Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Leicester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park 42,386 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ross Barkley 58' 1–0
1–1 63' Stephy Mavididi
Leon Bailey 76' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Leicester City FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Richard West

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Leicester City FC H 2–1 W
30 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D
26 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–3 L
21 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Manchester City FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
22 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 0–3 L
14 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–4 L
08 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Aston Villa FC and Leicester City FC is underway.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Digne suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' Aston Villa FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 19' The supporters are chanting for Jacob Ramsey. He replaces John McGinn on 19 minute.
  • 24' The travelling Leicester City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 29' Matty Cash has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 55 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Aston Villa FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Aston Villa FC that had 355 games and scored 497 goals.
  • 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Facundo Buonanotte made 169 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 58' Goal! Ross Barkley scores his 28 goal in 409 matches.
  • 63' What a strike from Stephy Mavididi! The score is 1-1.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Wout Faes. He replaces Jannik Vestergaard on 63 minute.
  • 68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 73' Youri Tielemans needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 41 Yellow cards this season.
  • 76' Sensational shot from Leon Bailey. Aston Villa FC is back in the lead.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Ross Barkley is replaced by Emiliano Buendia.
  • 81' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 83' Patson Daka is replacing Jordan Ayew for the Leicester City FC side.
  • 88' It’s high time Unai Emery made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Boubakary Soumare on 90.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Bobby Reid. He replaces Luke Thomas on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.74 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Leicester City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC54% Draw24% Leicester City FC22%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Leicester City FC
46%
Aston Villa FC or Leicester City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC36% Draw45% Leicester City FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Leicester City FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.