Tuesday , 15 September 2026

Oxford United FC vs Milton Keynes Dons FC, League One 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2026-27
Sat 15 Aug 2026 · 11:30 UTC Kassam Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark Harris 20' 1–0
1–1 29' Charlie Goode
1–2 34' Aaron Collins
Ciaron Brown 90+5' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Milton Keynes Dons FCLeague One at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Yates
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Joyce (England)
  • Assistant 2 Ollie Williams
6 games this season 🟨 2.8/game 12.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Milton Keynes Dons FC H 2–2 D
02 May Millwall FC A 0–2 L
25 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–1 W
21 Apr Wrexham AFC H 0–1 L
18 Apr Derby County FC A 0–1 L
11 Apr Watford FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Oxford United FC A 2–2 D
09 Jan Oxford United FC H 4–5 L
06 Dec Oldham Athletic AFC H 3–1 W
01 Nov Colchester United FC A 3–2 W
03 Nov AFC Wimbledon H 0–2 L
04 Nov Reading FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Oxford United FC Milton Keynes Dons FC
#5 Position #20
10 Points 5
5 Played 6
3 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 5 / 1
12 Scored 8
6 Conceded 10
+6 GD -2
2.00 PPG 0.83
60% Win % 0%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season
17% Clean Sheets
Milton Keynes Dons FC this season

Oxford United FC are 5th (10 pts). Milton Keynes Dons FC are 20th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Milton Keynes Dons FC
0-15
/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
4/1
61-75
/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC
Gatlin O'Donkor 3 G 1 A
Mark Harris 3 G
Ciaron Brown 1 G
Milton Keynes Dons FC
Aaron Collins 5 G 1 A
Charlie Goode 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.58 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Milton Keynes Dons FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC58% Draw21% Milton Keynes Dons FC21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Milton Keynes Dons FC
42%
Oxford United FC or Milton Keynes Dons FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC46% Draw36% Milton Keynes Dons FC18%
Actual: Milton Keynes Dons FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 1
7.5%
3 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 0
4.5%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Milton Keynes Dons FC covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 18% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 20% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Milton Keynes Dons FC keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.