Wednesday , 30 September 2026

OGC Nice vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 23 Feb 2025 · 16:15 UTC Allianz Riviera 18,519 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonathan Clauss 30' 1–0
Hicham Boudaoui 65' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

OGC Nice vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Allianz Riviera.

Match Details

  • Referee Willy Delajod
  • Assistant 1 Erwan Finjean
  • Assistant 2 Julien Garrigues (France)
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb Montpellier HSC H 2–0 W
16 Feb Le Havre AC A 3–1 W
08 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 2–0 W
02 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
30 Jan FK Bodø/Glimt H 1–1 D
26 Jan Olympique de Marseille H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb OGC Nice A 0–2 L
16 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–4 L
09 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L
31 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 0–2 L
26 Jan Toulouse FC A 2–1 W
17 Jan AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

OGC Nice
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Montpellier HSC gets underway.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Theo Sainte-Luce, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Riviera with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Montpellier HSC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' Junior Ndiaye has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' France international Jonathan Clauss has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' Brilliant from the ! Jonathan Clauss makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 30.
  • 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His OGC Nice side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 50' It’s a booking for Montpellier HSC player. Khalil Fayad gets a card.
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 63' OGC Nice make a change. Baptiste Santamaria trudges off to be replaced by Pablo Rosario on 63 minutes.
  • 64' A change in the OGC Nice ranks — Ali El Abdi exits the field as Tom Louchet enters on 64.
  • 65' Against the run of play, Hicham Boudaoui has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 69' Time for substitution for Montpellier HSC. Bamo Meite is replaced by Jordan Ferri.
  • 71' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Youssouf Ndayishimiye.
  • 72' Montpellier HSC ring the changes. Theo Sainte-Luce has done his job and it is now time for Falaye Sacko to step up.
  • 76' Fresh legs for OGC Nice! Sofiane Diop comes on to replace Evann Guessand.
  • 81' Ali El Abdi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 33 goals in his last 10 appearances.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Montpellier HSC. Tanguy Coulibaly is replaced by Junior Ndiaye.
  • 88' Tanguy Ndombele is replacing Hicham Boudaoui for the OGC Nice side.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 OGC Nice xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
OGC Nice55% Draw26% Montpellier HSC19%
Actual: OGC Nice win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

OGC Nice or Draw
81%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
45%
OGC Nice or Montpellier HSC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
OGC Nice35% Draw49% Montpellier HSC16%
Actual: OGC Nice win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 0
11%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — OGC Nice

Handicap OGC Nice covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.