Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa FC, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 10 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig 40,406 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 3' John McGinn
Lois Openda 27' 1–1
1–2 52' Jhon Duran
2–3 85' Ross Barkley

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa FC — Champions League at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Daniele Bindoni
5 games this season 🟨 4.6/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
RB Leipzig 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Aston Villa FC H 2–3 L
07 Dec Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
04 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–0 W
30 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–5 L
26 Nov FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
23 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
07 Dec Southampton FC H 1–0 W
04 Dec Brentford FC H 3–1 W
01 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
27 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Crystal Palace FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Emiliano Buendia 1 G
John McGinn 1 G
Nicolas Jackson 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' RB Leipzig have kicked off against Aston Villa FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 3' John McGinn adds to his 2 season tally! Aston Villa FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 8' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Emiliano Buendia suffering a number of foals already.
  • 13' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 18' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena Leipzig. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 23' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 27' Goal! Lois Openda scores his 105 goal in 359 matches.
  • 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Peter Gulacsi, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 37' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Unai Emery will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 42' Youri Tielemans has been relatively quiet despite scoring 44 goals in his last 427 appearances.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lucas Digne.
  • 46' Aston Villa FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jhon Duran is hanging Ollie Watkins on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Aston Villa FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 52' Goal! Jhon Duran scores his 25 goal in 286 matches.
  • 57' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 62' Christoph Baumgartner makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and RB Leipzig are in front.
  • 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Aston Villa FC! Kosta Nedeljkovic comes on to replace Matty Cash.
  • 76' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 76 minute. Benjamin Sesko leaves to be changed by Andre Silva.
  • 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Diego Carlos.
  • 81' That is a card for RB Leipzig. Benjamin Henrichs will be fuming at that decision.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Lucas Digne is replaced by Ian Maatsen on 83 minute.
  • 84' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Arthur Vermeeren by Lukas Klostermann on 84 minute.
  • 85' Ross Barkley adds to his 0 season tally! Aston Villa FC lead 2-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' Morgan Rogers, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 2-3 the final result. RB Leipzig will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.76 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Aston Villa FC 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig36% Draw25% Aston Villa FC39%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
61%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
64%
RB Leipzig or Aston Villa FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig29% Draw40% Aston Villa FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 0
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 17% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 18% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.