Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fagiano Okayama FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026-27
Sat 15 Aug 2026 · 09:55 UTC City Light Stadium 14,223 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucao 54' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Fagiano Okayama FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League at City Light Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Masuya Ueda

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–0 W
24 May Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–3 L
17 May Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–0 W
10 May Vissel Kobe A 3–0 W
06 May V-Varen Nagasaki A 1–2 L
02 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–1 L
23 May Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–1 L
17 May Vissel Kobe H 5–4 W
09 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–3 L
06 May Fagiano Okayama FC H 2–1 W
03 May Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Fagiano Okayama FC V-Varen Nagasaki
#6 Position #9
26 Points 21
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
41 Scored 25
46 Conceded 33
-5 GD -8
1.44 PPG 1.17
44% Win % 39%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
–/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC
Kota Kawano 3 G
Lucao 1 G 1 A
Noah Browne 1 G
V-Varen Nagasaki
Matheus Jesus 3 G
Thiago Santana 3 G
Tenmu Matsumoto 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at City Light Stadium. Fagiano Okayama FC are looking to make home advantage count against V-Varen Nagasaki.
  • 5' V-Varen Nagasaki are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ataru Esaka suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Fagiano Okayama FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 25' The 28-year-old Yugo Tatsuta has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. V-Varen Nagasaki is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' V-Varen Nagasaki come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 45' V-Varen Nagasaki fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' The V-Varen Nagasaki bench stirs into life. Ryogo Yamasaki is withdrawn and Thiago Santana gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 54' Lucao makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Fagiano Okayama FC are in front.
  • 59' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fagiano Okayama FC that had 62 games and scored 60 goals.
  • 64' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 69' Fagiano Okayama FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 74' Shunya Yoneda picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 79' Fagiano Okayama FC currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 84' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Takashi Kiyama will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 89' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for V-Varen Nagasaki.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fagiano Okayama FC49% Draw25% V-Varen Nagasaki26%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
75%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
51%
Fagiano Okayama FC or V-Varen Nagasaki
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fagiano Okayama FC35% Draw44% V-Varen Nagasaki21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC

Handicap Fagiano Okayama FC covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✗
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.