Saturday , 14 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Leicester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park 42,386 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ross Barkley 58' 1–0
1–1 63' Stephy Mavididi
Leon Bailey 76' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Leicester City FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Richard West
5 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Leicester City FC H 2–1 W
30 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D
26 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–3 L
21 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Manchester City FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
22 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 0–3 L
14 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–4 L
08 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Villa Park as Aston Villa FC face off against Leicester City FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Jakub Stolarczyk has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 364 appearances.
  • 10' John McGinn has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 15' Jordan Ayew needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 19' Aston Villa FC make a change. John McGinn trudges off to be replaced by Jacob Ramsey on 19 minutes.
  • 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 29' The home supporters are growing impatient. Aston Villa FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Leicester City FC that had 364 games and scored 526 goals.
  • 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 44' James Justin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 49' Aston Villa FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 54' Aston Villa FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Leicester City FC backline.
  • 58' Goal! Ross Barkley scores his 31 goal in 416 matches.
  • 63' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Stephy Mavididi makes it 1-1.
  • 63' The Leicester City FC bench stirs into life. Jannik Vestergaard is withdrawn and Wout Faes gets his opportunity.
  • 68' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jannik Vestergaard, as he is very good at scoring at Villa Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 76' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Leon Bailey makes it 2-1.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Ross Barkley as he leaves the pitch. Emiliano Buendia steps in for Aston Villa FC.
  • 81' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 83' The whistle greets Jordan Ayew as he departs to be replaced by Patson Daka.
  • 88' Caleb Okoli is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Leicester City FC tonight.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Boubakary Soumare.
  • 90' Leicester City FC ring the changes. Luke Thomas has done his job and it is now time for Bobby Reid to step up.
  • Leicester City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Aston Villa FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.74 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Leicester City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC54% Draw24% Leicester City FC22%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Leicester City FC
46%
Aston Villa FC or Leicester City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC36% Draw45% Leicester City FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Leicester City FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.