 80' Jhon Duran makes way for Ollie Watkins at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aston Villa FC.
  • 84' It’s a booking for Manchester City FC player. Josko Gvardiol gets a card.
  • 84' Another change for Manchester City FC made on 84 minute. Mateo Kovacic leaves to be changed by Jeremy Doku.
  • 87' That looks like a foul for a card for Jack Grealish.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Morgan Rogers is replaced by Emiliano Buendia.
  • 90' John McGinn has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • Another three points for Aston Villa FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.19 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC31% Draw22% Manchester City FC47%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Manchester City FC
69%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC17% Draw40% Manchester City FC43%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 11% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 41% — 59%
+1 41% 21% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 18% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.