Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa FC, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 10 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig 40,406 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 3' John McGinn
Lois Openda 27' 1–1
1–2 52' Jhon Duran
2–3 85' Ross Barkley

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa FCChampions League at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Daniele Bindoni
11 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
RB Leipzig 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Aston Villa FC H 2–3 L
07 Dec Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
04 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–0 W
30 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–5 L
26 Nov FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
23 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
07 Dec Southampton FC H 1–0 W
04 Dec Brentford FC H 3–1 W
01 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
27 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Crystal Palace FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Red Bull Arena Leipzig will turn into a battlefield for RB Leipzig and Aston Villa FC.
  • 3' A goal from the Scotland international John McGinn! He fires home on 3 to make it 0-1!
  • 8' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 13' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 18' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and Aston Villa FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 23' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 27' GOAL! Lois Openda scores on 27. Assisted by Nicolas Seiwald
  • 32' France international Lucas Digne has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Lucas Digne is booked for Aston Villa FC — card on 45.
  • 46' Jhon Duran has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ollie Watkins on 46 minute.
  • 51' Benjamin Henrichs needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 46 Yellow cards this season.
  • 52' The Colombia Jhon Duran breaks the deadlock on 52 minutes. 1-2!
  • 57' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 62' A stunning finish from Christoph Baumgartner — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 67' Ian Maatsen, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 71' Kosta Nedeljkovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matty Cash at the 71 minute mark.
  • 76' Andre Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Benjamin Sesko at the 76 minute mark.
  • 79' A moment of madness from Diego Carlos on 79 minutes earns him a card. Aston Villa FC will be frustrated.
  • 81' That looks like a foul for a card for Benjamin Henrichs.
  • 83' Lucas Digne makes way for Ian Maatsen at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aston Villa FC.
  • 84' Arthur Vermeeren makes way for Lukas Klostermann at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 85' Ross Barkley has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 85 minutes.
  • 90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Peter Gulacsi suffering a number of foals already.
  • RB Leipzig will have plenty to reflect on. Aston Villa FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.76 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Aston Villa FC 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig36% Draw25% Aston Villa FC39%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
61%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
64%
RB Leipzig or Aston Villa FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig29% Draw40% Aston Villa FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 0
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 17% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 18% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
17%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.