Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Leicester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park 42,386 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ross Barkley 58' 1–0
1–1 63' Stephy Mavididi
Leon Bailey 76' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Leicester City FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Richard West
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Leicester City FC H 2–1 W
30 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D
26 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–3 L
21 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
10 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Manchester City FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
22 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 0–3 L
14 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–4 L
08 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Villa Park will turn into a battlefield for Aston Villa FC and Leicester City FC.
  • 5' Ollie Watkins, a England , has 31 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 19' Jacob Ramsey gets the nod from Aston Villa FC. He replaces John McGinn and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 24' Harry Winks needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Aston Villa FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Emiliano Martinez, as he is very good at scoring at Villa Park with 4 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 44' The travelling Leicester City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ezri Konsa made 349 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 54' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 58' Ross Barkley adds to his 0 season tally! Aston Villa FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 63' Against the run of play, Stephy Mavididi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 63' Wout Faes has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jannik Vestergaard on 63 minute.
  • 68' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Leicester City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 73' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bobby Reid is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Aston Villa FC.
  • 76' Aston Villa FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Leon Bailey on 76.
  • 76' Aston Villa FC make a change. Ross Barkley trudges off to be replaced by Emiliano Buendia on 76 minutes.
  • 81' James Justin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Patson Daka. He replaces Jordan Ayew on 83 minute.
  • 88' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Aston Villa FC and Leicester City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 90' The referee shows Leicester City FC player a card on 90.
  • 90' Leicester City FC make a change. Luke Thomas trudges off to be replaced by Bobby Reid on 90 minutes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Leicester City FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.74 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Leicester City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC54% Draw24% Leicester City FC22%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Leicester City FC
46%
Aston Villa FC or Leicester City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC36% Draw45% Leicester City FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Leicester City FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.