Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2026-27
Sun 16 Aug 2026 · 14:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira HT 45' · FT 45'
Ze Vitor 68' 1–0
Leo Santos 77' 2–0
Y 11' Xeka
YR 33' Xeka
Matheus Dias 51' Y
Y 82' Sierra Arnal
Y 85' Ferro

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

Match Details

  • Referee Bruno Costa (Portugal)
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Joao Morte (Portugal)
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug GD Estoril Praia H 2–0 W
10 Aug CD Santa Clara A 2–2 D
16 May Vitória SC H 2–0 W
11 May CD Santa Clara A 0–2 L
02 May AVS H 1–2 L
25 Apr CD Tondela A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug CD Nacional A 0–2 L
07 Aug FC Famalicão H 1–1 D
16 May Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–3 L
10 May FC Alverca A 1–1 D
03 May Sporting Clube de Braga A 1–1 D
26 Apr FC Famalicão H 0–1 L

Season Stats

CD Nacional GD Estoril Praia
#15 Position #18
4 Points 2
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 0 / 2 / 5
7 Scored 3
15 Conceded 10
-8 GD -7
0.57 PPG 0.29
14% Win % 0%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
17% Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season

CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). GD Estoril Praia are 18th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
GD Estoril Praia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G
GD Estoril Praia
Yanis Begraoui 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Estadio da Madeira as CD Nacional face off against GD Estoril Praia in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' CD Nacional are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against GD Estoril Praia's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 11' GD Estoril Praia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Liziero suffering a number of foals already.
  • 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with CD Nacional winning 100% of all matches.
  • 26' The home supporters are growing impatient. CD Nacional must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 33' It’s gonna be a card for Xeka.
  • 38' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joel Robles made 355 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 48' Yanis Begraoui has been relatively quiet despite scoring 32 goals in his last 438 appearances.
  • 51' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matheus Dias.
  • 56' CD Nacional currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 63' A change in the GD Estoril Praia ranks — Rafik Guitane exits the field as Tiago Brito enters on 63.
  • 66' The whistle greets Miguel Baeza as he departs to be replaced by Deivison.
  • 68' GOAL! Ze Vitor fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 73' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CD Nacional side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 75' Another change for GD Estoril Praia made on 75 minute. Ricard Sanchez leaves to be changed by Pedro Carvalho.
  • 77' Assisted by Filipe Soares with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leo Santos makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 80' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Filipe Soares on 80 minutes.
  • 81' A change in the CD Nacional ranks — Daniel Jr. exits the field as Daniel De la Cruz enters on 81.
  • 82' Sierra Arnal has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
  • 85' A tactical swap from GD Estoril Praia — Jandro Orellana on, Antef Tsoungui off on 85 minutes.
  • 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ferro on 85.
  • 88' The supporters are chanting for Joel Silva. He replaces Pablo Ruan on 88 minute.
  • It finishes all square. CD Nacional and GD Estoril Praia share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 GD Estoril Praia xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional52% Draw29% GD Estoril Praia19%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
81%
Draw or GD Estoril Praia
48%
CD Nacional or GD Estoril Praia
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional33% Draw54% GD Estoril Praia13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.6%
0 – 0
15.9%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8%
2 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push GD Estoril Praia covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 26% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.