Saturday , 14 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Mon 30 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Villa Park 41,414 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Simon Adingra
Ollie Watkins pen 36' 1–1
Morgan Rogers 47' 2–1
2–2 81' Tariq Lamptey

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Pawson
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan
5 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D
26 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–3 L
21 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
07 Dec Southampton FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Aston Villa FC A 2–2 D
27 Dec Brentford FC H 0–0 D
21 Dec West Ham United FC A 1–1 D
15 Dec Crystal Palace FC H 1–3 L
08 Dec Leicester City FC A 2–2 D
05 Dec Fulham FC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Brighton & Hove Albion FC
#10 Position #2
13 Points 22
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 1 / 2
14 Scored 26
17 Conceded 7
-3 GD +19
1.30 PPG 2.20
30% Win % 70%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
70% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts). Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0-15
4/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
6/1
46-60
4/–
61-75
2/1
76+
5/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Pascal Gross 4 G 4 A
Charalampos Kostoulas 3 G 2 A
Yasin Ayari 3 G 1 A
Jack Hinshelwood 3 G
Maxim De Cuyper 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.24 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC 78% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC33% Draw22% Brighton & Hove Albion FC45%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
67%
Aston Villa FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC21% Draw39% Brighton & Hove Albion FC40%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
3.7%
1 – 4
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 13% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 20% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 16% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.