Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
1 1
Full Time
Sun 2 Feb 2025 · 14:00 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 23,522 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Gaetan Laborde pen
Mark McKenzie 85' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs OGC NiceLigue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Assistant 1 Philippe Jeanne
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb OGC Nice H 1–1 D
26 Jan Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–0 D
12 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–2 L
05 Jan Racing Club de Lens A 1–0 W
13 Dec AS Saint-Étienne H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
30 Jan FK Bodo/Glimt H 1–1 D
26 Jan Olympique de Marseille H 2–0 W
23 Jan IF Elfsborg A 0–1 L
17 Jan Lille OSC A 1–2 L
11 Jan Stade de Reims A 4–2 W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC OGC Nice
#11 Position #20
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). OGC Nice are 20th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Toulouse FC and OGC Nice get this one started.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering OGC Nice that had 442 games and scored 370 goals.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carles Martínez will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' The 25-year-old Yann Gboho has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 18' A goal from the France international Gaetan Laborde! He fires home on 18 to make it 0-1!
  • 23' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toulouse FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mohamed Cho made 348 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 33' The travelling OGC Nice supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 38' Toulouse FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against OGC Nice's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 43' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toulouse FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 48' Norway international Aron Donnum has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 53' Toulouse FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined OGC Nice backline.
  • 58' Melvin Bard, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 60' Joshua King is replacing Frank Magri for the Toulouse FC side.
  • 61' Toulouse FC make a change. Yann Gboho trudges off to be replaced by Shavy Warren Babicka on 61 minutes.
  • 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Hicham Boudaoui on 63 minutes.
  • 66' It is a substitution in Toulouse FC team. Warren Kamanzi is replaced by Rafik Messali on 66 minute.
  • 67' A tactical swap from OGC NiceMoise Bombito on, Ali El Abdi off on 67 minutes.
  • 72' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 76' Miha Zajc is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
  • 81' Another change for OGC Nice made on 81 minute. Gaetan Laborde leaves to be changed by Badredine Bouanani.
  • 82' Another substitution for Toulouse FC to replace Jaydee Canvot by Edhy Zuliani on 82 minute.
  • 85' Goal! Mark McKenzie scores his 5 goal in 289 matches.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Antoine Mendy. He replaces Jonathan Clauss on 90 minute.
  • 90' Zakaria Aboukhlal was booked on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Toulouse FC and OGC Nice share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.57 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC31% Draw41% OGC Nice28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 34%
66%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
72%
Draw or OGC Nice
69%
Toulouse FC or OGC Nice
59%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC15% Draw69% OGC Nice16%
Actual: OGC Nice win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.7%
0 – 1
17%
1 – 0
15.7%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
1.2%
0 – 3
1%
3 – 0
0.8%
1 – 3
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 19% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 21% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
55%
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
57%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.