Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Mon 30 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Villa Park 41,414 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Simon Adingra
Ollie Watkins pen 36' 1–1
Morgan Rogers 47' 2–1
2–2 81' Tariq Lamptey

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Pawson
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D
26 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–3 L
21 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
07 Dec Southampton FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Aston Villa FC A 2–2 D
27 Dec Brentford FC H 0–0 D
21 Dec West Ham United FC A 1–1 D
15 Dec Crystal Palace FC H 1–3 L
08 Dec Leicester City FC A 2–2 D
05 Dec Fulham FC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Brighton & Hove Albion FC
#11 Position #15
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 15th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.07 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC46% Draw32% Brighton & Hove Albion FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 53%
47%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
54%
Aston Villa FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC27% Draw58% Brighton & Hove Albion FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.8%
1 – 0
17.1%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
3 – 1
2.5%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
1%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 25% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 15% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
51%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.