Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa FC, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 10 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig 40,406 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 3' John McGinn
Lois Openda 27' 1–1
1–2 52' Jhon Duran
2–3 85' Ross Barkley

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa FCChampions League at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Daniele Bindoni
14 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

1
RB Leipzig 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Aston Villa FC H 2–3 L
07 Dec Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
04 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–0 W
30 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–5 L
26 Nov FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
23 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
07 Dec Southampton FC H 1–0 W
04 Dec Brentford FC H 3–1 W
01 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
27 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Crystal Palace FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Red Bull Arena Leipzig that hosts another battle between RB Leipzig and Aston Villa FC.
  • 3' Goal! John McGinn scores his 35 goal in 355 matches.
  • 8' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 13' It’s high time Unai Emery made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 18' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Ian Maatsen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 23' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 27' What a strike from Lois Openda! The score is 1-1.
  • 32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 37' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' The referee shows Aston Villa FC player a card on 45.
  • 46' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Ollie Watkins by Jhon Duran on 46 minute.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Arthur Vermeeren made 303 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 52' What a strike from Jhon Duran! The score is 1-2.
  • 57' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 57 minutes.
  • 62' Goal! Christoph Baumgartner scores his 48 goal in 407 matches.
  • 67' Aston Villa FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 71' The whistle greets Matty Cash as he departs to be replaced by Kosta Nedeljkovic.
  • 76' Andre Silva is replacing Benjamin Sesko for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 79' It’s a booking for Aston Villa FC player. Diego Carlos gets a card.
  • 81' It’s gonna be a card for Benjamin Henrichs.
  • 83' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Digne departs to be replaced by Ian Maatsen.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Lukas Klostermann. He replaces Arthur Vermeeren on 84 minute.
  • 85' Goal! Ross Barkley scores his 28 goal in 409 matches.
  • 90' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • Another three points for Aston Villa FC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.76 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Aston Villa FC 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig36% Draw25% Aston Villa FC39%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
61%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
64%
RB Leipzig or Aston Villa FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig29% Draw40% Aston Villa FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 0
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 17% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 18% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
17%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.