RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa FC, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa FC — Champions League at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
- RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Aston Villa FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Maurizio Mariani
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
- Assistant 2 Daniele Bindoni
11 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Kobenhavn | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Aston Villa FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Dec | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–5 | L |
| 26 Nov | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 3–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | RB Leipzig | A | 3–2 | W |
| 07 Dec | Southampton FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | Brentford FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Dec | Chelsea FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Nov | Juventus FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Nov | Crystal Palace FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Red Bull Arena Leipzig will turn into a battlefield for RB Leipzig and Aston Villa FC.
- 3' A goal from the Scotland international John McGinn! He fires home on 3 to make it 0-1!
- 8' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 13' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 18' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and Aston Villa FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 23' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 27' GOAL! Lois Openda scores on 27. Assisted by Nicolas Seiwald
- 32' France international Lucas Digne has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Lucas Digne is booked for Aston Villa FC — card on 45.
- 46' Jhon Duran has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ollie Watkins on 46 minute.
- 51' Benjamin Henrichs needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 46 Yellow cards this season.
- 52' The Colombia Jhon Duran breaks the deadlock on 52 minutes. 1-2!
- 57' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 62' A stunning finish from Christoph Baumgartner — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 67' Ian Maatsen, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 71' Kosta Nedeljkovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matty Cash at the 71 minute mark.
- 76' Andre Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Benjamin Sesko at the 76 minute mark.
- 79' A moment of madness from Diego Carlos on 79 minutes earns him a card. Aston Villa FC will be frustrated.
- 81' That looks like a foul for a card for Benjamin Henrichs.
- 83' Lucas Digne makes way for Ian Maatsen at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aston Villa FC.
- 84' Arthur Vermeeren makes way for Lukas Klostermann at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 85' Ross Barkley has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 85 minutes.
- 90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Peter Gulacsi suffering a number of foals already.
- RB Leipzig will have plenty to reflect on. Aston Villa FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 11
- 3
- 39
- 14
- 1
- 4
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Kevin Kampl 46'
- 13
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Andre Silva 76'
- 7
- 18
Bench
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↑ 84'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 46'
-
19
Andre Silva ↑ 76'
- 26
- 38
- 47
- 31
Coach
Marco Rose
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 27
-
12
Lucas Digne ↓ Ian Maatsen 83'
-
2
Matty Cash ↓ Kosta Nedeljkovic 71'
-
11
Ollie Watkins ↓ Jhon Duran 46'
- 4
-
7
John McGinn ↓ Emiliano Buendia 76'
-
8
Youri Tielemans ↓ Ross Barkley 83'
- 3
- 44
- 14
Bench
- 5
-
6
Ross Barkley ↑ 83'
-
10
Emiliano Buendia ↑ 76'
- 25
- 18
-
22
Ian Maatsen ↑ 83'
- 24
- 50
- 19
-
9
Jhon Duran ↑ 46'
- 26
-
20
Kosta Nedeljkovic ↑ 71'
Coach
Unai Emery
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ross Barkley | 1 |
| John McGinn | 1 |
| Jhon Duran | 1 |
| Lois Openda | 1 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 1 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.76
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for:
RB Leipzig or Aston Villa FC 75% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
61%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
64%
RB Leipzig or Aston Villa FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 0
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.1%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | Aston Villa FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 17% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 18% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 12% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

